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Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques are now widely used for cosmological parameter estimation. Chains are generated to sample the posterior probability distribution obtained following the Bayesian approach. An important issue is how…

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

We consider a family of Markov chains whose transition dynamics are affected by model parameters. Understanding the parametric dependence of (complex) performance measures of such Markov chains is often of significant interest. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Chang-Han Rhee , Peter Glynn

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

Bisimulation metrics are powerful tools for measuring similarities between stochastic processes, and specifically Markov chains. Recent advances have uncovered that bisimulation metrics are, in fact, optimal-transport distances, which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Sergio Calo , Anders Jonsson , Gergely Neu , Ludovic Schwartz , Javier Segovia-Aguas

Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines, including finance. The transition densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available, especially for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Song X. Chen , Liang Peng , Cindy L. Yu

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

We propose an approach to synthesize linear feedback controllers for linear systems in polygonal environments. Our method focuses on designing a robust controller that can account for uncertainty in measurements. Its inputs are provided by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-13 Mehdi Kermanshah , Calin Belta , Roberto Tron

In multi-state life insurance, an adequate balance between analytic tractability, computational efficiency, and statistical flexibility is of great importance. This might explain the popularity of Markov chain modelling, where matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt , Christian Furrer

Calibrating blackbox machine learning models to achieve risk control is crucial to ensure reliable decision-making. A rich line of literature has been studying how to calibrate a model so that its predictions satisfy explicit finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Victor Li , Baiting Chen , Yuzhen Mao , Qi Lei , Zhun Deng

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

We characterize the achievable range of performance measures in product-form networks where one or more system parameters can be freely set by a network operator. Given a product-form network and a set of configurable parameters, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-11-07 Jaron Sanders , Sem C. Borst , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Verification of infinite-state Markov chains is still a challenge despite several fruitful numerical or statistical approaches. For decisive Markov chains, there is a simple numerical algorithm that frames the reachability probability as…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Benoît Barbot , Patricia Bouyer , Serge Haddad

In high performance computing, scheduling of tasks and allocation to machines is very critical especially when we are dealing with heterogeneous execution costs. Simulations can be performed with a large variety of environments and…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-03-23 Louis-Claude Canon , Mohamad El Sayah , Pierre-Cyrille Héam

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker

We consider the problem of performing inference with imprecise continuous-time hidden Markov chains, that is, imprecise continuous-time Markov chains that are augmented with random output variables whose distribution depends on the hidden…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

This paper deals with the robust stability analysis of linear systems, subject to time-varying parameters. The Parameter Dependent Lyapunov Function are considered, assuming that the temporal derivative of the parameters are bounded. Some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-16 L. A. Mozelli , R. L. S. Adriano

We present a convex-concave reformulation of the reversible Markov chain estimation problem and outline an efficient numerical scheme for the solution of the resulting problem based on a primal-dual interior point method for monotone…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-03-08 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Hao Wu , Frank Noe

This paper focuses on the performance evaluation of the parallel manipulators for milling of composite materials. For this application the most significant performance measurements, which denote the ability of the manipulator for the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2010-12-10 Anatoly Pashkevich , Alexandr Klimchik , Sébastien Briot , Damien Chablat

In this paper we address a unified mathematical optimization framework to compute a wide range of measures used in most operations research and data science contexts. The goal is to embed such metrics within general optimization models…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Victor Blanco , Miguel A. Pozo , Justo Puerto , Alberto Torrejon