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Modern astronomy has been rapidly increasing our ability to see deeper into the universe, acquiring enormous samples of cosmic populations. Gaining astrophysical insights from these datasets requires a wide range of sophisticated…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-11 Eric D. Feigelson , Rafael S. de Souza , Emille E. O. Ishida , Gutti Jogesh Babu

We present a strategy for a statistically rigorous Bayesian approach to the problem of determining cosmological parameters from the results of observations of anisotropies in the cosmic microwave radiation background. We propose the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Nelson Christensen , Renate Meyer

Upcoming galaxy surveys will allow us to probe the growth of the cosmic large-scale structure with improved sensitivity compared to current missions, and will also map larger areas of the sky. This means that in addition to the increased…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-31 Matteo Martinelli , Roohi Dalal , Fereshteh Majidi , Yashar Akrami , Stefano Camera , Elena Sellentin

Measures of discordance between datasets have become an essential part of cosmological analyses. It is important to accurately evaluate the significance of such discordances when present. We propose here a Bayesian interpretation of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-12 Weikang Lin , Mustapha Ishak

Hierarchical models in Bayesian inverse problems are characterized by an assumed prior probability distribution for the unknown state and measurement error precision, and hyper-priors for the prior parameters. Combining these probability…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-10 Arvind K. Saibaba , Johnathan Bardsley , D. Andrew Brown , Alen Alexanderian

We propose an efficient Bayesian MCMC algorithm for estimating cosmological parameters from CMB data without use of likelihood approximations. It builds on a previously developed Gibbs sampling framework that allows for exploration of the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-29 Benjamin Racine , Jeffrey B. Jewell , Hans Kristian K. Eriksen , Ingunn K. Wehus

Bayesian coresets have emerged as a promising approach for implementing scalable Bayesian inference. The Bayesian coreset problem involves selecting a (weighted) subset of the data samples, such that the posterior inference using the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-01 Jacky Y. Zhang , Rajiv Khanna , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems under discrete observations. We use the discrete Fourier transform to convert our model into a truncated Gaussian sequence model, that is closely related to the classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

In performing a Bayesian analysis of astronomical data, two difficult problems often emerge. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the resulting posterior distribution may be multimodal or exhibit pronounced…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-01-11 Farhan Feroz , M. P. Hobson

The finite sensitivity of instruments or detection methods means that data sets in many areas of astronomy, for example cosmological or exoplanet surveys, are necessarily systematically incomplete. Such data sets, where the population being…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Adam B. Mantz

Current and forthcoming cosmological data analyses share the challenge of huge datasets alongside increasingly tight requirements on the precision and accuracy of extracted cosmological parameters. The community is becoming increasingly…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-12-17 Benjamin Joachimi , Andy Taylor

Exoplanet research is carried out at the limits of the capabilities of current telescopes and instruments. The studied signals are weak, and often embedded in complex systematics from instrumental, telluric, and astrophysical sources.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-06 Hannu Parviainen

A new parametrization of the Hubble parameter is proposed to explore the issue of the cosmological landscape. The constraints on model parameters are derived through the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method by employing a comprehensive…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-06 L. Sudharani , Kazuharu Bamba , N. S. Kavya , V. Venkatesha

In the past few years, approximate Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have demonstrated the ability to produce statistically consistent posteriors on a wide range of inference problems at unprecedented speed and scale. However, any disconnect…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-24 Sebastian Wagner-Carena , Ji Won Park , Simon Birrer , Philip J. Marshall , Aaron Roodman , Risa H. Wechsler

Bayesian inference paradigms are regarded as powerful tools for solution of inverse problems. However, when applied to inverse problems in physical sciences, Bayesian formulations suffer from a number of inconsistencies that are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Klaus Mosegaard

The new generation of galaxy surveys will provide unprecedented data allowing us to test gravity at cosmological scales. A robust cosmological analysis of the large-scale structure demands exploiting the nonlinear information encoded in the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-13 Jorge Enrique García-Farieta , Héctor J Hortúa , Francisco-Shu Kitaura

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

Constraints on cosmology from recent cosmic shear observations are becoming increasingly sophisticated in their treatment of potential systematic effects. Here we present cosmological constraints which include modelling of intrinsic…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Donnacha Kirk , Sarah Bridle , Michael Schneider

Hierarchical Bayesian models are increasingly used in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems by modeling parameters as draws from a hyperparameter-governed distribution. However, theoretical guarantees for these estimates as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Yi Yu , Yubo Hou , Yinchong Wang , Nan Zhang , Jianfeng Feng , Wenlian Lu

We study the impact of baryonic physics on cosmological parameter estimation with weak lensing surveys. We run a set of cosmological hydrodynamics simulations with different galaxy formation models. We then perform ray-tracing simulations…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-29 Ken Osato , Masato Shirasaki , Naoki Yoshida