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This work is about a slow-fast data assimilation system when only slow components are observable. First, we obtain its low dimensional reduction via an invariant slow manifold. Second, we prove that the low dimensional filter on the slow…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-26 Huijie Qiao , Yanjie Zhang , Jinqiao Duan

In the paper, effective filtering for a type of slow-fast data assimilation systems in Hilbert spaces is considered. Firstly, the system is reduced to a system on a random invariant manifold. Secondly, nonlinear filtering of the origin…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Huijie Qiao

This work is about low dimensional reduction for a slow-fast data assimilation system with non-Gaussian $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise via stochastic averaging. When the observations are only available for slow components, we show that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-10 Yanjie Zhang , Zhuan Cheng , Xinyong Zhang , Xiaoli Chen , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li

This work is concerned with the dynamics of a class of slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems with non-Gaussian stable L\'evy noise with a scale parameter. Slow manifolds with exponentially tracking property are constructed, eliminating the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Shenglan Yuan , Jianyu Hu , Xianming Liu , Jinqiao Duan

Invariant foliations are geometric structures for describing and understanding the qualitative behaviors of nonlinear dynamical systems. For stochastic dynamical systems, however, these geometric structures themselves are complicated random…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Xu Sun , Xingye Kan , Jinqiao Duan

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

We introduce a data assimilation strategy aimed at accurately capturing key non-Gaussian structures in probability distributions using a small ensemble size. A major challenge in statistical forecasting of nonlinearly coupled multiscale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

A method is provided for approximating random slow manifolds of a class of slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems. Thus approximate, low dimensional, reduced slow systems are obtained analytically in the case of sufficiently large time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

We consider a nonlinear filtering problem of multiscale non-Gaussian signal processes and observation processes with jumps. Firstly, we prove that the dimension for the signal system can be reduced by a homogenized approach. Secondly,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Huijie Qiao

The work is about multiscale stochastic dynamical systems driven by L\'evy processes. First, we prove that these systems can approximate low-dimensional systems on random invariant manifolds. Second, we establish that nonlinear filterings…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Huijie Qiao

This work is about parameter estimation for a fast-slow stochastic system with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'evy noise. When the observations are only available for slow components, a system parameter is estimated and the accuracy for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Ying Chao , Pingyuan Wei , Jinqiao Duan

We introduce a nonlinear stochastic model reduction technique for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems that have a low-dimensional invariant effective manifold with slow dynamics, and high-dimensional, large fast modes. Given only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Felix X. -F. Ye , Sichen Yang , Mauro Maggioni

This paper is centered around the approximation of dynamical systems by means of Gaussian processes. To this end, trajectories of such systems must be collected to be used as training data. The measurements of these trajectories are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-02 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

We consider estimation of a deterministic unknown parameter vector in a linear model with non-Gaussian noise. In the Gaussian case, dimensionality reduction via a linear matched filter provides a simple low dimensional sufficient statistic…

Applications · Statistics 2013-11-05 Jakob Vovnoboy , Ami Wiesel

A goal of data assimilation is to infer stochastic dynamical behaviors with available observations. We consider transition phenomena between metastable states for a stochastic system with (non-Gaussian) $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise. With…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xingye Kan

This article deals with invariant manifolds for infinite dimensional random dynamical systems with different time scales. Such a random system is generated by a coupled system of fast-slow stochastic evolutionary equations. Under suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Hongbo Fu , Xianming Liu , Jinqiao Duan

Recent research on the dynamics of certain fluid dynamical instabilities shows that when there is a slow invariant manifold subject to fast timescale instability the dynamics are extremely sensitive to noise. The behaviour of such systems…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 G. D. Lythe , M. R. E. Proctor

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

The dynamics of a one-dimensional stochastic model is studied in presence of an absorbing boundary. The distribution of fluctuations is analytically characterized within the generalized van Kampen expansion, accounting for higher order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Claudia Cianci , Francesca Di Patti , Duccio Fanelli

This work deals with the dynamics of a class of stochastic dynamical systems with a multiplicative non-Gaussian Levy noise. We first establish the existence of stable and unstable foliations for this system via the Lyapunov-Perron method.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Ying Chao , Pingyuan Wei , Shenglan Yuan
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