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This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We investigate the sharp large deviation properties of the energy and the maximum likelihood estimator for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index greater than one half.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-19 Bernard Bercu , Laure Coutin , Nicolas Savy

When stock prices are observed at high frequencies, more information can be utilized in estimation of parameters of the price process. However, high-frequency data are contaminated by the market microstructure noise which causes significant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Vladimír Holý , Petra Tomanová

We introduce a class of L\'evy-driven graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (grOU) models for edge-indexed network time series. The proposed framework extends generalized network autoregressive (GNAR) processes for edge-indexed network time series to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Jiaming Chen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We prove the transfer principle for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, i.e., we construct a Brownian motion that has the same filtration as the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and then represent the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is an experimentally-relevant, non-Markovian Gaussian stochastic process with long-ranged correlations between the increments, parametrised by the so-called Hurst exponent $H$; depending on its value the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-04 O. Benichou , G. Oshanin

We obtain a Berry-Esseen type bound for the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter for fractional Ornstein-uhlenbeck type process driven by sub-fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-21 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

In this paper, we study the cut-off phenomenon under the total variation distance of $d$-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which are driven by L\'evy processes. That is to say, under the total variation distance, there is an abrupt…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Gerardo Barrera , Juan Carlos Pardo

Within the context of rough path analysis via fractional calculus, we show how variability can be used to prove the existence of integrals with respect to H\"older continuous multiplicative functionals in the case of Lipschitz coefficients…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Michael Hinz , Jonas M. Tölle , Lauri Viitasaari

L\'evy processes are widely used in financial modeling due to their ability to capture discontinuities and heavy tails, which are common in high-frequency asset return data. However, parameter estimation remains a challenge when associated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Nicolas Coloma , William Kleiber

We consider the problem of estimating the fractional order of a L\'{e}vy process from low frequency historical and options data. An estimation methodology is developed which allows us to treat both estimation and calibration problems in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Denis Belomestny

We study the estimation of the invariant density of additive fractional stochastic differential equations with Hurst parameter $H \in (0,1)$. We first focus on continuous observations and develop a kernel-based estimator achieving faster…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Chiara Amorino , Eulalia Nualart , Fabien Panloup , Julian Sieber

In this paper we introduce the well-balanced L\'{e}vy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as a moving average process of the form $X_t=\int \exp(-\lambda |t-u|)dL_u$. In contrast to L\'{e}vy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Alexander Schnurr , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

In this article we introduce a theory of integration for deterministic, operator-valued integrands with respect to cylindrical L\'evy processes in separable Banach spaces. Here, a cylindrical L\'evy process is understood in the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Markus Riedle

In this article, we introduce a non Gaussian long memory process constructed by the aggregation of independent copies of a fractional L\'evy Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with random coefficients. Several properties and a limit theorem are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Héctor Araya , Johanna Garzón , Rolando Rubilar

We develop a variant of rough path theory tailor-made for analyzing a class of financial asset price models known as rough volatility models. As an application, we prove a pathwise large deviation principle (LDP) for a certain class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Masaaki Fukasawa , Ryoji Takano

We consider a process $X^\ve$ that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $\theta^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, $K\_0(u)=c u^{\alpha-1/2} \id{u>0}$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation problem for reflected OU processes. Both the estimates based on continuously observed processes and discretely observed processes are considered. The explicit formulas for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

Stochastic differential equations such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process have long been used to model realworld probablistic events such as stock prices and temperature fluctuations. While statistical methods such as Maximum Likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Aroon Sankoh , Victor Wickerhauser

Functional data present as functions or curves possessing a spatial or temporal component. These components by nature have a fixed observational domain. Consequently, any asymptotic investigation requires modelling the increased correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Cory W. Natoli , Edward D. White , Beau A. Nunnally , Alex J. Gutman , Raymond R. Hill