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Let $p$ and $q$ be two imprecise points, given as probability density functions on $\mathbb R^2$, and let $\cal R$ be a set of $n$ line segments (obstacles) in $\mathbb R^2$. We study the problem of approximating the probability that $p$…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Kevin Buchin , Irina Kostitsyna , Maarten Löffler , Rodrigo I. Silveira

Ordinal embedding aims at finding a low dimensional representation of objects from a set of constraints of the form "item $j$ is closer to item $i$ than item $k$". Typically, each object is mapped onto a point vector in a low dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Aïssatou Diallo , Johannes Fürnkranz

Probability predictions from binary regressions or machine learning methods ought to be calibrated: If an event is predicted to occur with probability $x$, it should materialize with approximately that frequency, which means that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Timo Dimitriadis , Lutz Duembgen , Alexander Henzi , Marius Puke , Johanna Ziegel

This article deals with plausible reasoning from incomplete knowledge about large-scale spatial properties. The availableinformation, consisting of a set of pointwise observations,is extrapolated to neighbour points. We make use of belief…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Jerome Lang , Philippe Muller

In this paper, we consider nonparametric multidimensional finite mixture models and we are interested in the semiparametric estimation of the population weights. Here, the i.i.d. observations are assumed to have at least three components…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-14 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau , Elodie Vernet

Large language models are often ranked according to their level of alignment with human preferences -- a model is better than other models if its outputs are more frequently preferred by humans. One of the popular ways to elicit human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Ivi Chatzi , Eleni Straitouri , Suhas Thejaswi , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

Due to lack of scientific understanding, some mechanisms may be missing in mathematical modeling of complex phenomena in science and engineering. These mathematical models thus contain some uncertainties such as uncertain parameters. One…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Guowei He

Two procedures for checking Bayesian models are compared using a simple test problem based on the local Hubble expansion. Over four orders of magnitude, p-values derived from a global goodness-of-fit criterion for posterior probability…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-27 Leon B. Lucy

Learning to rank -- producing a ranked list of items specific to a query and with respect to a set of supervisory items -- is a problem of general interest. The setting we consider is one in which no analytic description of what constitutes…

Bayesian variable selection has gained much empirical success recently in a variety of applications when the number $K$ of explanatory variables $(x_1,...,x_K)$ is possibly much larger than the sample size $n$. For generalized linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Wenxin Jiang

Ranking or assessing centrality in multivariate and non-Euclidean data is difficult because there is no canonical order and many depth notions become computationally fragile in high-dimensional or structured settings. We introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Lingfeng Lyu , Doudou Zhou

In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

A suitable scalar metric can help measure multi-calibration, defined as follows. When the expected values of observed responses are equal to corresponding predicted probabilities, the probabilistic predictions are known as "perfectly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Ido Guy , Daniel Haimovich , Fridolin Linder , Nastaran Okati , Lorenzo Perini , Niek Tax , Mark Tygert

Neural networks are not learning optimal decision boundaries. We show that decision boundaries are situated in areas of low training data density. They are impacted by few training samples which can easily lead to overfitting. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Johannes Schneider

The task of estimating a matrix given a sample of observed entries is known as the \emph{matrix completion problem}. Most works on matrix completion have focused on recovering an unknown real-valued low-rank matrix from a random sample of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-27 Olga Klopp , Jean Lafond , Eric Moulines , Joseph Salmon

When estimating causal effects using observational data, it is desirable to replicate a randomized experiment as closely as possible by obtaining treated and control groups with similar covariate distributions. This goal can often be…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-28 Elizabeth A. Stuart

We consider a bandit problem which involves sequential sampling from two populations (arms). Each arm produces a noisy reward realization which depends on an observable random covariate. The goal is to maximize cumulative expected reward.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Philippe Rigollet , Assaf Zeevi

Word embeddings have been found to capture a surprisingly rich amount of syntactic and semantic knowledge. However, it is not yet sufficiently well-understood how the relational knowledge that is implicitly encoded in word embeddings can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Zied Bouraoui , Shoaib Jameel , Steven Schockaert

We consider the problem of estimating latent positions in a one-dimensional torus from pairwise affinities. The observed affinity between a pair of items is modeled as a noisy observation of a function $f(x^*_{i},x^*_{j})$ of the latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Christophe Giraud , Yann Issartel , Nicolas Verzelen

Expectations of multivariate functions with missing labels occur in various fields such as transfer learning and average treatment effects. Although non-parametric estimators based on nearest-neighbour matching are frequently used in this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Simon Viel
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