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Asymptotic properties of parametric and nonparametric probability density estimators of sample maximum

Statistics Theory 2022-06-13 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

Asymptotic properties of three estimators of probability density function of sample maximum f(m):=mfFm1f_{(m)}:=mfF^{m-1} are derived, where mm is a function of sample size nn. One of the estimators is the parametrically fitted by the approximating generalized extreme value density function. However, the parametric fitting is misspecified in finite mm cases. The misspecification comes from mainly the following two: the difference mm and the selected block size kk, and the poor approximation f(m)f_{(m)} to the generalized extreme value density which depends on the magnitude of mm and the extreme index γ\gamma. The convergence rate of the approximation gets slower as γ\gamma tends to zero. As alternatives two nonparametric density estimators are proposed which are free from the misspecification. The first is a plug-in type of kernel density estimator and the second is a block-maxima-based kernel density estimator. Theoretical study clarifies the asymptotic convergence rate of the plug-in type estimator is faster than the block-maxima-based estimator when γ>1\gamma> -1. A numerical comparative study on the bandwidth selection shows the performances of a plug-in approach and cross-validation approach depend on γ\gamma and are totally comparable. Numerical study demonstrates that the plug-in nonparametric estimator with the estimated bandwidth by either approach overtakes the parametrically fitting estimator especially for distributions with γ\gamma close to zero as mm gets large.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2206.04868,
  title  = {Asymptotic properties of parametric and nonparametric probability density estimators of sample maximum},
  author = {Taku Moriyama},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2206.04868},
  year   = {2022}
}