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The new digital revolution of big data is deeply changing our capability of understanding society and forecasting the outcome of many social and economic systems. Unfortunately, information can be very heterogeneous in the importance,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-16 Gabriele Ranco , Ilaria Bordino , Giacomo Bormetti , Guido Caldarelli , Fabrizio Lillo , Michele Treccani

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu

Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

We study the problem of predicting the future performance of cryptocurrencies using social media data. We propose a new model to measure the engagement of users with topics discussed on social media based on interactions with social media…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Khizar Qureshi , Tauhid Zaman

Cryptocurrencies have become a trendy topic recently, primarily due to their disruptive potential and reports of unprecedented returns. In addition, academics increasingly acknowledge the predictive power of Social Media in many fields and,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-04 Federico D'Amario , Milos Ciganovic

Social Media offer a vast amount of geo-located and time-stamped textual content directly generated by people. This information can be analysed to obtain insights about the general state of a large population of users and to address…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-04-22 Vasileios Lampos , Thomas Lansdall-Welfare , Ricardo Araya , Nello Cristianini

Stock price movements are influenced by many factors, and alongside historical price data, tex-tual information is a key source. Public news and social media offer valuable insights into market sentiment and emerging events. These sources…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Wenyan Xu , Dawei Xiang , Rundong Wang , Yonghong Hu , Liang Zhang , Jiayu Chen , Zhonghua Lu

Sentiment analysis possesses the potential of diverse applicability on digital platforms. Sentiment analysis extracts the polarity to understand the intensity and subjectivity in the text. This work uses a lexicon-based method to perform…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Muhammad Raees , Samina Fazilat

In this work, we tackle the problem of predicting entity popularity on Twitter based on the news cycle. We apply a supervised learn- ing approach and extract four types of features: (i) signal, (ii) textual, (iii) sentiment and (iv)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Pedro Saleiro , Carlos Soares

Predicting the trend of Bitcoin, a highly volatile cryptocurrency, remains a challenging task. Accurate forecasting holds immense potential for investors and market participants dealing with High Frequency Trading systems. The purpose of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Zeinab Shahsafdari , Ahmad Kalhor

For both investors and policymakers, forecasting the stock market is essential as it serves as an indicator of economic well-being. To this end, we harness the power of social media data, a rich source of public sentiment, to enhance the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu , Taoran Ji

Cryptocurrency blockchains, beyond their primary role as distributed payment systems, are increasingly used to store and share arbitrary content, such as text messages and files. Although often non-financial, this hidden content can impact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Charalampos Kleitsikas , Nikolaos Korfiatis , Stefanos Leonardos , Carmine Ventre

In the era of rapid technological advancement, social media platforms such as Twitter (X) have emerged as indispensable tools for gathering consumer insights, capturing diverse opinions, and understanding public attitudes. This research…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-10-23 S M Rakib Ul Karim , Rownak Ara Rasul , Tunazzina Sultana

In this paper, we present computational models to predict Twitter users' attitude towards a specific brand through their personal and social characteristics. We also predict their likelihood to take different actions based on their…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-04-18 Jalal Mahmud , Geli Fei , Anbang Xu , Aditya Pal , Michelle Zhou

In this paper, we propose a model to analyze sentiment of online stock forum and use the information to predict the stock volatility in the Chinese market. We have labeled the sentiment of the online financial posts and make the dataset…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-09 Yifan Liu , Zengchang Qin , Pengyu Li , Tao Wan

Studies conducted on financial market prediction lack a comprehensive feature set that can carry a broad range of contributing factors; therefore, leading to imprecise results. Furthermore, while cooperating with the most recent innovations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Amirhossein Aminimehr , Amin Aminimehr , Hamid Moradi Kamali , Sauleh Eetemadi , Saeid Hoseinzade

There is a consensus about the good sensing characteristics of Twitter to mine and uncover knowledge in financial markets, being considered a relevant feeder for taking decisions about buying or holding stock shares and even for detecting…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-20 Ana Fernández Vilas , Rebeca Díaz Redondo , Antón Lorenzo García

The growing popularity of social media (e.g, Twitter) allows users to easily share information with each other and influence others by expressing their own sentiments on various subjects. In this work, we propose an unsupervised…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-06-13 Linhong Zhu , Aram Galstyan , James Cheng , Kristina Lerman

In the past few years, there has been a huge growth in Twitter sentiment analysis having already provided a fair amount of research on sentiment detection of public opinion among Twitter users. Given the fact that Twitter messages are…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Sotiris K. Tasoulis , Aristidis G. Vrahatis , Spiros V. Georgakopoulos , Vassilis P. Plagianakos

This work extends the set of works which deal with the popular problem of sentiment analysis in Twitter. It investigates the most popular document ("tweet") representation methods which feed sentiment evaluation mechanisms. In particular,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Evangelos Psomakelis , Konstantinos Tserpes , Dimosthenis Anagnostopoulos , Theodora Varvarigou