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We show the convergence of the characteristic polynomial for random permutation matrices sampled from the generalized Ewens distribution. Under this distribution, the measure of a given permutation depends only on its cycle structure,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Quentin François

Compressive sensing has become a powerful addition to uncertainty quantification when only limited data is available. In this paper we provide a general framework to enhance the sparsity of the representation of uncertainty in the form of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-28 Xiu Yang , Xiaoliang Wan , Lin Lin , Huan Lei

We present an algorithm for computing sparse, least squares-based polynomial chaos expansions, incorporating both adaptive polynomial bases and sequential experimental designs. The algorithm is employed to approximate stochastic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Armin Galetzka , Herbert De Gersem

Accurate modeling of radio wave propagation over irregular terrains is crucial for designing reliable wireless communication systems in such environments, yet uncertainties in the antenna configuration are not quantified within…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Sicheng An , Luca Di Rienzo , Hao Qin , Xingqi Zhang , Lorenzo Codecasa

Compressive sampling has been widely used for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of stochastic functions. The recovery accuracy of compressive sampling highly depends on the incoherence properties of the measurement matrix. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-17 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

We generalize some previous results on random polynomials in several complex variables. A standard setting is to consider random polynomials $H_n(z):=\sum_{j=1}^{m_n} a_jp_j(z)$ that are linear combinations of basis polynomials $\{p_j\}$…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Turgay Bayraktar , Tom Bloom , Norm Levenberg

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

In this contribution, we discuss the construction of Polynomial Chaos surrogates for Monte Carlo radiation transport applications via non-intrusive spectral projection. This contribution focuses on improvements with respect to the approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Gianluca Geraci , Kayla Clements , Aaron J Olson

In contrast to ordinary stochastic differential equations (SDEs), the numerical simulation of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) requires approximating the distribution law first. Based on the theory of propagation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Yuhang Zhang , Minghui Song

We propose the Variation Calibration Error (VCE) metric for assessing the calibration of machine learning classifiers. The metric can be viewed as an extension of the well-known Expected Calibration Error (ECE) which assesses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Andrew Thompson , Vivek Desai

We study the characteristic polynomials of both the Gaussian Orthogonal and Symplectic Ensembles. We show that for both ensembles, powers of the absolute value of the characteristic polynomials converge in law to Gaussian multiplicative…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Pax Kivimae

Implementations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods need to confront two fundamental challenges: accurate representation of prior information and efficient evaluation of likelihoods. Principal component analysis (PCA) and related…

There is a class of models for pol/mil/econ bargaining and conflict that is loosely based on the Median Voter Theorem which has been used with great success for about 30 years. However, there are fundamental mathematical limitations to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-12 Ben Wise , Steven Bankes

This paper proposes a novel computationally efficient dynamic bi-orthogonality based approach for calibration of a computer simulator with high dimensional parametric and model structure uncertainty. The proposed method is based on a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-14 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

In this paper, we introduce a new causal methodology that accounts for the rarity and frequency of events in observational studies based on their relevance to the underlying problem. Specifically, we propose a direct causal effect metric…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Usef Faghihi , Amir Saki

Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Min Tao , Ioannis Zacharopoulos , Constantinos Theodoropoulos

In this work, we consider optimal control problems constrained by elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with lognormal random coefficients, which are represented by a countably infinite-dimensional random parameter with i.i.d.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

Treatment non-compliance, where individuals deviate from their assigned experimental conditions, frequently complicates the estimation of causal effects. To address this, we introduce a novel learning framework based on a mixture of experts…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-25 François Grolleau , Céline Béji , Raphaël Porcher , François Petit

A surrogate model approximates a computationally expensive solver. Polynomial Chaos is a method to construct surrogate models by summing combinations of carefully chosen polynomials. The polynomials are chosen to respect the probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Thomas A. McCourt , Brodie Lawson , Fengde Zhou , Bevan Thompson , Stephen Tyson , Diane Donovan
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