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We make precise sense of the idea of "molecular chaos" through algorithmic randomness of microscopic trajectories, and ground macroscopic irreversibility in the lack of symmetry under time reversal of this property. This concept of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-24 Nino Dekkers , Klaas Landsman

We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Nils B. Becker , Rosalind J. Allen , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

We propose algorithms for sampling from posterior path measures $P(C([0, T], \mathbb{R}^d))$ under a general prior process. This leverages ideas from (1) controlled equilibrium dynamics, which gradually transport between two path measures,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Qijia Jiang , Reuben Cohn-Gordon

Sampling the collective, dynamical fluctuations that lead to nonequilibrium pattern formation requires probing rare regions of trajectory space. Recent approaches to this problem based on importance sampling, cloning, and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Jiawei Yan , Hugo Touchette , Grant M. Rotskoff

We propose parameter optimization techniques for weighted ensemble sampling of Markov chains in the steady-state regime. Weighted ensemble consists of replicas of a Markov chain, each carrying a weight, that are periodically resampled…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-22 David Aristoff , Daniel M. Zuckerman

We compute probability distributions of trajectory observables for reversible and irreversible growth processes. These results reveal a correspondence between reversible and irreversible processes, at particular points in parameter space,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Katherine Klymko , Phillip L. Geissler , Juan P. Garrahan , Stephen Whitelam

We introduce a method to compute the reweighted path ensemble by combining transition interface sampling simulations conditioned on different collective variables. The approach is based on the Multistate Bennett Acceptance Ratio (MBAR)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-20 Rik S. Breebaart , Peter G. Bolhuis

We present a novel Monte Carlo algorithm which enhances equilibrization of low-temperature simulations and allows sampling of configurations over a large range of energies. The method is based on a non-Boltzmann probability weight factor…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-30 Ulrich H. E. Hansmann , Yuko Okamoto

We provide an algorithm based on weighted-ensemble (WE) methods, to accurately sample systems at steady state. Applying our method to different one- and two-dimensional models, we succeed to calculate steady state probabilities of order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Justus A. Kromer , Lutz Schimansky-Geier , Raul Toral

Importance sampling of trajectories has proved a uniquely successful strategy for exploring rare dynamical behaviors of complex systems in an unbiased way. Carrying out this sampling, however, requires an ability to propose changes to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-01 Todd R. Gingrich , Phillip L. Geissler

We present an algorithm for finding the probabilities of rare events in nonequilibrium processes. The algorithm consists of evolving the system with a modified dynamics for which the required event occurs more frequently. By keeping track…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-07 Anupam Kundu , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

Path reweighting is a principally exact method to estimate dynamic properties from biased simulations - provided that the path probability ratio matches the stochastic integrator used in the simulation. Previously reported path probability…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-03-02 Stefanie Kieninger , Bettina G. Keller

Cells use genetic switches to shift between alternate stable gene expression states, e.g., to adapt to new environments or to follow a developmental pathway. Conceptually, these stable phenotypes can be considered as attractive states on an…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-18 Michael Assaf , Shay Be'er , Elijah Roberts

Atomistic modelling of phase transitions, chemical reactions, or other rare events that involve overcoming high free energy barriers usually entails prohibitively long simulation times. Introducing a bias potential as a function of an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-06 Federico Giberti , Bingqing Cheng , Gareth Aneurin Tribello , Michele Ceriotti

We propose here some new sampling algorithms for Path Sampling in the case when stochastic dynamics are used. In particular, we present a new proposal function for equilibrium sampling of paths with a Monte-Carlo dynamics (the so-called…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Gabriel Stoltz

We propose two efficient algorithms for configurational sampling of systems with rough energy landscape. The first one is a new method for the determination of the multicanonical weight factor. In this method a short replica-exchange…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Yuji Sugita , Yuko Okamoto

A significant challenge in molecular dynamics (MD) simulations is ensuring that sampled configurations converge to the equilibrium or nonequilibrium stationary distribution of interest. Lack of convergence constrains the estimation of free…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-03 Sagar Kania , Robert J. Webber , Gideon Simpson , David Aristoff , Daniel M. Zuckerman

The indeterminate nature of human motion requires trajectory prediction systems to use a probabilistic model to formulate the multi-modality phenomenon and infer a finite set of future trajectories. However, the inference processes of most…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Guangyi Chen , Zhenhao Chen , Shunxing Fan , Kun Zhang

Flows are exact-likelihood generative neural networks that transform samples from a simple prior distribution to the samples of the probability distribution of interest. Boltzmann Generators (BG) combine flows and statistical mechanics to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-03 Jonas Köhler , Leon Klein , Frank Noé

Nonequilibrium sampling is potentially much more versatile than its equilibrium counterpart, but it comes with challenges because the invariant distribution is not typically known when the dynamics breaks detailed balance. Here, we derive a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-08 Grant M. Rotskoff , Eric Vanden-Eijnden