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Bayesian model averaging, model selection and its approximations such as BIC are generally statistically consistent, but sometimes achieve slower rates og convergence than other methods such as AIC and leave-one-out cross-validation. On the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-17 Tim van Erven , Peter Grunwald , Steven de Rooij

Bayesian inference affords scientists with powerful tools for testing hypotheses. One of these tools is the Bayes factor, which indexes the extent to which support for one hypothesis over another is updated after seeing the data. Part of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-11 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

A central problem in analyzing networks is partitioning them into modules or communities. One of the best tools for this is the stochastic block model, which clusters vertices into blocks with statistically homogeneous pattern of links.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-24 Xiaoran Yan

Nested sampling has emerged as a valuable tool for Bayesian analysis, in particular for determining the Bayesian evidence. The method is based on a specific type of random sampling of the likelihood function and prior volume of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Charles R. Keeton

This article presents a new dust SED model, named HerBIE, aimed at eliminating the noise-induced correlations and large scatter obtained when performing least-squares fits. The originality of this code is to apply the hierarchical Bayesian…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2018-02-14 F. Galliano

Stochastic Block Models (SBMs) are a fundamental tool for community detection in network analysis. But little theoretical work exists on the statistical performance of Bayesian SBMs, especially when the community count is unknown. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Sheng Jiang , Surya Tokdar

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework to detect multiple signals embedded in noisy observations from a sensor array. For various states of knowledge on the communication channel and the noise at the receiving sensors, a marginalization…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-09-08 Romain Couillet , Merouane Debbah

Parameter estimates for associated genetic variants, report ed in the initial discovery samples, are often grossly inflated compared to the values observed in the follow-up replication samples. This type of bias is a consequence of the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Lizhen Xu , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

We describe a new and computationally efficient Bayesian methodology for inferring species trees and demographics from unlinked binary markers. Likelihood calculations are carried out using diffusion models of allele frequency dynamics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-18 Marnus Stoltz , Boris Bauemer , Remco Bouckaert , Colin Fox , Gordon Hiscott , David Bryant

Advancements in computational power and methodologies have enabled research on massive datasets. However, tools for analyzing data with directional or periodic characteristics, such as wind directions and customers' arrival time in 24-hour…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Xiang Ye , Janet Van Niekerk , Håvard Rue

Open clusters (OCs) are common in the Milky Way, but most of them remain undiscovered. There are numerous techniques (e.g., machine-learning algorithms) available for the exploration of OCs. However, each method has its limitations and…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2024-03-28 Zhongmu Li , Caiyan Mao

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

We present and implement a probabilistic (Bayesian) method for producing catalogs from images of stellar fields. The method is capable of inferring the number of sources N in the image and can also handle the challenges introduced by noise,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Brendon J. Brewer , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , David W. Hogg

Although many successful ensemble clustering approaches have been developed in recent years, there are still two limitations to most of the existing approaches. First, they mostly overlook the issue of uncertain links, which may mislead the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-06 Dong Huang , Jian-Huang Lai , Chang-Dong Wang

Quality by design in pharmaceutical manufacturing hinges on computational methods and tools that are capable of accurate quantitative prediction of the design space. This paper investigates Bayesian approaches to design space…

This article introduces the bpcs R package (Bayesian Paired Comparison in Stan) and the statistical models implemented in the package. This package aims to facilitate the use of Bayesian models for paired comparison data in behavioral…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 David Issa Mattos , Érika Martins Silva Ramos

Model-based clustering is widely-used in a variety of application areas. However, fundamental concerns remain about robustness. In particular, results can be sensitive to the choice of kernel representing the within-cluster data density.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-27 Leo L Duan , David B Dunson

We present a hierarchical Bayesian inference approach to estimating the structural properties and the phase space center of a globular cluster (GC) given the spatial and kinematic information of its stars based on lowered isothermal cluster…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2023-11-21 Robin Y. Wen , Joshua S. Speagle , Jeremy J. Webb , Gwendolyn M. Eadie

This paper proposes a new linearized mixed data sampling (MIDAS) model and develops a framework to infer clusters in a panel regression with mixed frequency data. The linearized MIDAS estimation method is more flexible and substantially…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-04 Yeonwoo Rho , Yun Liu , Hie Joo Ahn

Bayesian shrinkage methods have generated a lot of recent interest as tools for high-dimensional regression and model selection. These methods naturally facilitate tractable uncertainty quantification and incorporation of prior information.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-17 Bala Rajaratnam , Doug Sparks , Kshitij Khare , Liyuan Zhang