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We present a proof-of-concept of a model comparison approach for analyzing spatio-temporal observations of interacting populations. Our model variants are a collection of structurally similar Bayesian networks. Their distinct Noisy-Or…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Nat Kendal-Freedman , Joseph Victor Fiorillo Meleshko , Aaron Yip , Brian Ingalls

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

Bayesian shrinkage methods have generated a lot of recent interest as tools for high-dimensional regression and model selection. These methods naturally facilitate tractable uncertainty quantification and incorporation of prior information.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 Bala Rajaratnam , Doug Sparks , Kshitij Khare , Liyuan Zhang

Many recently developed Bayesian methods have focused on sparse signal detection. However, much less work has been done addressing the natural follow-up question: how to make valid inferences for the magnitude of those signals after…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Spencer Woody , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

The usefulness of Bayesian models for density and cluster estimation is well established across multiple literatures. However, there is still a known tension between the use of simpler, more interpretable models and more flexible, complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Henrique Bolfarine , Hedibert F. Lopes , Carlos M. Carvalho

Noisy label learning aims to train deep neural networks using a large amount of samples with noisy labels, whose main challenge comes from how to deal with the inaccurate supervision caused by wrong labels. Existing works either take the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Sihan Bai

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck

This paper presents a new modeling strategy for joint unsupervised analysis of multiple high-throughput biological studies. As in Multi-study Factor Analysis, our goals are to identify both common factors shared across studies and…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-27 Roberta De Vito , Ruggero Bellio , Lorenzo Trippa , Giovanni Parmigiani

We propose a novel method ($floZ$), based on normalizing flows, to estimate the Bayesian evidence (and its numerical uncertainty) from a pre-existing set of samples drawn from the unnormalized posterior distribution. We validate it on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Rahul Srinivasan , Marco Crisostomi , Roberto Trotta , Enrico Barausse , Matteo Breschi

High throughput screening of compounds (chemicals) is an essential part of drug discovery [7], involving thousands to millions of compounds, with the purpose of identifying candidate hits. Most statistical tools, including the industry…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-29 Ivo D. Shterev , David B. Dunson , Cliburn Chan , Gregory D. Sempowski

The past decades have seen enormous improvements in computational inference based on statistical models, with continual enhancement in a wide range of computational tools, in competition. In Bayesian inference, first and foremost, MCMC…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-12 Peter J. Green , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Marcelo Pereyra , Christian P. Robert

Fairness concerns are increasingly critical as machine learning models are deployed in high-stakes applications. While existing fairness-aware methods typically intervene at the model level, they often suffer from high computational costs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Yixuan Zhang , Jiabin Luo , Zhenggang Wang , Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong

Combining data has become an indispensable tool for managing the current diversity and abundance of data. But, as data complexity and data volume swell, the computational demands of previously proposed models for combining data escalate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-13 Mario Figueira , David Conesa , Antonio López-Quílez , Iosu Paradinas

The Bayesian approach to data analysis provides a powerful way to handle uncertainty in all observations, model parameters, and model structure using probability theory. Probabilistic programming languages make it easier to specify and fit…

Data scientists have relied on samples to analyze populations of interest for decades. Recently, with the increase in the number of public data repositories, sample data has become easier to access. It has not, however, become easier to…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Laurel Orr , Samuel Ainsworth , Walter Cai , Kevin Jamieson , Magda Balazinska , Dan Suciu

In this work, we propose a modified Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) specifically designed for mixture models and hierarchical structures. This criterion incorporates the determinant of the Hessian matrix of the log-likelihood function,…

Bayesian model selection is a tool to decide whether the introduction of a new parameter is warranted by data. I argue that the usual sampling statistic significance tests for a null hypothesis can be misleading, since they do not take into…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Roberto Trotta

This paper devises a fully Bayesian sample size determination method for hierarchical model-based small area estimation with a decision risk approach. A new loss function specified around a desired maximum posterior variance target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-27 Peter Dutey-Magni

We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson

Clustering is a crucial component of many data mining systems involving the analysis and exploration of various data. Data diversity calls for clustering algorithms to be accurate while providing stable (i.e., deterministic and robust)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Artem Lutov , Mourad Khayati , Philippe Cudré-Mauroux