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Given the growth in the variety and precision of astronomical datasets of interest for cosmology, the best cosmological constraints are invariably obtained by combining data from different experiments. At the likelihood level, one…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-04 Arrykrishna Mootoovaloo , Carlos García-García , David Alonso , Jaime Ruiz-Zapatero

Most cosmological parameter estimations are based on the same set of observations and are therefore not independent. Here, we test the consistency of parameter estimations using a combination of large-scale structure and supernovae data,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Carolina Odman , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby , Alessandro Melchiorri

There are many practical difficulties in the calibration of computer models to experimental data. One such complication is the fact that certain combinations of the calibration inputs can cause the code to output data lacking fundamental…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Peter W. Marcy , Curtis B. Storlie

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

We use cosmography to present constraints on the kinematics of the Universe, without postulating any underlying theoretical model. To this end, we use a Monte Carlo Markov Chain analysis to perform comparisons to the supernova Ia Union 2…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-30 Alejandro Aviles , Christine Gruber , Orlando Luongo , Hernando Quevedo

The complexity and accuracy of current and future precision cosmology observational campaigns has made it essential to develop an efficient technique for directly combining simulation and observational datasets to determine cosmological and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Katrin Heitmann , David Higdon , Charles Nakhleh , Salman Habib

With the use of simulated supernova catalogs, we show that the statefinder parameters turn out to be poorly and biased estimated by standard cosmography. To this end, we compute their standard deviations and several bias statistics on…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-09 Alejandro Aviles , Jaime Klapp , Orlando Luongo

Scientific practice typically involves repeatedly studying a system, each time trying to unravel a different perspective. In each study, the scientist may take measurements under different experimental conditions (interventions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-11 Sofia Triantafillou , Ioannis Tsamardinos

Radio observations of the neutral hydrogen signal from the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionisation have helped to provide constraints on the properties of the first stars and galaxies. Since this global 21-cm cosmological signal from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-01-09 Christian J. Kirkham , Dominic J. Anstey , Eloy de Lera Acedo

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

In order to handle large data sets omnipresent in modern science, efficient compression algorithms are necessary. Here, a Bayesian data compression (BDC) algorithm that adapts to the specific measurement situation is derived in the context…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-01 Johannes Harth-Kitzerow , Reimar Leike , Philipp Arras , Torsten A. Enßlin

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

Statistical uncertainties are rarely incorporated in machine learning algorithms, especially for anomaly detection. Here we present the Bayesian Anomaly Detection And Classification (BADAC) formalism, which provides a unified statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Ethan Roberts , Bruce A. Bassett , Michelle Lochner

We investigate how the constraints on cosmological and astrophysical parameters ($\Omega_{\rm m}$, $\sigma_{8}$, $A_{\rm SN1}$, $A_{\rm SN2}$) vary when exploiting information from multiple fields in cosmology. We make use of a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-05 Sambatra Andrianomena , Sultan Hassan

This review article considers some of the most common methods used in astronomy for regressing one quantity against another in order to estimate the model parameters or to predict an observationally expensive quantity using trends between…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 S. Andreon , M. A. Hurn

We advocate for a new paradigm of cosmological likelihood-based inference, leveraging recent developments in machine learning and its underlying technology, to accelerate Bayesian inference in high-dimensional settings. Specifically, we…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-06 Davide Piras , Alicja Polanska , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Matthew A. Price , Jason D. McEwen

In the context of a Hubble tension problem that is growing in its statistical significance, we reconsider the effectiveness of non-parametric reconstruction techniques which are independent of prescriptive cosmological models. By taking…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-11 Celia Escamilla-Rivera , Jackson Levi Said , Jurgen Mifsud

A number of theoretically well-motivated additions to the standard cosmological model predict weak signatures in the form of spatially localized sources embedded in the cosmic microwave background (CMB) fluctuations. We present a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-18 Stephen M. Feeney , Matthew C. Johnson , Jason D. McEwen , Daniel J. Mortlock , Hiranya V. Peiris

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik
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