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Related papers: Load Dependence of Power Outage Statistics

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Prolonged power outages debilitate the economy and threaten public health. Existing research is generally limited in its scope to a single event, an outage cause, or a region. Here, we provide one of the most comprehensive analyses of U.S.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Aman Ankit , Zhanlin Liu , Scott B. Miles , Youngjun Choe

Transmission line outage rates are fundamental to power system reliability analysis. Line outages are infrequent, occurring only about once a year, so outage data are limited. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model that leverages line…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-24 Kai Zhou , James R. Cruise , Chris J. Dent , Ian Dobson , Louis Wehenkel , Zhaoyu Wang , Amy L. Wilson

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Despite significant anecdotal evidence regarding the vulnerability of the U.S. power infrastructure, there is a dearth of longitudinal and nation-level characterization of the spatial and temporal patterns in the frequency and extent of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-30 Bo Li , Junwei Ma , Femi Omitaomu , Ali Mostafavi

In recent years, increasingly unpredictable and severe global weather patterns have frequently caused long-lasting power outages. Building resilience, the ability to withstand, adapt to, and recover from major disruptions, has become…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu

Power grid outages cause huge economical and societal costs. Disruptions in the power distribution grid are responsible for a significant fraction of electric power unavailability to customers. The impact of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Yakup Koc , Abhishek Raman , Martijn Warnier , Tarun Kumar

We consider power line outages in the transmission system of the power grid, and specifically those caused by a natural disaster or a large scale physical attack. In the transmission system, an outage of a line may lead to overload on other…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-06-07 Andrey Bernstein , Daniel Bienstock , David Hay , Meric Uzunoglu , Gil Zussman

The size distribution of planned and forced outages and following restoration times in power systems have been studied for almost two decades and has drawn great interest as they display heavy tails. Understanding of this phenomenon has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-09 Bálint Hartmann , Shengfeng Deng , Géza Ódor , Jeffrey Kelling

Electric power-systems are one of the most important critical infrastructures. In recent years, they have been exposed to extreme stress due to the increasing demand, the introduction of distributed renewable energy sources, and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-13 Antonio Scala , Pier Giorgio De Sanctis Lucentini

Climate-driven power outages pose a growing threat to U.S. grid reliability, yet empirical outage studies and interdependency-based resilience analyses are rarely integrated. This paper presents a data-driven framework that integrates…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yoneke Graham , Gelila Webster , Tina Tran , Sohini Roy

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu

We introduce a new microscopic model of the outages in transmission power grids. This model accounts for the automatic response of the grid to load fluctuations that take place on the scale of minutes, when the optimum power flow…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 René Pfitzner , Konstantin Turitsyn , Michael Chertkov

Energy systems resilience is becoming increasingly important as the frequency of major grid outages increases. In this work, we present a methodology to optimize a behind-the-meter distributed energy resource system to sustain a site's…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-29 Sakshi Mishra , Kate Anderson

This paper presents a data-driven approach for quantifying the resilience of distribution power grids to extreme weather events using two key metrics: (a) the number of outages and (b) restoration time. The method leverages historical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Dingwei Wang , Salish Maharjan , Junyuan Zheng , Liming Liu , Zhaoyu Wang

In a cascading power transmission outage, component outages propagate non-locally, after one component outages, the next failure may be very distant, both topologically and geographically. As a result, simple models of topological contagion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-14 Paul D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson , Pooya Rezaei

Electrical outages continue to occur despite technological innovations and improvements to electric power distribution infrastructure. In this paper, we describe a tool that was designed to acquire and collect data on electric power outages…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Samuel Eckstrom , Graham Murphy , Eileen Ye , Samrat Acharya , Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin

Expansion planning problems refer to the monetary and unit investment needed for energy production or storage. An inherent element in these problems is the element of stochasticity in various aspects, such as the generation output of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-27 S. Tsianikas , N. Yousefi , J. Zhou , D. W. Coit

Natural disasters such as hurricanes, wildfires, and winter storms have induced large-scale power outages in the U.S., resulting in tremendous economic and societal impacts. Accurately predicting power outage recovery and impact is key to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji

This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for hourly power outage probability prediction within census tracts encompassing a utility company's service territory. Two distinct deep learning models, conditional Multi-Layer Perceptron…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Xuesong Wang , Nina Fatehi , Caisheng Wang , Masoud H. Nazari

In order to identify the extent to which results from topological graph models are useful for modeling vulnerability in electricity infrastructure, we measure the susceptibility of power networks to random failures and directed attacks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-13 Paul Hines , Eduardo Cotilla-Sanchez , Seth Blumsack
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