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This study performs analysis of Predictive statements, Hope speech, and Regret Detection behaviors within cryptocurrency-related discussions, leveraging advanced natural language processing techniques. We introduce a novel classification…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Moein Shahiki Tash , Zahra Ahani , Mohim Tash , Olga Kolesnikova , Grigori Sidorov

This paper introduces CryptoAnalytics, a software toolkit for cryptocoins price forecasting with machine learning (ML) techniques. Cryptocoins are tradable digital assets exchanged for specific trading prices. While history has shown the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

Twitter as a new form of social media potentially contains useful information that opens new opportunities for content analysis on tweets. This paper examines the predictive power of Twitter regarding the US presidential election of 2012.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-03 Kazem Jahanbakhsh , Yumi Moon

This paper provides an extensive examination of a sizable dataset of English tweets focusing on nine widely recognized cryptocurrencies, specifically Cardano, Binance, Bitcoin, Dogecoin, Ethereum, Fantom, Matic, Shiba, and Ripple. Our…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Zahra Ahani , Moein Shahiki Tash , Yoel Ledo Mezquita , Jason Angel

Analysing sentiment of tweets is important as it helps to determine the users' opinion. Knowing people's opinion is crucial for several purposes starting from gathering knowledge about customer base, e-governance, campaigning and many more.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-11-30 Lahari Poddar , Kishaloy Halder , Xianyan Jia

In the last couple decades, social network services like Twitter have generated large volumes of data about users and their interests, providing meaningful business intelligence so organizations can better understand and engage their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Angela Lin

The intricate behavior patterns of financial markets are influenced by fundamental, technical, and psychological factors. During times of high volatility and regime shifts causes many traditional strategies like trend-following or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Varun Narayan Kannan Pillai , Akshay Ajith , Sumesh K J

Extreme pricing anomalies may occur unexpectedly without a trivial cause, and equity traders typically experience a meticulous process to source disparate information and analyze its reliability before integrating it into the trusted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Pok Wah Chan

A salient dynamic property of social media is bursting behavior. In this paper, we study bursting behavior in terms of the temporal relation between a preceding baseline fluctuation and the successive burst response using a frequency time…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Mizuki Oka , Yasuhiro Hashimoto , Takashi Ikegami

This study identifies the key factors influencing the price movements of major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Binance Coin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, and Tether, using Bayesian networks (BNs). This study addresses two key challenges:…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Rasoul Amirzadeh , Asef Nazari , Dhananjay Thiruvady , Mong Shan Ee

Opinion prediction on Twitter is challenging due to the transient nature of tweet content and neighbourhood context. In this paper, we model users' tweet posting behaviour as a temporal point process to jointly predict the posting time and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Lixing Zhu , Yulan He , Deyu Zhou

Social media platforms often foster environments where users primarily engage with content that aligns with their existing beliefs, thereby reinforcing their views and limiting exposure to opposing viewpoints. In this paper, we analyze X…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Blas Kolic , Fabián Aguirre-López , Sergio Hernández-Williams , Guillermo Garduño-Hernández

Behavioral economics show us that emotions play an important role in individual behavior and decision-making. Does this also affect collective decision making in a community? Here we investigate whether the community sentiment energy of a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-11 Xiang Wang , Chen Wang , Zhaoyun Ding , Min Zhu , Jiumin Huang

Background: Studies examining how sentiment on social media varies depending on timing and location appear to produce inconsistent results, making it hard to design systems that use sentiment to detect localized events for public health…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Zubair Shah , Paige Martin , Enrico Coiera , Kenneth D. Mandl , Adam G. Dunn

By capturing the prevailing sentiment and market mood, textual data has become increasingly vital for forecasting commodity prices, particularly in metal markets. However, the effectiveness of lightweight, finetuned large language models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Alvaro Paredes Amorin , Andre Python , Christoph Weisser

Precise short-term price prediction in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is critical for informed trading strategies. Although Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs) have shown potential, their direct use often struggles in the face of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram

Inferring socioeconomic attributes of social media users such as occupation and income is an important problem in computational social science. Automated inference of such characteristics has applications in personalised recommender…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-04-12 Nikolaos Aletras , Benjamin Paul Chamberlain

We endorse the idea, suggested in recent literature, that BitCoin prices are influenced by sentiment and confidence about the underlying technology; as a consequence, an excitement about the BitCoin system may propagate to BitCoin prices…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-23 Alessandra Cretarola , Gianna Figà-Talamanca

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

Stock price prediction can be made more efficient by considering the price fluctuations and understanding the sentiments of people. A limited number of models understand financial jargon or have labelled datasets concerning stock price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Mukul Jaggi , Priyanka Mandal , Shreya Narang , Usman Naseem , Matloob Khushi