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Conditional density estimation generalizes regression by modeling a full density f(yjx) rather than only the expected value E(yjx). This is important for many tasks, including handling multi-modality and generating prediction intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Michael P. Holmes , Alexander G. Gray , Charles Lee Isbell

In this paper we propose a new method of joint nonparametric estimation of probability density and its support. As is well known, nonparametric kernel density estimator has "boundary bias problem" when the support of the population density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Taku Moriyama

Kernel density estimation (KDE) is one of the most widely used nonparametric density estimation methods. The fact that it is a memory-based method, i.e., it uses the entire training data set for prediction, makes it unsuitable for most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Joseph A. Gallego , Juan F. Osorio , Fabio A. González

The paper considers nonparametric kernel density/regression estimation from a stochastic optimization point of view. The estimation problem is represented through a family of stochastic optimization problems. Recursive constrained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Vladimir Norkin , Vladimir Kirilyuk

We establish a general form of explicit, input-dependent, measure-valued warpings for learning nonstationary kernels. While stationary kernels are ubiquitous and simple to use, they struggle to adapt to functions that vary in smoothness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Anthony Tompkins , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

We present a new smooth, Gaussian-like kernel that allows the kernel density estimate for an angular distribution to be exactly represented by a finite number of its Fourier series coefficients. Distributions of angular quantities, such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-10 Michael T. McCann , Matthew Fickus , Jelena Kovacevic

Continuous treatments (e.g., doses) arise often in practice, but many available causal effect estimators are limited by either requiring parametric models for the effect curve, or by not allowing doubly robust covariate adjustment. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 Edward H. Kennedy , Zongming Ma , Matthew D. McHugh , Dylan S. Small

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

Kernel density estimation (KDE) is integral to a range of generative and discriminative tasks in machine learning. Drawing upon tools from the multidimensional calculus of variations, we derive an optimal weight function that reduces bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Sangwoong Yoon , Frank C. Park , Gunsu S Yun , Iljung Kim , Yung-Kyun Noh

Kernel means are frequently used to represent probability distributions in machine learning problems. In particular, the well known kernel density estimator and the kernel mean embedding both have the form of a kernel mean. Unfortunately,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-03 E. Cruz Cortés , C. Scott

We describe a variational approximation method for efficient inference in large-scale probabilistic models. Variational methods are deterministic procedures that provide approximations to marginal and conditional probabilities of interest.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-30 T. S. Jaakkola , M. I. Jordan

This work is concerned with the study of asymptotic properties of nonparametric density estimates in the framework of circular data. The estimation procedure here applied is based on wavelet thresholding methods: the wavelets used are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Claudio Durastanti

Variational inference is a general framework to obtain approximations to the posterior distribution in a Bayesian context. In essence, variational inference entails an optimization over a given family of probability distributions to choose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Janis Keck

This paper investigates the size performance of Wald tests for CAViaR models (Engle and Manganelli, 2004). We find that the usual estimation strategy on test statistics yields inaccuracies. Indeed, we show that existing density estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-03 Alain Hecq , Li Sun

This paper deals with the kernel density estimator based on the so-called sinc (or Fourier integral) kernel $K(x)=(\pi x)^{-1}\sin x$. We study in detail both asymptotic and finite sample properties of this estimator. It is shown that,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Ingrid Kristine Glad , Nils Lid Hjort , Nikolai G. Ushakov

A variance reduction technique in nonparametric smoothing is proposed: at each point of estimation, form a linear combination of a preliminary estimator evaluated at nearby points with the coefficients specified so that the asymptotic bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ming-Yen Cheng , Liang Peng , Jyh-Shyang Wu

The bandwidth of a kernel function is a crucial parameter in the mean shift algorithm. This paper proposes a novel adaptive bandwidth strategy which contains three main contributions. (1) The differences among different adaptive bandwidth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Fanyang Meng , Hong Liu , Yongsheng Liang , Wei Liu , Jihong Pei

Asymptotic properties of three estimators of probability density function of sample maximum $f_{(m)}:=mfF^{m-1}$ are derived, where $m$ is a function of sample size $n$. One of the estimators is the parametrically fitted by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Taku Moriyama

Motivated by small bandwidth asymptotics for kernel-based semiparametric estimators in econometrics, this paper establishes Gaussian approximation results for high-dimensional fixed-order $U$-statistics whose kernels depend on the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Shunsuke Imai , Yuta Koike

A novel strategy that combines a given collection of $\pi$-reversible Markov kernels is proposed. At each Markov transition, one of the available kernels is selected via a state-dependent probability distribution. In contrast to random-scan…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-30 Florian Maire , Pierre Vandekerkhove