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In order to calculate the unobserved volatility in conditional heteroscedastic time series models, the natural recursive approximation is very often used. Following \cite{StraumannMikosch2006}, we will call the model \emph{invertible} if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 Alexey Sorokin

In the present paper, we consider a Cauchy problem for a linear second order in time abstract differential equation with pure delay. In the absence of delay, this problem, known as the harmonic oscillator, has a two-dimensional eigenspace…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-08 Denys Khusainov , Michael Pokojovy , Elvin Azizbayov

This paper proposes a novel conditional heteroscedastic time series model by applying the framework of quantile regression processes to the ARCH(\infty) form of the GARCH model. This model can provide varying structures for conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Qianqian Zhu , Songhua Tan , Yao Zheng , Guodong Li

Under an appropriate regular variation condition, the affinely normalized partial sums of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stable random variable. A functional version…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bojan Basrak , Danijel Krizmanić , Johan Segers

We prove quantitative convergence rates at which discrete Langevin-like processes converge to the invariant distribution of a related stochastic differential equation. We study the setup where the additive noise can be non-Gaussian and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Xiang Cheng , Dong Yin , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Dilatively stable processes generalize the class of infinitely divisible self-similar processes. We reformulate and extend the definition of dilative stability introduced by Igl\'oi (2008) using characteristic functions. We also generalize…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Peter Kern , Gyula Pap

In this paper we study the time differential dual-phase-lag model of heat conduction incorporating the microstructural interaction effect in the fast-transient process of heat transport. We analyse the influence of the delay times upon some…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-19 Stan Chirita , Michele Ciarletta , Vincenzo Tibullo

We study a one-dimensional kinetic stochastic model driven by a L{\'e}vy process with a non-linear time-inhomogeneous drift. More precisely, the process $(V,X)$ is considered, where $X$ is the position of the particle and its velocity $V$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Mihai Gradinaru , Emeline Luirard

Scaling properties of time series are usually studied in terms of the scaling laws of empirical moments, which are the time average estimates of moments of the dynamic variable. Nonlinearities in the scaling function of empirical moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo

Semi-Markov processes are a generalization of Markov processes since the exponential distribution of time intervals is replaced with an arbitrary distribution. This paper provides an integro-differential form of the Kolmogorov's backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Enzo Orsingher , Costantino Ricciuti , Bruno Toaldo

The goal of this paper is to understand the conditional law of a stochastic process once it has been observed over an interval. To make this precise, we introduce the notion of a continuous disintegration: a regular conditional probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-24 Tom LaGatta

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

For a given time horizon DT, this article explores the relationship between the realized volatility (the volatility that will occur between t and t+DT), the implied volatility (corresponding to at-the-money option with expiry at t+DT), and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-16 Gilles Zumbach

Stochastic quantization in physics has been considered to provide a path integral representation of a probability distribution for Ito processes. It has been indicated that the stochastic quantization can involve a potential term, if the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Masakazu Sano

In this paper we consider a viscoelastic wave equation with a time-varying delay term, the coefficient of which is not necessarily positive. By introducing suitable energy and Lyapunov functionals, under suitable assumptions, we establish a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Wenjun Liu

We derive a criterium for the almost sure finiteness of perpetual integrals of \LL processes for a class of real functions including all continuous functions and for general one-dimensional L\'evy processes that drifts to plus infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Martin Kolb , Mladen Savov

Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models have long been considered as one of the most successful families of approaches for volatility modeling in financial return series. In this paper, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-29 Emmanouil A. Platanios , Sotirios P. Chatzis

We consider a discrete time dynamic system described by a difference equation with periodic coefficients and with additive stochastic noise. We investigate the possibility of the periodicity for the solution. In particular, we found…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-09-02 Alexandra Rodkina , Nikolai Dokuchaev , John Appleby

In this paper we study the asymptotic properties of the power variations of stochastic processes of the type X=Y+L, where L is an alpha-stable Levy process, and Y a perturbation which satisfies some mild Lipschitz continuity assumptions. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-25 C. Hein , P. Imkeller , I. Pavlyukevich
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