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The paper analyzes theoretically and empirically the performance of likelihood weighting (LW) on a subset of nodes in Bayesian networks. The proposed scheme requires fewer samples to converge due to reduction in sampling variance. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are popular for data-analysis in almost all quantitative sciences, but the choice of likelihood family and link function is often difficult. This motivates the search for likelihoods and links that minimize…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-19 Maximilian Scholz , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Various nonparametric approaches for Bayesian spectral density estimation of stationary time series have been suggested in the literature, mostly based on the Whittle likelihood approximation. A generalization of this approximation has been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

We consider robust covariance estimation with group symmetry constraints. Non-Gaussian covariance estimation, e.g., Tyler scatter estimator and Multivariate Generalized Gaussian distribution methods, usually involve non-convex minimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-19 Ilya Soloveychik , Ami Wiesel

We present a likelihood analysis of the parameter space of the constrained minimal supersymmetric extension of the Standard Model (CMSSM), in which the input scalar masses m_0 and fermion masses m_{1/2} are each assumed to be universal. We…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-09-11 John Ellis , Keith A. Olive , Yudi Santoso , Vassilis C. Spanos

Recent likelihood theory produces $p$-values that have remarkable accuracy and wide applicability. The calculations use familiar tools such as maximum likelihood values (MLEs), observed information and parameter rescaling. The usual…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-08 M. Bédard , D. A. S. Fraser , A. Wong

The standard efficient testing procedures in the Generalized Inverse Gaussian (GIG) family (also known as Halphen Type A family) are likelihood ratio tests, hence rely on Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimation of the three parameters of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-23 Angelo Efoevi Koudou , Christophe Ley

The forthcoming generation of wide-field galaxy surveys will probe larger volumes and galaxy densities, thus allowing for a much larger signal-to-noise ratio for higher-order clustering statistics, in particular the galaxy bispectrum.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-15 Azadeh Moradinezhad Dizgah , Hayden Lee , Marcel Schmittfull , Cora Dvorkin

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

Bayesian learning provides a unified skeleton to solve the electrophysiological source imaging task. From this perspective, existing source imaging algorithms utilize the Gaussian assumption for the observation noise to build the likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Zhongxu Hu , Keita Suzuki , Wenjun Bai , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita

We study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator $\widehat{\pi}$ for Gaussian location mixtures in one dimension. It has been known since (Lindsay, 1983) that given an $n$-point dataset, this estimator always returns a mixture with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Yury Polyanskiy , Mark Sellke

Minkowski Functionals (MFs) are topological statistics that have become one of many standard tools used for investigating the statistical properties of cosmological random fields. They have found regular use in studies of departures from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-09-20 Geraint Pratten , Dipak Munshi

Parameter estimation in HEP experiments often involves Monte-Carlo simulation to model the experimental response function. A typical application are forward-folding likelihood analyses with re-weighting, or time-consuming minimization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-06-12 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

Primordial non-Gaussianity of the local type induces a strong scale-dependent bias on the clustering of halos in the late-time Universe. This signature is particularly promising to provide constraints on the non-Gaussianity parameter…

Large Language Models (LLMs) are widely used to evaluate natural language generation tasks as automated metrics. However, the likelihood, a measure of LLM's plausibility for a sentence, can vary due to superficial differences in sentences,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Masanari Oi , Masahiro Kaneko , Ryuto Koike , Mengsay Loem , Naoaki Okazaki

We discuss the constraints imposed on the nonlinear evolution of the Large Scale Structure (LSS) of the universe by galilean invariance, the symmetry relevant on subhorizon scales. Using Ward identities associated to the invariance, we…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Marco Peloso , Massimo Pietroni

A Gaussian measurement error assumption, i.e., an assumption that the data are observed up to Gaussian noise, can bias any parameter estimation in the presence of outliers. A heavy tailed error assumption based on Student's t distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-30 Hyungsuk Tak , Justin A. Ellis , Sujit K. Ghosh

There are several assumptions made in a standard $\chi^2$ analysis of data, including the frequent assumption that the likelihood function is well approximated by a multivariate Gaussian distribution. This article briefly reviews the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-02-09 Andrew W. Steiner

In a traditional Gaussian graphical model, data homogeneity is routinely assumed with no extra variables affecting the conditional independence. In modern genomic datasets, there is an abundance of auxiliary information, which often gets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-16 Yabo Niu , Yang Ni , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

We present an analysis of the non-Gaussianity in the distribution of Ly$\alpha$ forest lines in the QSO absorption spectra. Statistical tests performed on this data indicate that there may be large scale structure even though the power…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jesus Pando , Li-Zhi Fang