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We determine an empirical dense matter equation of state from a heterogeneous dataset of six neutron stars: three type I X-ray bursters with photospheric radius expansion, studied by Ozel et al., and three transient low-mass X-ray binaries.…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-05-18 Andrew W. Steiner , James M. Lattimer , Edward F. Brown

We develop a Bayesian analysis method for selecting the most probable equation of state under a set of constraints from compact star physics, which now include the tidal deformability from GW170817. We apply this method for the first time…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2019-02-19 A. Ayriyan , D. Alvarez-Castillo , D. Blaschke , H. Grigorian

We derive bounds on the equation of state of cold, dense matter by extending the causal, model-agnostic interpolation between chiral effective field theory and perturbative calculations with a microscopic constraint from relativistic…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-12-22 Michał Marczenko

We utilise the phenomenologically parameterized piecewise polytropic equations of state to study various neutron star properties. We investigate the compliance of these equations of state with several astronomical observations. We also…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-05-04 Jaikhomba Singha , S. Mullai Vaneshwar , Ankit Kumar

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

While nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations arise naturally in spatiotemporal modeling, inference for such systems often faces two major challenges: sparse noisy data and ill-posedness of the inverse problem of parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Fei Lu , Nils Weitzel , Adam H. Monahan

A method is developed for fitting theoretically predicted astronomical spectra to an observed spectrum. Using a hierarchical Bayesian principle, the method takes both systematic and statistical measurement errors into account, which has not…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Z. Shkedy , L. Decin , G. Molenberghs , C. Aerts

In this contribution, we briefly present the equation-of-state modelling for application to neutron stars and discuss current constraints coming from nuclear physics theory and experiments. To assess the impact of model uncertainties, we…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-11-14 A. F. Fantina , F. Gulminelli

In this paper we consider the issue of paradigm evaluation by applying Bayes' theorem along the following nested hierarchy of progressively more complex structures: i) parameter estimation (within a model), ii) model selection and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-02 Giulia Gubitosi , Macarena Lagos , Joao Magueijo , Rupert Allison

In this work, we compare two powerful parameter estimation methods namely Bayesian inference and Neural Network based learning to study the quark matter equation of state with constant speed of sound parametrization and the structure of the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-12-16 Silvia Traversi , Prasanta Char

We revisit the theoretical priors used for inferring Dark Energy (DE) parameters. Any DE model must have some form of a tracker mechanism such that it behaved as matter or radiation in the past. Otherwise, the model is fine-tuned. We…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-24 Ido Ben-Dayan , Utkarsh Kumar

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

We aim to present a generalized Bayesian inference method for constraining interiors of super Earths and sub-Neptunes. Our methodology succeeds in quantifying the degeneracy and correlation of structural parameters for high dimensional…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-09 C. Dorn , J. Venturini , A. Khan , K. Heng , Y. Alibert , R. Helled , A. Rivoldini , W. Benz

One of the key goals of observing neutron stars is to infer the equation of state (EoS) of the cold, ultradense matter in their interiors. We present here a Bayesian statistical method of inferring the pressures at five fixed densities,…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-08-09 Carolyn A. Raithel , Feryal Özel , Dimitrios Psaltis

This is an introduction to Bayesian inference with a focus on hierarchical models and hyper-parameters. We write primarily for an audience of Bayesian novices, but we hope to provide useful insights for seasoned veterans as well. Examples…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-26 Eric Thrane , Colm Talbot

Bayesian analysis of state-space models includes computing the posterior distribution of the system's parameters as well as filtering, smoothing, and predicting the system's latent states. When the latent states wander around $\mathbb{R}^n$…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Jesse Windle , Carlos M. Carvalho

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Neutron stars provide a natural laboratory for studying the properties of dense nuclear matter under extreme conditions. In this proceeding, we review our current understanding of dense isospin symmetric and asymmetric matter and neutron…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-04-01 Rajesh Kumar , Veronica Dexheimer , Johannes Jahan

The neutron star equation of state is now being constrained from a diverse set of multi-messenger data, including gravitational waves from binary neutron star mergers, X-ray observations of the neutron star radius, and many types of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2021-02-24 Carolyn Raithel , Feryal Ozel , Dimitrios Psaltis