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We conduct the first comprehensive meta-analysis of deterministic solar forecasting based on skill score, screening 1,447 papers from Google Scholar and reviewing the full texts of 320 papers for data extraction. A database of 4,687 points…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-13 Thi Ngoc Nguyen , Felix Müsgens

The solar cycle periodically reshapes the magnetic structure and radiative output of the Sun and determines its impact on the heliosphere roughly every 11 years. Besides this main periodicity, it shows century-long variations (including…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-23 A. Munoz-Jaramillo , J. M. Vaquero

The solar interior is probed by the properties of the Sun's acoustic oscillations (p-modes) observed on the solar surface. The frequencies of these p-modes measured in the last three decades show long term variation similar to the 11 year…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-23 Rekha Jain , Akash Kumar , Sushanta C. Tripathy

The sunspot area fluctuations for the northern and the southern hemispheres of the Sun over the epoch of 12 cycles (12-23) are investigated. Because of the asymmetry of their probability distributions, the positive and the negative…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-19 R. Getko

The tilt angle of a sunspot group is a critical quantity in the surface transport of magnetic flux and the solar dynamo. To contribute long-term databases of the tilt angle, we developed an IDL routine, which allows the user to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-04 Emre Isik , Seda Isik , Bahar B. Kabasakal

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

The 11-year sunspot cycle has many irregularities, the most promi- nent amongst them being the grand minima when sunspots may not be seen for several cycles. After summarizing the relevant observational data about the irregularities, we…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Geomagnetic activity has two main peaks in the 11-year sunspot cycle caused by two types of solar agents: coronal mass ejections and high speed solar wind streams, whose variations in number and intensity are related to the variations in…

Space Physics · Physics 2007-12-20 K. Georgieva , B. Kirov

Recent research has demonstrated the existence of a new type of solar event, the "terminator." Unlike the Sun's signature events, flares and Coronal Mass Ejections, the terminator most likely originates in the solar interior, at or near the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-11 Robert J Leamon , Scott W. McIntosh , Sandra C. Chapman , Nicholas W. Watkins

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…

Empirical rules of solar cycle evolution form important observational constraints for the solar dynamo theory. This includes the Waldmeier rule relating the magnitude of a solar cycle to the length of its ascending phase, and the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-20 Ilya Usoskin , Gennady Kovaltsov , Wilma Kiviaho

Variations in the solar wind (SW) parameters with scales of several years are an important characteristic of solar activity and the basis for a long-term space weather forecast. We examine the behavior of interplanetary parameters over…

The solar cycle and its associated magnetic activity are the main drivers behind changes in the interplanetary environment and Earth's upper atmosphere (commonly referred to as space weather and climate). In recent years there has been an…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-10-08 Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Laura A. Balmaceda , Edward E. DeLuca

Using the Solar Optical Observing Network (SOON) sunspot-group data for the period 1985-2010, the variations in the annual mean equatorial-rotation rates of the sunspot groups are determined and compared with the known variations in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-07-29 J. Javaraiah

The rotational profile of the Sun is considered to be one of the key inputs in a solar dynamo model. Hence, precise and long-term measurements of this quantity is important for our understanding of solar magnetism and its variability. In…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-02 Bibhuti Kumar Jha , Aditya Priyadarshi , Sudip Mandal , Subhamoy Chaterjee , Dipankar Banerjee

Measurements from the Mount Wilson Observatory (MWO) are used to study the long-term variations of sunspot field strengths from 1920 to 1958. Following a modified approach similar to that in Pevtsov et al. (2011), for each observing week we…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-01-28 Alexei A. Pevtsov , Luca Bertello , Andrey G. Tlatov , Ali Kilcik , Yury A. Nagovitsyn , Edward W. Cliver

In this paper we investigate the dependence of umbral core brightness, as well as the mean umbral and penumbral brightness on the phase of the solar cycle and on the size of the sunspot. Albregtsen & Maltby (1978) reported an increase in…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 S. K. Mathew , V. Martinez Pillet , S. K. Solanki , N. A. Krivova

The sunspot number (SSN), the total solar irradiance (TSI), a TSI reconstruction, and the solar flare index (SFI), are analyzed for long-range persistence (LRP). Standard Hurst analysis yields $H \approx 0.9$, which suggests strong LRP.…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Martin Rypdal , Kristoffer Rypdal

Traditionally, solar physicists become anxious around solar minimum, as they await the high-latitude sunspot groups of the new cycle. Now, we are in an extended sunspot minimum with conditions not seen in recent memory, and interest in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-05-24 N. R. Sheeley

The 11-year solar cycle is the dominant pattern of solar activity reflecting the oscillatory dynamo mechanism in the Sun. Solar cycles were directly observed since 1700, while indirect proxies suggest their existence over a much longer…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-30 I. G. Usoskin , S. K. Solanki , N. Krivova , B. Hofer , G. A. Kovaltsov , L. Wacker , N. Brehm , B. Kromer
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