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We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) is a popular variant of Stochastic Gradient Descent, where properly scaled isotropic Gaussian noise is added to an unbiased estimate of the gradient at each iteration. This modest change allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Maxim Raginsky , Alexander Rakhlin , Matus Telgarsky

In the present paper we consider the varying coefficient model which represents a useful tool for exploring dynamic patterns in many applications. Existing methods typically provide asymptotic evaluation of precision of estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-07 Olga Klopp , Marianna Pensky

In this paper, we introduce a new adaptive data analysis method to study trend and instantaneous frequency of nonlinear and non-stationary data. This method is inspired by the Empirical Mode Decomposition method (EMD) and the recently…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-02-28 Thomas Y. hou , Zuoqiang Shi

It is nontrivial to achieve global zero-error regulation for uncertain nonlinear systems. The underlying problem becomes even more challenging if mismatched uncertainties and unknown time-varying control gain are involved, yet certain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Hefu Ye , Yongduan Song

We obtain a large deviation principle describing the small time asymptotics of the solution of a stochastic evolution equation with multiplicative noise. Our assumptions are a condition on the linear drift operator that is satisfied by…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-06 Terence Jegaraj

Approximate dynamic programming has been investigated and used as a method to approximately solve optimal regulation problems. However, the extension of this technique to optimal tracking problems for continuous time nonlinear systems has…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Rushikesh Kamalapurkar , Huyen Dinh , Shubhendu Bhasin , Warren Dixon

The paper suggests a generalization of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) finite sample system identification method for the identification of closed-loop observable stochastic linear systems in state-space form. The solution builds on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

Recently, it has been shown in [Hairer, M., Hutzenthaler, M., Jentzen, A., Loss of regularity for Kolmogorov equations, Ann. Probab. 43, 2 (2015), 468--527] that there exists a system of stochastic differential equations (SDE) on the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Larisa Yaroslavtseva

We consider the development of adaptive, instance-dependent algorithms for interactive decision making (bandits, reinforcement learning, and beyond) that, rather than only performing well in the worst case, adapt to favorable properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Andrew Wagenmaker , Dylan J. Foster

For the stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem from a constrained model that generalizes the classical one, we show that an asymptotic optimality is achievable by a simple strategy extended from the $\epsilon_t$-greedy strategy. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-04 Hyeong Soo Chang

We revisit the sample average approximation (SAA) approach for non-convex stochastic programming. We show that applying the SAA approach to problems with expected value equality constraints does not necessarily result in asymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

We investigate the problem of persistently monitoring a finite set of targets with internal states that evolve with linear stochastic dynamics using a finite set of mobile agents. We approach the problem from the infinite-horizon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-01 Samuel C. Pinto , Sean B. Andersson , Julien M. Hendrickx , Christos G. Cassandras

This work analyzes convergence times and robustness bounds for asynchronous distributed shortest-path computation. We focus on the Adaptive Bellman--Ford algorithm, a self-stabilizing method in which each agent updates its shortest-path…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Jared Miller , Mattia Bianchi , Florian Dörfler

This paper investigates asymptotic behaviors of gradient descent algorithms (particularly accelerated gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent) in the context of stochastic optimization arising in statistics and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-13 Yazhen Wang

We study the problem of estimating the fixed point of a contractive operator defined on a separable Banach space. Focusing on a stochastic query model that provides noisy evaluations of the operator, we analyze a variance-reduced stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Wenlong Mou , Koulik Khamaru , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

This paper considers time-average stochastic optimization, where a time average decision vector, an average of decision vectors chosen in every time step from a time-varying (possibly non-convex) set, minimizes a convex objective function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Sucha Supittayapornpong , Michael J. Neely

Two-time-scale stochastic approximation (SA) is an algorithm with coupled iterations which has found broad applications in reinforcement learning, optimization and game control. In this work, we derive mean squared error bounds for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Siddharth Chandak

For non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems, mean exit time and escape probability are important deterministic quantities, which can be obtained from integro-differential (nonlocal) equations. We develop an efficient and convergent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song