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Ab initio quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) is a stochastic approach for solving the many-body Schr\"odinger equation without resorting to one-body approximations. QMC algorithms are readily parallelizable via ensembles of $N_w$ walkers, making…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-08-19 Kousuke Nakano , Sandro Sorella , Michele Casula

Knowing the uncertainty associated with the output of a deep neural network is of paramount importance in making trustworthy decisions, particularly in high-stakes fields like medical diagnosis and autonomous systems. Monte Carlo Dropout…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , Afshar Shamsi , Roohallah Alizadehsani , Arash Mohammadi , Hamid Alinejad-Rokny

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) reduces the total computational cost of financial option pricing by combining SDE approximations with multiple resolutions. This paper explores a further avenue for reducing cost and improving power efficiency…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Irina-Beatrice Haas , Michael B. Giles

We develop a novel multilevel asymptotic-preserving Monte Carlo method, called Multilevel Kinetic-Diffusion Monte Carlo (ML-KDMC), for simulating the kinetic Boltzmann transport equation with a Bhatnagar-Gross-Krook (BGK) collision…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Bert Mortier , Pieterjan Robbe , Martine Baelmans , Giovanni Samaey

This paper develops a novel weak multilevel Monte-Carlo (MLMC) approximation scheme for L\'evy-driven Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs). The scheme is based on the state space discretization (via a continuous-time Markov chain…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Aleksandar Mijatović , Romain Palfray

While Diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) is in principle an exact stochastic method for \textit{ab initio} electronic structure calculations, in practice the fermionic sign problem necessitates the use of the fixed-node approximation and trial…

Precise radial velocity measurements have led to the discovery of ~100 extrasolar planetary systems. We investigate the uncertainty in the orbital solutions that have been fit to these observations. Understanding these uncertainties will…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-05 Eric B. Ford

In this work, we present, analyze, and implement a class of Multi-Level Markov chain Monte Carlo (ML-MCMC) algorithms based on independent Metropolis-Hastings proposals for Bayesian inverse problems. In this context, the likelihood function…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Juan Pablo Madrigal-Cianci , Fabio Nobile , Raul Tempone

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Computing systems interacting with real-world processes must safely and reliably process uncertain data. The Monte Carlo method is a popular approach for computing with such uncertain values. This article introduces a framework for…

This work is motivated by the need to study the impact of data uncertainties and material imperfections on the solution to optimal control problems constrained by partial differential equations. We consider a pathwise optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Ahmad Ahmad Ali , Elisabeth Ullmann , Michael Hinze

We propose improved versions of the standard diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) and the lattice regularized diffusion Monte Carlo (LRDMC) algorithms. For the DMC method, we refine a scheme recently devised to treat non-local pseudopotential in a…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-05-18 Michele Casula , Saverio Moroni , Sandro Sorella , Claudia Filippi

Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) is an advanced simulation methodology for studies of manybody quantum systems. In this review, we focus on the electronic structure QMC, i.e., methods relevant for systems described by the electron-ion…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-08-16 Michal Bajdich , Lubos Mitas

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to address the lack of uncertainty quantification in numerical hemolysis models, which are critical for medical device evaluations. Specifically, we aim to incorporate experimental variability into…

Medical Physics · Physics 2024-07-29 Christopher Blum , Ulrich Steinseifer , Michael Neidlin

The Dynamic Monte Carlo (DMC) method is an established molecular simulation technique for the analysis of the dynamics in colloidal suspensions. An excellent alternative to Brownian Dynamics or Molecular Dynamics simulation, DMC is…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-07-15 Fabián A. García Daza , Alejandro Cuetos , Alessandro Patti

We introduce three related but distinct improvements to multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for the solution of systems of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Firstly, we show that when the payoff function is twice continuously…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-09-10 L. F. Ricketson

We consider the numerical solution of scalar, nonlinear degenerate convection-diffusion problems with random diffusion coefficient and with random flux functions. Building on recent results on the existence, uniqueness and continuous…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-11-08 U. Koley , N. H. Risebro , Ch. Schwab , F. Weber

Crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) has been an integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) workhorse to study materials behaviors and structure-property relationships for the last few decades. These relations are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-04 Anh Tran , Pieterjan Robbe , Theron Rodgers , Hojun Lim

The standard technique for measurement of random uncertainties of star formation histories (SFHs) is the bootstrap Monte Carlo, in which the color-magnitude diagram (CMD) is repeatedly resampled. The variation in SFHs measured from the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Andrew E. Dolphin
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