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Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for logistic regression,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Hugo Chardon , Matthieu Lerasle , Jaouad Mourtada

We study the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic models, extending the recent results from Sur (2019) to the case where the Gaussian covariates may have an arbitrary covariance structure. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Qian Zhao , Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candès

This paper investigates the asymptotic distribution of the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE) in multinomial logistic models in the high-dimensional regime where dimension and sample size are of the same order. While classical large-sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Kai Tan , Pierre C. Bellec

This paper rigorously establishes that the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic regression models with Gaussian covariates undergoes a sharp `phase transition'. We introduce an explicit boundary…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-27 Emmanuel J. Candes , Pragya Sur

This short note is to point the reader to notice that the proof of high dimensional asymptotic normality of MLE estimator for logistic regression under the regime $p_n=o(n)$ given in paper: "Maximum likelihood estimation in logistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Huiming Zhang

Logistic regression is used thousands of times a day to fit data, predict future outcomes, and assess the statistical significance of explanatory variables. When used for the purpose of statistical inference, logistic models produce…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-06 Pragya Sur , Yuxin Chen , Emmanuel J. Candès

Consider the nonparametric logistic regression problem. In the logistic regression, we usually consider the maximum likelihood estimator, and the excess risk is the expectation of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the true and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-26 Atsutomo Yara , Yoshikazu Terada

We advocate for a practical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach towards designing loss functions for regression and forecasting, as an alternative to the typical approach of direct empirical risk minimization on a specific target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Pranjal Awasthi , Abhimanyu Das , Rajat Sen , Ananda Theertha Suresh

Maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) is arguably the most important tool for statisticians, and many methods have been developed to find the MLE. We present a new inequality involving posterior distributions of a latent variable that holds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

Consider a setting with $N$ independent individuals, each with an unknown parameter, $p_i \in [0, 1]$ drawn from some unknown distribution $P^\star$. After observing the outcomes of $t$ independent Bernoulli trials, i.e., $X_i \sim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant , Sham M. Kakade

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a statistical method used to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution that best explain the observed data. In the context of text generation, MLE is often used to train generative language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Chenze Shao , Zhengrui Ma , Min Zhang , Yang Feng

Accurate statistical inference in logistic regression models remains a critical challenge when the ratio between the number of parameters and sample size is not negligible. This is because approximations based on either classical asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-19 Qian Zhao , Emmanuel J. Candes

This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of factor models of high dimension, where the number of variables (N) is comparable with or even greater than the number of observations (T). An inferential theory is developed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-31 Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li

Multivariate linear regressions are widely used statistical tools in many applications to model the associations between multiple related responses and a set of predictors. To infer such associations, it is often of interest to test the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-07 Yinqiu He , Tiefeng Jiang , Jiyang Wen , Gongjun Xu

Misclassification of binary responses, if ignored, may severely bias the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of regression parameters. For such data, a binary regression model incorporating misclassification probabilities is extensively…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Arindam Chatterjee , Tathagata Bandyopadhyay , Sumanta Adhya

Protesting mildly against the notion of an exactly correct parametric model the view is adopted that the logistic regression equation is merely an approximation to the underlying, true function. The behaviour of likelihood based estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Nils Lid Hjort

A major challenge for building statistical models in the big data era is that the available data volume far exceeds the computational capability. A common approach for solving this problem is to employ a subsampled dataset that can be…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-14 Lei Han , Kean Ming Tan , Ting Yang , Tong Zhang

Logistic regression is commonly used for modeling dichotomous outcomes. In the classical setting, where the number of observations is much larger than the number of parameters, properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in logistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-14 Fariborz Salehi , Ehsan Abbasi , Babak Hassibi

We outline how modern likelihood theory, which provides essentially exact inferences in a variety of parametric statistical problems, may routinely be applied in practice. Although the likelihood procedures are based on analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-23 Alessandra R. Brazzale , Anthony C. Davison

This work studies the properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a non-linear model with Gaussian errors and multidimensional parameter. The observations are collected in a two-stage experimental design and are dependent since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Nancy Flournoy , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi
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