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This paper is devoted to the price-storage dynamics in natural gas markets. A novel stochastic path-dependent volatility model is introduced with path-dependence in both price volatility and storage increments. Model calibrations are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-22 Jinniao Qiu , Antony Ware , Yang Yang

We attempt to explain stock market dynamics in terms of the interaction among three variables: market price, investor opinion and information flow. We propose a framework for such interaction and apply it to build a model of stock market…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Maxim Gusev , Dimitri Kroujiline , Boris Govorkov , Sergey V. Sharov , Dmitry Ushanov , Maxim Zhilyaev

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

In this paper we study the high frequency dynamic of financial volumes of traded stocks by using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday logarithmic change of volume is described by a weighted-indexed semi-Markov…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-19 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

We investigate the behavior of stocks in daily price-limited stock markets by purposing a quantum spatial-periodic harmonic model. The stock price is presumed to oscillate and damp in a quantum spatial-periodic harmonic oscillator potential…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-01 Xiangyi Meng , Jian-Wei Zhang , Jingjing Xu , Hong Guo

The fundamental theorem behind financial markets is that stock prices are intrinsically complex and stochastic. One of the complexities is the volatility associated with stock prices. Volatility is a tendency for prices to change…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Leonard Mushunje , Maxwell Mashasha , Edina Chandiwana

Quantum state preparation is vital in quantum computing and information processing. The ability to accurately and reliably prepare specific quantum states is essential for various applications. One of the promising applications of quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-26 Yen-Jui Chang , Wei-Ting Wang , Hao-Yuan Chen , Shih-Wei Liao , Ching-Ray Chang

The gauge theory of arbitrage was introduced by Ilinski in [arXiv:hep-th/9710148] and applied to fast money flows in [arXiv:cond-mat/9902044]. The theory of fast money flow dynamics attempts to model the evolution of currency exchange rates…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 Andrey Sokolov , Tien Kieu , Andrew Melatos

Using available data from the New York stock market (NYSM) we test four different bi-parametric models to fit the correspondent volume-price distributions at each $10$-minute lag: the Gamma distribution, the inverse Gamma distribution, the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-30 Paulo Rocha , Frank Raischel , João P. da Cruz , Pedro G. Lind

This article is the second one in a series on the use of scaling invariance in finance. In the first article (cond-mat/9906048), we introduced a new formalism for the pricing of derivative securities, which focusses on tradable objects…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jiri Hoogland , Dimitri Neumann

We discuss the role of information entropy on the behaviour of random processes, and how this might take effect in the dynamics of financial market prices. We then go on to show how the Open Quantum Systems approach can be used as a more…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Will Hicks

In recent years, there has been an emerging trend of combining two innovations in computer science and physics to achieve better computation capability. Exploring the potential of quantum computation to achieve highly efficient performance…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-13 Yen-Jui Chang , Wei-Ting Wang , Hao-Yuan Chen , Shih-Wei Liao , Ching-Ray Chang

This study presents a long-term alternative formula for stock price variation described by a geometric Brownian motion on the basis of median instead of mean or expected values. The proposed method is motivated by the observation made in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-06 Takuya Okabe , Jin Yoshimura

In the paper a problem of risk measures on a discrete-time market model with transaction costs is studied. Strategy effectiveness and shortfall risk is introduced. This paper is a generalization of quantile hedging presented in [4].

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-14 Michał Barski

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

We consider traffic flow models at different scales of observation. Starting from the well known hierarchy between microscopic, kinetic and macroscopic scales, we will investigate the propagation of uncertainties through the models using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Elisa Iacomini

We present a new approach for the pricing of interest rate derivatives which allows a direct computation of option premiums without deriving a (Black-Scholes type) partial differential equation and without explicitly solving the stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Matthias Otto

We propose a stochastic map model of economic dynamics. In the last decade, an array of observations in economics has been investigated in the econophysics literature, a major example being the universal features of inequality in terms of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Anindya S. Chakrabarti

We consider the tail probabilities of stock returns for a general class of stochastic volatility models. In these models, the stochastic differential equation for volatility is autonomous, time-homogeneous and dependent on only a finite…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-21 Henrik O. Rasmussen , Paul Wilmott

In this paper we describe three stochastic models based on a semi-Markov chains approach and its generalizations to study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks. The three models are: a simple semi-Markov chain model, an indexed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-16 G. D'Amico , F. Petroni , F. Prattico