English

Separable and Semiparametric Network-based Counting Processes applied to the International Combat Aircraft Trades

Applications 2021-09-28 v3

Abstract

We propose a novel tie-oriented model for longitudinal event network data. The generating mechanism is assumed to be a multivariate Poisson process that governs the onset and repetition of yearly observed events with two separate intensity functions. We apply the model to a network obtained from the number of international deliveries of combat aircraft trades between 1950 and 2017. Based on a modified trade gravity approach we identify economic and political factors impeding or lightening the number of transfers. Extensive dynamics as well as country heterogeneity require the specification of semiparametric time-varying effects as well as random effects.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2003.12178,
  title  = {Separable and Semiparametric Network-based Counting Processes applied to the International Combat Aircraft Trades},
  author = {Cornelius Fritz and Paul W. Thurner and Göran Kauermann},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.12178},
  year   = {2021}
}