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Predictions are often probabilities; e.g., a prediction could be for precipitation tomorrow, but with only a 30% chance. Given such probabilistic predictions together with the actual outcomes, "reliability diagrams" help detect and diagnose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Imanol Arrieta-Ibarra , Paman Gujral , Jonathan Tannen , Mark Tygert , Cherie Xu

This manuscript is designed to introduce students in applied mathematics and data science to the concept of regularization for ill-posed inverse problems. Construct a mathematical model that describes how an image gets blurred. Convert a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Mark Embree

Predicting particle trajectories with neural networks (NNs) has substantially enhanced many scientific and engineering domains. However, effectively quantifying and visualizing the inherent uncertainty in predictions remains challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Jixian Li , Timbwaoga Aime Judicael Ouermi , Mengjiao Han , Chris R. Johnson

Uncertainty estimation is essential to make neural networks trustworthy in real-world applications. Extensive research efforts have been made to quantify and reduce predictive uncertainty. However, most existing works are designed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Myong Chol Jung , He Zhao , Joanna Dipnall , Belinda Gabbe , Lan Du

In this paper we address the uncertainty issues involved in the low-level vision task of image segmentation. Researchers in computer vision have worked extensively on this problem, in which the goal is to partition (or segment) an image…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Steven M. LaValle , Seth A. Hutchinson

This note introduces the $\texttt{LikelihoodGeometry}$ package for the computer algebra system $\textit{Macaulay2}$. This package gives tools to construct the likelihood correspondence of a discrete algebraic statistical model, a variety…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-19 David Barnhill , John Cobb , Matthew Faust

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various tasks. However, these models could offer biased, hallucinated, or non-factual responses camouflaged by their fluency and realistic appearance. Uncertainty…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Zhiqiu Xia , Jinxuan Xu , Yuqian Zhang , Hang Liu

We present a novel visualization-driven illumination model for density plots, a new technique to enhance density plots by effectively revealing the detailed structures in high- and medium-density regions and outliers in low-density regions,…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Xin Chen , Yunhai Wang , Huaiwei Bao , Kecheng Lu , Jaemin Jo , Chi-Wing Fu , Jean-Daniel Fekete

Uncertainty quantification in image retrieval is crucial for downstream decisions, yet it remains a challenging and largely unexplored problem. Current methods for estimating uncertainties are poorly calibrated, computationally expensive,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Frederik Warburg , Martin Jørgensen , Javier Civera , Søren Hauberg

Blind image deblurring is a challenging low-level vision task that involves estimating the unblurred image when the blur kernel is unknown. In this paper, we present a self-supervised multi-scale blind image deblurring method to jointly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Lening Guo , Jing Yu , Ning Zhang , Chuangbai Xiao

As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Apoorva Karagappa , Pawandeep Kaur Betz , Jonas Gilg , Moritz Zeumer , Andreas Gerndt , Bernhard Preim

A method is discussed that allows combining sets of differential or inclusive measurements. It is assumed that at least one measurement was obtained with simultaneously fitting a set of nuisance parameters, representing sources of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-09 Jan Kieseler

The rapid growth in scale and complexity of both computational and observational astrophysics over the past decade necessitates efficient and intuitive methods for examining and visualizing large datasets. Here, I present {\it AstroBlend},…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-11 J. P. Naiman

The availability heuristic is a strategy that people use to make quick decisions but often lead to systematic errors. We propose three ways that visualization could facilitate unbiased decision-making. First, visualizations can alter the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2016-10-11 Evanthia Dimara , Pierre Dragicevic , Anastasia Bezerianos

Classical Krylov subspace projection methods for the solution of linear problem $Ax = b$ output an approximate solution $\widetilde{x}\simeq x$. Recently, it has been recognized that projection methods can be understood from a statistical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Vladimir Fanaskov

The asymptotic results pertaining to the distribution of the log likelihood ratio allow for the creation of a confidence region, which is a general extension of the confidence interval. Two and three dimensional regions can be displayed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-08 Adam Jaeger

Inverse problems play a key role in modern image/signal processing methods. However, since they are generally ill-conditioned or ill-posed due to lack of observations, their solutions may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Analysing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-09 Xiaohao Cai , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

We present Clusterplot, a multi-class high-dimensional data visualization tool designed to visualize cluster-level information offering an intuitive understanding of the cluster inter-relations. Our unique plots leverage 2D blobs devised to…

Graphics · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Or Malkai , Min Lu , Daniel Cohen-Or

Measures of uncertainty and divergence are introduced for interval-valued probability distributions and are shown to have desirable mathematical properties. A maximum uncertainty inference procedure for marginal interval distributions is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Michael Pittarelli

We provide a pipeline for calculating, managing and visualising correlations and other pairwise association scores for numerical and categorical data. We present a uniform interface for calculating a plethora of pairwise scores and propose…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Amit Chinwan , Catherine B. Hurley