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In almost every scientific field, an experiment involves collecting data and then analysing it. The analysis stage will often consist in trying to extract some physical parameter and estimating its uncertainty; this is known as Parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 Louis Lyons

In an indirect Gaussian sequence space model lower and upper bounds are derived for the concentration rate of the posterior distribution of the parameter of interest shrinking to the parameter value $\theta^\circ$ that generates the data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Jan Johannes , Anna Simoni , Rudolf Schenk

Recent multi-channel astrophysics observations and the soon-to-be published new measured electromagnetic and gravitation data provide information on the inner structure of the compact stars. These macroscopic observations can significantly…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-05-07 Péter Pósfay , Gergely Gábor Barnaföldi , Antal Jakovác

Bayesian methods are used to constrain the density dependence of the QCD Equation of State (EoS) for dense nuclear matter using the data of mean transverse kinetic energy and elliptic flow of protons from heavy ion collisions (HIC), in the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-11-20 Manjunath Omana Kuttan , Jan Steinheimer , Kai Zhou , Horst Stoecker

The application of Bayesian methods in cosmology and astrophysics has flourished over the past decade, spurred by data sets of increasing size and complexity. In many respects, Bayesian methods have proven to be vastly superior to more…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Roberto Trotta

We propose a model-independent parametrization of dark energy motivated by thermodynamics. To this aim, we consider Pad\'e polynomials to reconstruct the form of deceleration parameter adequate to describe different epochs of cosmic history…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-24 Salvatore Capozziello , Rocco D'Agostino , Orlando Luongo

Perturbed stationary axisymmetric isolated bodies, e.g. stars, represented by a matter-filled interior and an asymptotically flat vacuum exterior joined at a surface where the Darmois matching conditions are satisfied, are considered. The…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Malcolm A. H. MacCallum , Marc Mars , Raül Vera

To justify the twenty years old distant Ia Supernova observations which revealed to us that our universe is experiencing a late time cosmic acceleration, propositions of existence of exotic fluids inside our universe are made. These fluids…

General Physics · Physics 2019-05-20 Promila Biswas , Ritabrata Biswas

I review the observational prospects to constrain the equation of state parameter of dark energy and I discuss the potential of future imaging and redshift surveys. Bayesian model selection is used to address the question of the level of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Roberto Trotta

We address the problem of Bayesian inference for parameters in ordinary differential equation (ODE) models based on observational data. Conventional approaches in this setting typically rely on numerical solvers such as the Euler or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Shoji Toyota , Yuto Miyatake

In many inverse problems, model parameters cannot be precisely determined from observational data. Bayesian inference provides a mechanism for capturing the resulting parameter uncertainty, but typically at a high computational cost. This…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-28 Matthew Parno , Tarek Moselhy , Youssef Marzouk

We present a new inference framework for neutron star astrophysics based on conditional variational autoencoders. Once trained, the generator block of the model reconstructs the neutron star equation of state from a given set of mass-radius…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-01-23 Márcio Ferreira , Michał Bejger

In this work, the uncertainty associated with the finite element discretization error is modeled following the Bayesian paradigm. First, a continuous formulation is derived, where a Gaussian process prior over the solution space is updated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Anne Poot , Pierre Kerfriden , Iuri Rocha , Frans van der Meer

A central concept in active inference is that the internal states of a physical system parametrise probability measures over states of the external world. These can be seen as an agent's beliefs, expressed as a Bayesian prior or posterior.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Nathaniel Virgo , Martin Biehl , Simon McGregor

High-dimensional Bayesian procedures often exhibit behavior that is effectively low dimensional, even when the ambient parameter space is large or infinite-dimensional. This phenomenon underlies the success of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Sayantan Banerjee

A novel equation of state used for analysis of the heavy ion collision experimental data is generalized to also describe the matter inside neutron stars. This approach differs from others by including an induced surface tension caused by…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2019-02-20 V. Sagun , I. Lopes , A. Ivanytskyi

We investigate the dark energy phenomenology in an extended parameter space where we allow the curvature density of our universe as a free-to-vary parameter. The inclusion of the curvature density parameter is motivated from the recently…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-29 Mehdi Rezaei , Supriya Pan , Weiqiang Yang , David F. Mota

This paper defines a novel Bayesian inverse problem to infer an infinite-dimensional uncertain operator appearing in a differential equation, whose action on an observable state variable affects its dynamics. Inference is made tractable by…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-07 Teresa Portone , Robert D. Moser

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\bm\theta$ of physical significance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose a method for estimating the posterior distribution of a standard geostatistical model. After choosing the model formulation and specifying a prior, we use normal mixture densities to approximate the posterior distribution. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-10 Zepu Zhang
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