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Models of dynamic networks --- networks that evolve over time --- have manifold applications. We develop a discrete-time generative model for social network evolution that inherits the richness and flexibility of the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Pavel N. Krivitsky , Mark S. Handcock

Modeling of dynamic networks -- networks that evolve over time -- has manifold applications in many fields. In epidemiology in particular, there is a need for data-driven modeling of human sexual relationship networks for the purpose of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-15 Pavel N. Krivitsky

Repeated small dynamic networks are integral to studies in evolutionary game theory, where networked public goods games offer novel insights into human behaviors. Building on these findings, it is necessary to develop a statistical model…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Hiroyasu Ando , Akihiro Nishi , Mark S. Handcock

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Krivitsky and Handcock (2014) proposed a Separable Temporal ERGM (STERGM) framework for modeling social networks, which facilitates separable modeling of the tie duration distributions and the structural dynamics of tie formation. In this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Pavel N. Krivitsky

Substantive research in the Social Sciences regularly investigates signed networks, where edges between actors are either positive or negative. For instance, schoolchildren can be friends or rivals, just as countries can cooperate or fight…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Cornelius Fritz , Marius Mehrl , Paul W. Thurner , Göran kauermann

The temporal exponential random graph model (TERGM) and the stochastic actor-oriented model (SAOM, e.g., SIENA) are popular models for longitudinal network analysis. We compare these models theoretically, via simulation, and through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-11 Philip Leifeld , Skyler J. Cranmer

Given the growing number of available tools for modeling dynamic networks, the choice of a suitable model becomes central. The goal of this survey is to provide an overview of tie-oriented dynamic network models. The survey is focused on…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Michael Lebacher , Göran Kauermann

Dynamic networks are commonly used in applications where relational data is observed over time. Statistical models for such data should capture not only the temporal dependencies between networks observed in time, but also the structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Jihui Lee , Gen Li , James D. Wilson

Temporal exponential random graph models (TERGM) are powerful statistical models that can be used to infer the temporal pattern of edge formation and elimination in complex networks (e.g., social networks). TERGMs can also be used in a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Yifan Huang , Clayton Barham , Eric Page , PK Douglas

Motivated by the increasing abundance of data describing real-world networks that exhibit dynamical features, we propose an extension of the Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) that accommodates the time variation of its parameters.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Domenico Di Gangi , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

The analysis of network data has gained considerable interest in recent years. This also includes the analysis of large, high-dimensional networks with hundreds and thousands of nodes. While exponential random graph models serve as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Nadja Klein , Göran Kauermann

Networks are ubiquitous in economic research on organizations, trade, and many other areas. However, while economic theory extensively considers networks, no general framework for their empirical modeling has yet emerged. We thus introduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-10 Giacomo De Nicola , Cornelius Fritz , Marius Mehrl , Göran Kauermann

The Exponential-family Random Graph Model (ERGM) is a powerful model to fit networks with complex structures. However, for dynamic valued networks whose observations are matrices of counts that evolve over time, the development of the ERGM…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Yik Lun Kei , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Temporal exponential-family random graph models (TERGMs) are a flexible class of network models for the dynamics of tie formation and dissolution. In practice, separable TERGMs (STERGMs) are the subclass most often used, as these permit…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-22 Chad Klumb , Martina Morris , Steven M. Goodreau , Samuel M. Jenness

Signed networks capture the polarity of relationships between nodes, providing valuable insights into complex systems where both supportive and antagonistic interactions play a critical role in shaping the network dynamics. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

We propose a family of statistical models for social network evolution over time, which represents an extension of Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs). Many of the methods for ERGMs are readily adapted for these models, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-08-11 Steve Hanneke , Wenjie Fu , Eric Xing

We propose a novel tie-oriented model for longitudinal event network data. The generating mechanism is assumed to be a multivariate Poisson process that governs the onset and repetition of yearly observed events with two separate intensity…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-28 Cornelius Fritz , Paul W. Thurner , Göran Kauermann

We define a general class of network formation models, Statistical Exponential Random Graph Models (SERGMs), that nest standard exponential random graph models (ERGMs) as a special case. We provide the first general results on when these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-26 Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Matthew O. Jackson

The presence of unobserved node specific heterogeneity in Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM) is a general concern, both with respect to model validity as well as estimation instability. We therefore extend the ERGM by including node…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-24 Sevag Kevork , Göran Kauermann
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