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We develop a provably efficient importance sampling scheme that estimates exit probabilities of solutions to small-noise stochastic reaction-diffusion equations from scaled neighborhoods of a stable equilibrium. The moderate deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Ioannis Gasteratos , Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Realistic models of biological processes typically involve interacting components on multiple scales, driven by changing environment and inherent stochasticity. Such models are often analytically and numerically intractable. We revisit a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 K. Bodova , E. Szep , N. H. Barton

Stochastic thermodynamics lays down a broad framework to revisit the venerable concepts of heat, work and entropy production for individual stochastic trajectories of mesoscopic systems. Remarkably, this approach, relying on stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-31 David Guéry-Odelin , Christopher Jarzynski , Carlos A. Plata , Antonio Prados , Emmanuel Trizac

We consider an infinite-dimensional stochastic clustering model on $\mathbb{R}$. In discrete time, each point of a unit-intensity simple point process moves halfway toward either of its left or right neighbors, chosen uniformly at random.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Partha S. Dey , S. Rasoul Etesami , Aditya S. Gopalan

We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

The study of density-dependent stochastic population processes is important from a historical perspective as well as from the perspective of a number of existing and emerging applications today. In more recent applications of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Yingdong Lu , Mark Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

We derive the stochastic master equations which describe the evolution of open quantum systems in contact with a heat bath and undergoing indirect measurements. These equations are obtained as a limit of a quantum repeated measurement model…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-04-21 S Attal , C Pellegrini

Modeling complex dynamical systems under varying conditions is computationally intensive, often rendering high-fidelity simulations intractable. Although reduced-order models (ROMs) offer a promising solution, current methods often struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Andrew F. Ilersich , Kevin Course , Prasanth B. Nair

The physical sciences are replete with dynamical systems that require the resolution of a wide range of length and time scales. This presents significant computational challenges since direct numerical simulation requires discretization at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Andrew F. Ilersich , Prasanth B. Nair

In this paper we study the problem of model reduction by moment matching for stochastic systems. We characterize the mathematical object which generalizes the notion of moment to stochastic differential equations and we find a class of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-06 Giordano Scarciotti , Andrew R. Teel

In the presence of quantum measurements with direct photon detection the evolution of open quantum systems is usually described by stochastic master equations with jumps. Heuristically, from these equations one can obtain diffusion models…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Clement Pellegrini , Francesco Petruccione

This book covers a wide range of problems involving the applications of stochastic processes, stochastic calculus, large deviation theory, group representation theory and quantum statistics to diverse fields in dynamical systems,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-08-13 Harish Parthasarathy

Species subject to predation and environmental threats commonly exhibit variable periods of population boom and bust over long timescales. Understanding and predicting such behavior, especially given the inherent heterogeneity and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-03 Daniel Messenger , Greg Dwyer , Vanja Dukic

Mathematically modelling diffusive and advective transport of particles in heterogeneous layered media is important to many applications in computational, biological and medical physics. While deterministic continuum models of such…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-09-16 Elliot J. Carr

Master equations are common descriptions of mesoscopic systems. Analytical solutions to these equations can rarely be obtained. We here derive an analytical approximation of the time-dependent probability distribution of the master equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-05 Philipp Thomas , Ramon Grima

We develop a stochastic two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear recidivism to investigate infectious disease dynamics in heterogeneous populations. Extending a deterministic framework, we introduce stochasticity to account for random…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-21 Juan G. Calvo , Mario I. Simoy , Juan P. Aparicio , José E. Chacón , Fabio Sanchez

Many physical systems are described by probability distributions that evolve in both time and space. Modeling these systems is often challenging to due large state space and analytically intractable or computationally expensive dynamics. To…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-07-03 Oliver K. Ernst , Tom Bartol , Terrence Sejnowski , Eric Mjolsness

Stochastic models of chemical reaction networks are an important tool to describe and analyze noise effects in cell biology. When chemical species and reaction rates in a reaction system have different orders of magnitude, the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 German Enciso , Jinsu Kim

Stochastic dynamical systems arise naturally across nearly all areas of science and engineering. Typically, a dynamical system model is based on some prior knowledge about the underlying dynamics of interest in which probabilistic features…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Chao Yin , Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem
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