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Related papers: News Sentiment as Leading Indicators for Recession…

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We develop a resource-efficient methodology for measuring economic outlook in news text that combines document embeddings with synthetic training data generated by large language models. Applied to 27 million news articles, the resulting…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-18 Elliot Beck , Franziska Eckert , Linus Kühne , Helge Liebert , Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch

Mining financial text documents and understanding the sentiments of individual investors, institutions and markets is an important and challenging problem in the literature. Current approaches to mine sentiments from financial texts largely…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Srikumar Krishnamoorthy

The goal of this paper is to evaluate the informational content of sentiment extracted from news articles about the state of the economy. We propose a fine-grained aspect-based sentiment analysis that has two main characteristics: 1) we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Luca Barbaglia , Sergio Consoli , Sebastiano Manzan

News recommendation systems rely on automated sentiment analysis to personalise content and enhance user engagement. Conventional approaches often struggle with ambiguity, lexicon inconsistencies, and limited contextual understanding,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Eunice Kingenga , Mike Wa Nkongolo

This study proposes a new method of incorporating emotions from newspaper articles into macroeconomic forecasts, attempting to forecast industrial production and consumer prices leveraging narrative and sentiment from global newspapers. For…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Sonja Tilly , Markus Ebner , Giacomo Livan

We propose how to quantify high-frequency market sentiment using high-frequency news from NASDAQ news platform and support vector machine classifiers. News arrive at markets randomly and the resulting news sentiment behaves like a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Jozef Barunik , Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen , Jan Vecer

In today's media landscape, where news outlets play a pivotal role in shaping public opinion, it is imperative to address the issue of sentiment manipulation within news text. News writers often inject their own biases and emotional…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Alapan Kuila , Somnath Jena , Sudeshna Sarkar , Partha Pratim Chakrabarti

Quantitative models are an important decision-making factor for policy makers and investors. Predicting an economic recession with high accuracy and reliability would be very beneficial for the society. This paper assesses machine learning…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-01 Kian Tehranian

Sentiment signals derived from sparse news are commonly used in financial analysis and technology monitoring, yet transforming raw article-level observations into reliable temporal series remains a largely unsolved engineering problem.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Stefania Stan , Marzio Lunghi , Vito Vargetto , Claudio Ricci , Rolands Repetto , Brayden Leo , Shao-Hong Gan

The objective of this research is to examine how sentiment analysis can be employed to generate trading signals for the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. The author assessed sentiment in social media posts and news articles pertaining to the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Oluwafemi F Olaiyapo

This paper describes our work on developing a new business sentiment index using daily newspaper articles. We adopt a recurrent neural network (RNN) with Gated Recurrent Units to predict the business sentiment of a given text. An RNN is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Kazuhiro Seki , Yusuke Ikuta

This paper goes into depth on the effect that US News Sentiment from national newspapers has on US interstate migration trends. Through harnessing data from the New York Times between 2010 and 2020, an average sentiment score was…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Benjamin Lane , Simeon Sayer

News recommender systems are used by online news providers to alleviate information overload and to provide personalized content to users. However, algorithmic news curation has been hypothesized to create filter bubbles and to intensify…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Mehwish Alam , Andreea Iana , Alexander Grote , Katharina Ludwig , Philipp Müller , Heiko Paulheim

In this paper we investigate the impact of news to predict extreme financial returns using high frequency data. We consider several model specifications differing for the dynamic property of the underlying stochastic process as well as for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-12 Mauro Bernardi , Leopoldo Catania , Lea Petrella

The use of robo-readers to analyze news texts is an emerging technology trend in computational finance. In recent research, a substantial effort has been invested to develop sophisticated financial polarity-lexicons that can be used to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2013-07-24 Pekka Malo , Ankur Sinha , Pyry Takala , Pekka Korhonen , Jyrki Wallenius

Several studies have shown that deep learning models can provide more accurate volatility forecasts than the traditional methods used within this domain. This paper presents a composite model that merges a deep learning approach with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 V Ncume , T. L van Zyl , A Paskaramoorthy

This study presents a novel approach to incorporating news topics and their associated sentiment into predictions of breakeven inflation rate (BEIR) movements for eight countries with mature bond markets. We calibrate five classes of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Sonja Tilly , Giacomo Livan

A sentiment analysis system powered by machine learning was created in this study to improve real-time social network public opinion monitoring. For sophisticated sentiment identification, the suggested approach combines cutting-edge…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Arsen Tolebay Nurlanuly

News media coverage of monetary policy is not a passive transcript of central-bank communication: it filters announcements, macroeconomic news, and editorial choices into narratives that move expectations and policy decisions. We embed…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-15 Firmin Ayivodji , Etienne Briand , Kevin Moran , Dalibor Stevanovic

Efficient Market Hypothesis is the popular theory about stock prediction. With its failure much research has been carried in the area of prediction of stocks. This project is about taking non quantifiable data such as financial news…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-07-08 Joshi Kalyani , Prof. H. N. Bharathi , Prof. Rao Jyothi
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