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Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

Temporal graph signals are multivariate time series with individual components associated with nodes of a fixed graph structure. Data of this kind arises in many domains including activity of social network users, sensor network readings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Maxwell McNeil , Lin Zhang , Petko Bogdanov

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

We attempt to forecast the Sun's sunspot butterfly diagram in both space (i.e. in latitude) and time, instead of the usual one-dimensional time series forecasts prevalent in the scientific literature. We use a prediction method based on the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-11 Eurico Covas

We present a data-driven method for separating complex, multiscale systems into their constituent time-scale components using a recursive implementation of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Local linear models are built from windowed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Daniel Dylewsky , Molei Tao , J. Nathan Kutz

Spatiotemporal (ST) data collected by sensors can be represented as multi-variate time series, which is a sequence of data points listed in an order of time. Despite the vast amount of useful information, the ST data usually suffer from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Li Jiang , Ting Zhang , Qiruyi Zuo , Chenyu Tian , George P. Chan , Wai Kin , Chan

We introduce MoTIF, a mode-structured tensor framework for multi-parametric approximation, super-resolution, and temporal forecasting of high-dimensional unsteady systems. The methodology leverages High-Order Singular Value Decomposition…

Many multi-variate time series obtained in the natural sciences and engineering possess a repetitive behavior, as for instance state-space trajectories of industrial machines in discrete automation. Recovering the times of recurrence from…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Simon Schindler , Elias Steffen Reich , Saverio Messineo , Simon Hoher , Stefan Huber

Topological data analysis refers to approaches for systematically and reliably computing abstract ``shapes'' of complex data sets. There are various applications of topological data analysis in life and data sciences, with growing interest…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2023-07-26 Daniel Leykam , Dimitris G. Angelakis

Various subsystems of the Earth system may undergo critical transitions by passing a so-called tipping point, under sustained changes to forcing. For example, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is of particular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-01 Kerstin Lux , Peter Ashwin , Richard Wood , Christian Kuehn

Understanding pattern formation in crossing pedestrian flows is essential for analyzing and managing high-density crowd dynamics in urban environments. This study presents two complementary methodological approaches to detect and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-24 Piotr Nyczka , Pratik Mullick

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In this work we study the topological properties of temporal hypergraphs. Hypergraphs provide a higher dimensional generalization of a graph that is capable of capturing multi-way connections. As such, they have become an integral part of…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Audun Myers , Cliff Joslyn , Bill Kay , Emilie Purvine , Gregory Roek , Madelyn Shapiro

The sea surface temperature (SST), a key environmental parameter, is crucial to optimizing production planning, making its accurate prediction a vital research topic. However, the inherent nonlinearity of the marine dynamic system presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Yin Wang , Chunlin Gong , Xiang Wu , Hanleran Zhang

When the complete understanding of a complex system is not available, as, e.g., for systems considered in the real-world, we need a top-down approach to complexity. In this approach one may start with the desire to understand general…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-22 Joachim Peinke , Mohammad Reza Rahimi Tabar , Matthias Wächter

Topological methods can provide a way of proposing new metrics and methods of scrutinising data, that otherwise may be overlooked. In this work, a method of quantifying the shape of data, via a topic called topological data analysis will be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-25 Tristan Gowdridge , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

This paper presents Space-Time MultiGrid (STMG) methods which are suitable for performing topology optimisation of transient heat conduction problems. The proposed methods use a pointwise smoother and uniform Cartesian space-time meshes.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Magnus Appel , Joe Alexandersen

Time series prediction is crucial for understanding and forecasting complex dynamics in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to climate and healthcare. Based on Transformer architecture, one approach involves encoding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Xin Cheng , Xiuying Chen , Shuqi Li , Di Luo , Xun Wang , Dongyan Zhao , Rui Yan

Phase separation mechanisms can produce a variety of complicated and intricate microstructures, which often can be difficult to characterize in a quantitative way. In recent years, a number of novel topological metrics for microstructures…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Paweł Dłotko , Thomas Wanner

The climate is a complex non-equilibrium dynamical system that relaxes toward a steady state under the continuous input of solar radiation and dissipative mechanisms. The steady state is not necessarily unique. A useful tool to describe the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-31 Maura Brunetti , Charline Ragon