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In this paper we survey the almost sure central limit theorem and its functional form (quenched) for stationary and ergodic processes. For additive functionals of a stationary and ergodic Markov chain these theorems are known under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Magda Peligrad

We introduce a new basic model for independent and identical distributed sequence on the canonical space $(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N}))$ via probability kernels with model uncertainty. Thanks to the well-defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Xinpeng Li

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

In this paper we investigate the local limit theorem for additive functionals of nonstationary Markov chains that converge in distribution. We consider both the lattice and the non-lattice cases. The results are also new in the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Costel Peligrad

In recent years, parametric models for max-stable processes have become a popular choice for modeling spatial extremes because they arise as the asymptotic limit of rescaled maxima of independent and identically distributed random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 Carolin Forster , Marco Oesting

This is an expository review paper illustrating the ``martingale method'' for proving many-server heavy-traffic stochastic-process limits for queueing models, supporting diffusion-process approximations. Careful treatment is given to an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-28 Guodong Pang , Rishi Talreja , Ward Whitt

Many physical datasets are generated by collections of instruments that make measurements at regular time intervals. For such regular monitoring data, we extend the framework of half-spectral covariance functions to the case of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Christopher J. Geoga , Mihai Anitescu , Michael L. Stein

The now classical convergence in distribution theorem for well normalized sums ofstationary martingale increments has been extended to multi-indexed martingaleincrements (see Voln\'{y} (2019) and references in there). In the presentarticle…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Davide Giraudo , Emmanuel Lesigne , Dalibor Volny

Taking the Fourier integral theorem as our starting point, in this paper we focus on natural Monte Carlo and fully nonparametric estimators of multivariate distributions and conditional distribution functions. We do this without the need…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Nhat Ho , Stephen G. Walker

We consider the determinantal point processes associated with the spectral projectors of a Schr\"odinger operator on $\mathbb{R}$, with a smooth confining potential. In the semiclassical limit, where the number of particles tends to…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Alix Deleporte , Gaultier Lambert

We establish empirical quantile process CLTs based on $n$ independent copies of a stochastic process $\{X_t: t \in E\}$ that are uniform in $t \in E$ and quantile levels $\alpha \in I$, where $I$ is a closed sub-interval of $(0,1)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-22 James Kuelbs , Joel Zinn

Inferring causal relationships from dynamical systems is the central interest of many scientific inquiries. Conditional local independence, which describes whether the evolution of one process is influenced by another process given…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-09 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Yizhou Wang

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a time and path-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 David Criens , Lars Niemann

We establish a practical and easy-to-implement sequential stopping rule for the martingale central limit theorem, focusing on Monte Carlo methods for estimating the mean of a non-iid sequence of martingale difference type. Starting with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Jiezhong Wu , Reiichiro Kawai

We provide an empirical process theory for locally stationary processes over nonsmooth function classes. An important novelty over other approaches is the use of the flexible functional dependence measure to quantify dependence. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

General Central limit theorem deals with weak limits (in type) of sums of row-elements of array random variables. In some situations as in the invariance principle problem, the sums may include only parts of the row-elements. For strictly…

We develop a non-anticipating calculus of variations for functionals on a space of laws of continuous semi-martingales, which extends the classical one. We extend Hamilton's least action principle and Noether's theorem to this generalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Ana Bela Cruzeiro , Rémi Lassalle

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

This work shows how exponential concentration inequalities for additive functionals of stochastic processes over a finite time interval can be derived from concentration inequalities for martingales. The approach is entirely probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Bob Pepin

In this paper, we focus on studying central limit theorems for functionals of some specific stationary random processes. In classical probability theory, it is well-known that for non-linear functionals of stationary Gaussian sequences, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Zhichao Wang