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Demographic studies of cosmic populations must contend with measurement errors and selection effects. We survey some of the key ideas astronomers have developed to deal with these complications, in the context of galaxy surveys and the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-11-28 Thomas J. Loredo , Martin A. Hendry

Current analysis of astronomical data are confronted with the daunting task of modeling the awkward features of astronomical data, among which heteroscedastic (point-dependent) errors, intrinsic scatter, non-ignorable data collection…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-12-19 S. Andreon

The application of Bayesian methods in cosmology and astrophysics has flourished over the past decade, spurred by data sets of increasing size and complexity. In many respects, Bayesian methods have proven to be vastly superior to more…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Roberto Trotta

For future surveys, spectroscopic follow-up for all supernovae will be extremely difficult. However, one can use light curve fitters, to obtain the probability that an object is a Type Ia. One may consider applying a probability cut to the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-24 Michelle Lochner , Bruce A. Bassett , Melvin Varughese , Renée Hlozek , Martin Kunz , Mat Smith , James Newling

This paper presents a systematic literature review focusing on the application of machine learning techniques for deriving observational constraints in cosmology. The goal is to evaluate and synthesize existing research to identify…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-14 Luis Rojas , Sebastián Espinoza , Esteban González , Carlos Maldonado , Fei Luo

We present a novel approach to derive constraints on neutrino masses from cosmological data, while taking into account our ignorance of the neutrino mass ordering. We derive constraints from a combination of current and future cosmological…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-02 Martina Gerbino , Massimiliano Lattanzi , Olga Mena , Katherine Freese

This review article considers some of the most common methods used in astronomy for regressing one quantity against another in order to estimate the model parameters or to predict an observationally expensive quantity using trends between…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 S. Andreon , M. A. Hurn

In this paper, using a significantly improved version of the model-independent, cosmographic approach to cosmology (John, M. V. 2004, ApJ, 614, 1), we address an important question: Was there a decelerating past for the universe? To answer…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Moncy V. John

New supernova surveys such as the Dark Energy Survey, Pan-STARRS and the LSST will produce an unprecedented number of photometric supernova candidates, most with no spectroscopic data. Avoiding biases in cosmological parameters due to the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-20 Michelle Lochner , Bruce A. Bassett , Melvin Varughese , Renée Hlozek , Martin Kunz , Mat Smith , James Newling

A method is presented for performing joint analyses of cosmological datasets, in which the weight assigned to each dataset is determined directly by it own statistical properties. The weights are considered in a Bayesian context as a set of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. P. Hobson , S. L. Bridle , O. Lahav

Bayesian statistics and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have found their place in the field of Cosmology. They have become important mathematical and numerical tools, especially in parameter estimation and model comparison. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-02 Luis E. Padilla , Luis O. Tellez , Luis A. Escamilla , J. Alberto Vazquez

Consider the setting where there are B>1 candidate statistical models, and one is interested in model selection. Two common approaches to solve this problem are to select a single model or to combine the candidate models through model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Qingying Zong , Jonathan R. Bradley

The original formulation of BEAMS - Bayesian Estimation Applied to Multiple Species - showed how to use a dataset contaminated by points of multiple underlying types to perform unbiased parameter estimation. An example is cosmological…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-02 James Newling , Bruce. A. Bassett , Renée Hlozek , Martin Kunz , Mathew Smith , Melvin Varughese

We present a new method based on a Bayesian hierarchical model to extract constraints on cosmological parameters from SNIa data obtained with the SALT-II lightcurve fitter. We demonstrate with simulated data sets that our method delivers…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-10 M. C. March , R. Trotta , P. Berkes , G. D. Starkman , P. M. Vaudrevange

We propose here a \emph{novel} method which singles out the \emph{a priori} unavoidable dependence on the underlying cosmological model when extracting parameter constraints, providing robust limits which only depend on the considered…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-30 S. Gariazzo , O. Mena

When combining data sets to perform parameter inference, the results will be unreliable if there are unknown systematics in data or models. Here we introduce a flexible methodology, BACCUS: BAyesian Conservative Constraints and Unknown…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-04 José Luis Bernal , John A. Peacock

We study different one-parametric models of type Ia Supernova magnitude evolution on cosmic time scales. Constraints on cosmological and Supernova evolution parameters are obtained by combined fits on the actual data coming from Supernovae,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-04-16 Sebastian Linden , Jean-Marc Virey , Andre Tilquin

The ability to obtain reliable point estimates of model parameters is of crucial importance in many fields of physics. This is often a difficult task given that the observed data can have a very high number of dimensions. In order to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Janis Fluri , Aurelien Lucchi , Tomasz Kacprzak , Alexandre Refregier , Thomas Hofmann

In these lectures I cover a number of topics in cosmological data analysis. I concentrate on general techniques which are common in cosmology, or techniques which have been developed in a cosmological context. In fact they have very general…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-06-08 Alan Heavens

Model selection aims to determine which theoretical models are most plausible given some data, without necessarily asking about the preferred values of the model parameters. A common model selection question is to ask when new data require…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Andrew R. Liddle , Pia Mukherjee , David Parkinson
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