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In this paper we revisit the weighted likelihood bootstrap, a method that generates samples from an approximate Bayesian posterior of a parametric model. We show that the same method can be derived, without approximation, under a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

Prompt isolated leptons are essential in many analyses in high-energy particle physics but are subject to fake-lepton background, i.e. objects that mimic the lepton signature. The fake-lepton background is difficult to estimate from…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-07-25 Johannes Erdmann , Cornelius Grunwald , Kevin Kröninger , Salvatore La Cagnina , Lars Röhrig , Erich Varnes

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

Let $f(y|\theta), \; \theta \in \Omega$ be a parametric family, $\eta(\theta)$ a given function, and $G$ an unknown mixing distribution. It is desired to estimate $E_G (\eta(\theta))\equiv \eta_G$ based on independent observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Eitan Greenshtein , Ya'acov Ritov

We present a detailed review of large-scale structure (LSS) study using the discrete wavelet transform (DWT). After describing how one constructs a wavelet decomposition we show how this bases can be used as a complete statistical…

Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-30 Li-Zhi Fang , Jesus Pando

Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

Metrics of model goodness-of-fit, model comparison, and model parameter estimation are the main categories of statistical problems in science. Bayesian and frequentist methods that address these questions often rely on a likelihood…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-26 Carlos A. Argüelles , Austin Schneider , Tianlu Yuan

Spatially referenced data often have autocovariance functions with elliptical isolevel contours, a property known as geometric anisotropy. The anisotropy parameters include the tilt of the ellipse (orientation angle) with respect to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Manolis P. Petrakis , Dionissios T. Hristopulos

In the Bayesian literature on model comparison, Bayes factors play the leading role. In the classical statistical literature, model selection criteria are often devised used cross-validation ideas. Amalgamating the ideas of Bayes factor and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Rue and Held (2005) proposed a method for efficiently computing the Gaussian likelihood for stationary Markov random field models, when the data locations fall on a complete regular grid, and the model has no additive error term. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-16 Joseph Guinness , Ilse C. F. Ipsen

In this paper, the Gaussian quasi likelihood ratio test (GQLRT) for non-Bayesian binary hypothesis testing is generalized by applying a transform to the probability distribution of the data. The proposed generalization, called…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-22 Nir Halay , Koby Todros , Alfred O. Hero

This paper presents a study of the large-sample behavior of the posterior distribution of a structural parameter which is partially identified by moment inequalities. The posterior density is derived based on the limited information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Yuan Liao , Wenxin Jiang

Gaussian graphical models, where it is assumed that the variables of interest jointly follow a multivariate normal distribution with a sparse precision matrix, have been used to study intrinsic dependence among variables, but the normality…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

We develop simple methods for constructing likelihoods and parameter priors for learning about the parameters and structure of a Bayesian network. In particular, we introduce several assumptions that permit the construction of likelihoods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 David Heckerman , Dan Geiger

Recent results of N-body simulations have shown that current theoretical models are not able to correctly predict the amplitude of the scale-dependent halo bias induced by primordial non-Gaussianity, for models going beyond the simplest,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-29 Vincent Desjacques , Donghui Jeong , Fabian Schmidt

The non-Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator is frequently used in GARCH models with intension to improve the efficiency of the GARCH parameters. However, unless the quasi-likelihood happens to be the true one, non-Gaussian QMLE…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-15 Lei Qi , Dacheng Xiu , Jianqing Fan

The forthcoming Stage-IV experiments aim to map the large scale structure of the Universe at high precision. The scales explored require a relativistic description, in addition to statistical tools for their analysis. In this thesis, we…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-21 Rebeca Martinez-Carrillo

Composite likelihoods are increasingly used in applications where the full likelihood is analytically unknown or computationally prohibitive. Although the maximum composite likelihood estimator has frequentist properties akin to those of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-08 Mathieu Ribatet , Daniel Cooley , Anthony C. Davison

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi