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In this paper, we study the problem of deriving fast and accurate classification algorithms with uncertainty quantification. Gaussian process classification provides a principled approach, but the corresponding computational burden is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Dimitrios Milios , Raffaello Camoriano , Pietro Michiardi , Lorenzo Rosasco , Maurizio Filippone

In this paper, we have developed a new class of sampling schemes for estimating parameters of binomial and Poisson distributions. Without any information of the unknown parameters, our sampling schemes rigorously guarantee prescribed levels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-11 Xinjia Chen

A two-parameter family of exchangeable partitions with a simple updating rule is introduced. The partition is identified with a randomized version of a standard symmetric Dirichlet species-sampling model with finitely many types. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-27 Alexander Gnedin

We introduce a novel procedure to perform Bayesian non-parametric inference with right-censored data, the \emph{beta-Stacy bootstrap}. This approximates the posterior law of summaries of the survival distribution (e.g. the mean survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Andrea Arfè , Pietro Muliere

We consider the problem of drawing samples from posterior distributions formed under a Dirichlet prior and a truncated multinomial likelihood, by which we mean a Multinomial likelihood function where we condition on one or more counts being…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-04 Matthew James Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

Using a probabilistic approach, we derive some interesting combinatorial identities involving gamma and beta functions. These results generalize certain well-known combinatorial identities involving binomial coefficients and special…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Puja Pandey

We investigate a model of random spatial permutations on two-dimensional tori, and establish that the joint distribution of large cycles is asymptotically given by the Poisson--Dirichlet distribution with parameter one. The asymmetry of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Alan Hammond , Tyler Helmuth

This technical report proves components consistency for the Doubly Stochastic Dirichlet Process with exponential convergence of posterior probability. We also present the fundamental properties for DSDP as well as inference algorithms.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-25 Xing Sun , Nelson H. C. Yung , Edmund Y. Lam , Hayden K. -H. So

Bayesian graphical modeling provides an appealing way to obtain uncertainty estimates when inferring network structures, and much recent progress has been made for Gaussian models. These models have been used extensively in applications to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-06 Michael Finegold , Mathias Drton

We introduce a new approach to absolute continuity of laws of Poisson functionals. It is based on the {\it energy image density} property for Dirichlet forms and on what we call {\it the lent particle method} which consists in adding a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-09 Nicolas Bouleau , Laurent Denis

Variation in the evolutionary process across the sites of nucleotide sequence alignments is well established, and is an increasingly pervasive feature of datasets composed of gene regions sampled from multiple loci and/or different genomes.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-04 Brian R. Moore , Jim McGuire , Fredrik Ronquist , John P. Huelsenbeck

We study diffusion processes driven by a Brownian motion with regular drift in a finite dimension setting. The drift has two components on different time scales, a fast conservative component and a slow dissipative component. Using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Florent Barret , Max-K. Von Renesse

We develop dependent hierarchical normalized random measures and apply them to dynamic topic modeling. The dependency arises via superposition, subsampling and point transition on the underlying Poisson processes of these measures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Changyou Chen , Nan Ding , Wray Buntine

The nonparametric view of Bayesian inference has transformed statistics and many of its applications. The canonical Dirichlet process and other more general families of nonparametric priors have served as a gateway to solve frontier…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-13 José A. Perusquía , Mario Diaz , Ramsés H. Mena

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

Products between phase-type distributed random variables and any independent, positive and continuous random variable are studied. Their asymptotic properties are established, and an expectation-maximization algorithm for their effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

We completely characterize $\Delta$- and local subexponentialities of positive-half compound Poisson distributions and extend the characterization on two-sided distributions. Moreover, $\Delta$-subexponentiality of infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Muneya Matsui , Toshiro Watanabe

In population studies, it is standard to sample data via designs in which the population is divided into strata, with the different strata assigned different probabilities of inclusion. Although there have been some proposals for including…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-29 T. Kunihama , A. H. Herring , C. T. Halpern , D. B. Dunson

We extend the Dirichlet principle to non-reversible Markov processes on countable state spaces. We present two variational formulas for the solution of the Poisson equation or, equivalently, for the capacity between two disjoint sets. As an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Alexandre Gaudillière , Claudio Landim

A new method for multinomial inference is proposed by representing the cell probabilities as unordered segments on the unit interval and following Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory. The resulting DS posterior is then strengthened to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Earl C. Lawrence , Alexander C. Murph , Scott A. Vander Wiel , Chaunhai Liu