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Related papers: Load Dependence of Power Outage Statistics

200 papers

We show how to use standard transmission line outage historical data to obtain the network topology in such a way that cascades of line outages can be easily located on the network. Then we obtain statistics quantifying how cascading…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-23 Ian Dobson , Benjamin A. Carreras , David E. Newman , Jose M. Reynolds-Barredo

Carreras, Dobson and colleagues have studied empirical data on the sizes of the blackouts in real grids and modeled them by computer simulations using the direct current approximation. They have found that the resulting blackout sizes are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-24 Yosef Kornbluth , Gabriel Cwilich , Sergey V. Buldyrev , Saleh Soltan , Gil Zussman

Power outages caused by extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, can significantly disrupt essential services and delay recovery efforts, underscoring the importance of enhancing our infrastructure's resilience. This study investigates…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Avishek Bose , Sangkeun Lee , Narayan Bhusal , Supriya Chinthavali

This paper addresses the problem of predicting duration of unplanned power outages, using historical outage records to train a series of neural network predictors. The initial duration prediction is made based on environmental factors, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Aaron Jaech , Baosen Zhang , Mari Ostendorf , Daniel S. Kirschen

The growing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) in distribution grids raises various reliability issues due to DER's uncertain and complex behaviors. With a large-scale DER penetration in distribution grids, traditional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Yizheng Liao , Yang Weng , Chin-woo Tan , Ram Rajagopal

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

We study the size distribution of power blackouts for the Norwegian and North American power grids. We find that for both systems the size distribution follows power laws with exponents $-1.65 \pm 0.05$ and $-2.0 \pm 0.1$ respectively. We…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Jan Øystein Haavig Bakke , Alex Hansen , János Kertész

Here we develop an approach to predict power grid weak points, and specifically to efficiently identify the most probable failure modes in static load distribution for a given power network. This approach is applied to two examples: Guam's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-16 Michael Chertkov , Feng Pan , Mikhail G. Stepanov

Link failures repeatedly induce large-scale outages in power grids and other supply networks. Yet, it is still not well understood, which links are particularly prone to inducing such outages. Here we analyze how the nature and location of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-06 Dirk Witthaut , Martin Rohden , Xiaozhu Zhang , Sarah Hallerberg , Marc Timme

The magnitude of the August 2003 blackout affecting the United States has put the challenges of energy transmission and distribution into limelight. Despite all the interest and concerted effort, the complexity and interconnectivity of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Reka Albert , Istvan Albert , Gary L. Nakarado

Power outages caused by extreme weather events due to climate change have doubled in the United States in the last two decades. Outages pose severe health risks to over 4.4 million individuals dependent on in-home medical devices. Data on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Paraskevi Kourtza , Maitreyee Marathe , Anuj Shetty , Diego Kiedanski

Cascading failures are one of the main reasons for blackouts in electric power transmission grids. The economic cost of such failures is in the order of tens of billion dollars annually. The loading level of power system is a key aspect to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Yakup Koç , Martijn Warnier , Piet Van Mieghem , Robert E. Kooij , Frances M. T. Brazier

The understanding of cascading failures in complex systems has been hindered by the lack of realistic large-scale modeling and analysis that can account for variable system conditions. Here, using the North American power grid, we identify,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-23 Yang Yang , Takashi Nishikawa , Adilson E. Motter

When there is a fault, the protection system automatically removes one or more transmission lines on a fast time scale of less than one minute. The outaged lines form a pattern in the transmission network. We extract these patterns from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Ian Dobson , D. Adrian Maldonado , Mihai Anitescu

Systems for the generation and distribution of electrical power represents critical infrastructure and, when extreme weather events disrupt such systems, this imposes substantial costs on consumers. These costs can be conceptualized as…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Xiangpeng Li , Mona Ahmadiani , Richard Woodward , Bo Li , Arnold Vedlitz , Ali Mostafavi

Transmission line failure in power systems prop-agate non-locally, making the control of the resulting outages extremely difficult. In Part II of this paper, we continue the study of line failure localizability in transmission networks and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-27 Linqi Guo , Chen Liang , Alessandro Zocca , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman

Industry reliability rules increasingly require utilities to study and mitigate cascading failure risk in their system. Motivated by this, this paper describes how cascading failure risk, in terms of expected blackout size, varies with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-18 Pooya Rezaei , Paul D. H. Hines

The multifaceted nature of disaster impact shows that densely populated areas contribute more to aggregate burden, while sparsely populated but heavily affected regions suffer disproportionately at the individual level. This study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-09 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Bo Li , Ali Mostafavi

We study outage regions for energy-constrained multi-hop and adaptive multi-route networks with an arbitrary number of relay nodes. Optimal power allocation strategies in the sense that outage probability is minimized are derived depending…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-08-10 Tobias Renk , Holger Jaekel , Friedrich K. Jondral

Recent years have seen a rich literature of data-driven approaches designed for power grid applications. However, insufficient consideration of domain knowledge can impose a high risk to the practicality of the methods. Specifically,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-02 Shimiao Li , Jan Drgona , Shrirang Abhyankar , Larry Pileggi