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The research described in this paper is motivated by model checking for parametric single-index models with diverging number of predictors. To construct a test statistic, we first study the asymptotic property of the estimators of involved…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-26 Falong Tan , Lixing Zhu

Data is essential to performing time series analysis utilizing machine learning approaches, whether for classic models or today's large language models. A good time-series dataset is advantageous for the model's accuracy, robustness, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Chenxi Sun , Hongyan Li , Yaliang Li , Shenda Hong

Likelihood methods for measuring statistical evidence obey the likelihood principle while maintaining bounded and well-controlled frequency properties. These methods lend themselves to sequential study designs because they measure the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-07 Jeffrey D Blume , Leena Choi

The Student-$t$ distribution is widely used in statistical modeling of datasets involving outliers since its longer-than-normal tails provide a robust approach to hand such data. Furthermore, data collected over time may contain censored or…

We propose a class of tests for linear regression on concomitants (induced order statistics). These tests are based on sequential sums of regression residuals. We self-center and self-normalize these sums. The resulting process is called an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Artyom Kovalevskii

Thanks to the rise of wearable and connected devices, sensor-generated time series comprise a large and growing fraction of the world's data. Unfortunately, extracting value from this data can be challenging, since sensors report low-level…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-30 Davis W. Blalock , John V. Guttag

In this paper we provide machine learning practitioners with tools to answer the question: is there class-conditional noise in my labels? In particular, we present hypothesis tests to check whether a given dataset of instance-label pairs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Rafael Poyiadzi , Weisong Yang , Niall Twomey , Raul Santos-Rodriguez

Randomly censored survival data are frequently encountered in applied sciences including biomedical or reliability applications and clinical trial analyses. Testing the significance of statistical hypotheses is crucial in such analyses to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-08 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

Monotonicity is a key qualitative prediction of a wide array of economic models derived via robust comparative statics. It is therefore important to design effective and practical econometric methods for testing this prediction in empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Denis Chetverikov

Dynamic learning systems subject to selective labeling exhibit censoring, i.e. persistent negative predictions assigned to one or more subgroups of points. In applications like consumer finance, this results in groups of applicants that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Jennifer Chien , Margaret Roberts , Berk Ustun

This paper presents a framework for causal inference in the presence of censored data,where the failure time is marked by a continuous variable referred to as a mark.The mark is observed after treatment and is not meaningful when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-20 Lianqiang Qu , Long Lv , Liuquan Sun

Process data, temporally ordered categorical observations, are of recent interest due to its increasing abundance and the desire to extract useful information. A process is a collection of time-stamped events of different types, recording…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Guanhua Fang , Zhiliang Ying

This paper clarifies a fundamental difference between causal inference and traditional statistical inference by formalizing a mathematical distinction between their respective parameters. We connect two major approaches to causal inference,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-29 Muye Liu , Jun Xie

In statistics permutations typically arise in the context of rank plots for two-dimensional data. Such plots can also be interpreted as discrete copulas. In discrete mathematics, typically in the context of the description of large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-14 L. Baringhaus , R. Grübel

Learning continuously during all model lifetime is fundamental to deploy machine learning solutions robust to drifts in the data distribution. Advances in Continual Learning (CL) with recurrent neural networks could pave the way to a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Andrea Cossu , Antonio Carta , Vincenzo Lomonaco , Davide Bacciu

We establish self-norming central limit theorems for non-stationary time series arising as observations on sequential maps possessing an indifferent fixed point. These transformations are obtained by perturbing the slope in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Matthew Nicol , Andrew Török , Sandro Vaienti

Event detection in time series is a challenging task due to the prevalence of imbalanced datasets, rare events, and time interval-defined events. Traditional supervised deep learning methods primarily employ binary classification, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Menouar Azib , Benjamin Renard , Philippe Garnier , Vincent Génot , Nicolas André

This paper introduces an overidentification test of two alternative assumptions to identify the average treatment effect on the treated in a two-period panel data setting: unconfoundedness and common trends. Under the unconfoundedness…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-25 Martin Huber , Eva-Maria Oeß

How can we monitor, in real time, whether one uncertain prospect has any upside over another? To answer this question, we develop a novel family of sequential, anytime-valid tests for stochastic dominance (SD; also known as stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Sebastian Arnold , Yo Joong Choe , Marco Scarsini , Ilia Tsetlin

Renewal processes are broadly used to model stochastic behavior consisting of isolated events separated by periods of quiescence, whose durations are specified by a given probability law. Here, we identify the minimal sufficient statistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-19 Sarah Marzen , James P. Crutchfield
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