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Since the invention of generalized polynomial chaos in 2002, uncertainty quantification has impacted many engineering fields, including variation-aware design automation of integrated circuits and integrated photonics. Due to the fast…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

The authors present a Polynomial Chaos (PC)-based Bayesian inference method for quantifying the uncertainties of the K-Profile Parametrization (KPP) within the MIT General Circulation Model (MITgcm) of the tropical pacific. The inference of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-21 Ihab Sraj , Sarah E. Zedler , Omar M. Knio , Charles S. Jackson , Ibrahim Hoteit

Gradient-enhanced Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has received recent attention, in which the derivatives of a Quantity of Interest (QoI) with respect to the uncertain parameters are utilized to improve the surrogate approximation.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-23 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) minimizes the reconstruction error given a class of linear models of fixed component dimensionality. Probabilistic PCA adds a probabilistic structure by learning the probability distribution of the PCA…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Vanessa Böhm , Uroš Seljak

The recently introduced basis adaptation method for Homogeneous (Wiener) Chaos expansions is explored in a new context where the rotation/projection matrices are computed by discovering the active subspace where the random input exhibits…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-04 Panagiotis A. Tsilifis

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are a conventional way to describe the observed dynamics of physical systems. Scientists typically hypothesize about dynamical behavior, propose a mathematical model, and compare its predictions to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nils Wildt , Daniel M. Tartakovsky , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCEs) are widely recognized for their efficient computational performance in surrogate modeling. Yet, a robust framework to quantify local model errors is still lacking. While the local uncertainty of PCE…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 A. Hatstatt , X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Incorporating probabilistic terms in mathematical models is crucial for capturing and quantifying uncertainties in real-world systems, especially when the solution is not unique or exhibits sudden qualitative changes as parameters vary.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Isabella Carla Gonnella , Moaad Khamlich , Federico Pichi , Gianluigi Rozza

The present work addresses the issue of accurate stochastic approximations in high-dimensional parametric space using tools from uncertainty quantification (UQ). The basis adaptation method and its accelerated algorithm in polynomial chaos…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Xiaoshu Zeng , Roger Ghanem

Stochastic spectral methods are efficient techniques for uncertainty quantification. Recently they have shown excellent performance in the statistical analysis of integrated circuits. In stochastic spectral methods, one needs to determine a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Zheng Zhang , Tarek A. El-Moselhy , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

A dynamical system can be regarded as an information processing apparatus that encodes input streams from the external environment to its state and processes them through state transitions. The information processing capacity (IPC) is an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-31 Tomoyuki Kubota , Hirokazu Takahashi , Kohei Nakajima

We develop generalized approach to obtaining Edgeworth expansions for $t$-statistics of an arbitrary order using computer algebra and combinatorial algorithms. To incorporate various versions of mean-based statistics, we introduce Adjusted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Inna Gerlovina , Alan E. Hubbard

Artificial Intelligence and Machine learning have been widely used in various fields of mathematical computing, physical modeling, computational science, communication science, and stochastic analysis. Approaches based on Deep Artificial…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Sergey Oladyshkin , Timothy Praditia , Ilja Kröker , Farid Mohammadi , Wolfgang Nowak , Sebastian Otte

In modern engineering, physical processes are modelled and analysed using advanced computer simulations, such as finite element models. Furthermore, concepts of reliability analysis and robust design are becoming popular, hence, making…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-20 Roland Schöbi , Bruno Sudret

A probabilistic performance-oriented controller design approach based on polynomial chaos expansion and optimization is proposed for flight dynamic systems. Unlike robust control techniques where uncertainties are conservatively handled,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Xiang Fang , Florian Holzapfel

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

An integrated optimization method based on the constrained multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MOEA) and non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is proposed, which solves robust multi-objective optimization problems under…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Yuji Takubo , Masahiro Kanazaki

The formation and accretion of ice on the leading edge of a wing can be detrimental to airplane performance. Complicating this reality is the fact that even a small amount of uncertainty in the shape of the accreted ice may result in a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-14 Anthony M. DeGennaro , Clarence W. Rowley , Luigi Martinelli

In this paper, we present an abstract framework to obtain convergence rates for the approximation of random evolution equations corresponding to a random family of forms determined by finite-dimensional noise. The full discretization error…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Katharina Klioba , Christian Seifert

Orthogonal polynomial approximations form the foundation to a set of well-established methods for uncertainty quantification known as polynomial chaos. These approximations deliver models for emulating physical systems in a variety of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Chun Yui Wong , Pranay Seshadri , Andrew B. Duncan , Ashley Scillitoe , Geoffrey Parks
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