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We propose a novel continuous testing framework to test the intensities of Poisson Processes. This framework allows a rigorous definition of the complete testing procedure, from an infinite number of hypothesis to joint error rates. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-25 Franck Picard , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Etienne Roquain

The event-triggered consensus problem of first-order multi-agent systems under directed topology is investigated. The event judgements are only implemented at periodic time instants. Under the designed consensus algorithm, the sampling…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-12-27 Kaien Liu , Zhijian Ji , Xianfu Zhang

For temporal regularly spaced datasets, a lot of methods are available and the properties of these methods are extensively investigated. Less research has been performed on irregular temporal datasets subject to measurement error with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-15 Haiyan Liu , Jeanine Houwing-Duistermaat

Score tests have the advantage of requiring estimation alone of the model restricted by the null hypothesis, which often is much simpler than models defined under the alternative hypothesis. This is typically so when the alternative…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-14 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Zeng-Hua Lu , Anders Rahbek , Yuhong Yang

In this paper, we present a general framework for testing relevant hypotheses in functional time series. Our unified approach covers one-sample, two-sample, and change point problems under contaminated observations with arbitrary sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu

In some settings involving recurrent events, the occurrence of one event may produce a temporary increase in the event intensity; we refer to this phenomenon as a transient carryover effect. This paper provides models and tests for…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Candemir Çiğşar , Jerald F. Lawless

A temporal point process is a mathematical model for a time series of discrete events, which covers various applications. Recently, recurrent neural network (RNN) based models have been developed for point processes and have been found…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Takahiro Omi , Naonori Ueda , Kazuyuki Aihara

This paper proposes a method for modeling event sequences with ambiguous timestamps, a time-discounting convolution. Unlike in ordinary time series, time intervals are not constant, small time-shifts have no significant effect, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Takayuki Katsuki , Takayuki Osogami , Akira Koseki , Masaki Ono , Michiharu Kudo , Masaki Makino , Atsushi Suzuki

Sequential tests and their implied confidence sequences, which are valid at arbitrary stopping times, promise flexible statistical inference and on-the-fly decision making. However, strong guarantees are limited to parametric sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Aurelien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Michael Lindon

The common practice in difference-in-difference (DiD) designs is to check for parallel trends prior to treatment assignment, yet typical estimation and inference does not account for the fact that this test has occurred. I analyze the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-03 Jonathan Roth

We consider the classic supervised learning problem, where a continuous non-negative random label $Y$ (i.e. a random duration) is to be predicted based upon observing a random vector $X$ valued in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with $d\geq 1$ by means of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Guillaume Ausset , Stéphan Clémençon , François Portier

Drawing causal inferences from observational studies (OS) requires unverifiable validity assumptions; however, one can falsify those assumptions by benchmarking the OS with experimental data from a randomized controlled trial (RCT). A major…

Inferring the true demand for a product or a service from aggregate data is often challenging due to the limited available supply, thus resulting in observations that are censored and correspond to the realized demand, thereby not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Filipe Rodrigues

We introduce a dynamic random hypergraph model constructed from a bipartite graph. In this model, both vertex sets of the bipartite graph are generated by marked Poisson point processes. Vertices of both vertex sets are equipped with marks…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Christian Hirsch , Benedikt Jahnel , Péter Juhász

The analysis of a truncated sample can be hindered by censoring. Survival information may be lost to follow-up or the birthdate may be missing. The data can still be modeled as a truncated point process and it is close to a Poisson process,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Fiete Sieg , Anne-Marie Toparkus , Rafael Weissbach

Multivariate time series are routinely encountered in real-world applications, and in many cases, these time series are strongly correlated. In this paper, we present a deep learning structural time series model which can (i) handle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-03 Changwei Hu , Yifan Hu , Sungyong Seo

In this paper, we study a novel approach for the estimation of quantiles when facing potential right censoring of the responses. Contrary to the existing literature on the subject, the adopted strategy of this paper is to tackle censoring…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Mickaël De Backer , Anouar El Ghouch , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Single-index models or time-to-event models are frequently applied in empirical research. These models are non-identifiable in presence of unknown (dependent) censoring or competing risks and do not give informative results in empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Jia-Han Shih , Simon M. S. Lo , Ralf A. Wilke

The paper deals with disorders detection in the multivariate stochastic process. We consider the multidimensional Poisson process or the multivariate renewal process. This class of processes can be used as a description of the distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Krzysztof J. Szajowski

We propose a methodology for testing linear hypothesis in high-dimensional linear models. The proposed test does not impose any restriction on the size of the model, i.e. model sparsity or the loading vector representing the hypothesis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Yinchu Zhu , Jelena Bradic