Related papers: Rare events and Poisson point processes
The probability that the sum of independent, centered, identically distributed, heavy-tailed random variables achieves a very large value is asymptotically equal to the probability that there exists a single summand equalling that value. We…
The paper is concerned with approximating the distribution of a sum W of n integer valued random variables Y_i, whose distributions depend on the state of an underlying Markov chain X. The approximation is in terms of a translated Poisson…
The Poisson distribution of order $k$ is a special case of a compound Poisson distribution. Its mean and variance are known, but results for its median and mode are difficult to obtain, although a few cases have been solved and upper/lower…
We prove that, in the coupon collector's problem, the point processes given by the times of $r$-th arrivals for coupons of each type, centered and normalized in a proper way, converge toward a non-homogeneous Poisson point process. This…
Our interest is in the scaled joint distribution associated with $k$-increasing subsequences for random involutions with a prescribed number of fixed points. We proceed by specifying in terms of correlation functions the same distribution…
Strong negative dependence properties have recently been proved for the symmetric exclusion process. In this paper, we apply these results to prove convergence to the Poisson and normal distributions for various functionals of the process.
Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…
Commonalities and differences in correlation analysis in terms of phase space, conditioning and uncorrelatedness are discussed. The Poisson process is not generally appropriate as reference distribution for normalisation and cumulants, so…
Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…
Consider the random Dirichlet partition of the interval into $n$ fragments with parameter $\theta >0$. We recall the unordered Ewens sampling formulae from finite Dirichlet partitions. As this is a key variable for estimation purposes,…
We show that a uniformly continuous random perturbation of a transitive map defines an aperiodic Harris chain which also satisfies Doeblin's condition. As a result, we get exponential decay of correlations for suitable random perturbations…
Let $G_{k,n}$ be a group of permutations of $kn$ objects which permutes things independently in disjoint blocks of size $k$ and then permutes the blocks. We investigate the probabilistic and/or enumerative aspects of random elements of…
The purpose of this paper is to prove directly, by an elementary method, the Poisson probability law. This proof is offered as an alternative to the more usual derivation from binomial distribution in the limit of small probabilities. The…
By exploiting the well-known observation that size-biasing or zero-biasing an infinitely divisible random variable may be achieved by adding an independent increment, combined with tools from Stein's method for compound Poisson and Gaussian…
The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…
This paper provides a detailed introductory description of Subset Simulation, an advanced stochastic simulation method for estimation of small probabilities of rare failure events. A simple and intuitive derivation of the method is given…
This article develops an analytical framework for studying information divergences and likelihood ratios associated with Poisson processes and point patterns on general measurable spaces. The main results include explicit analytical…
We consider a component of the word statistics known as clump; starting from a finite set of words, clumps are maximal overlapping sets of these occurrences. This parameter has first been studied by Schbath with the aim of counting the…
We present new Poisson process approximation results for stabilizing functionals of Poisson and binomial point processes. These functionals are allowed to have an unbounded range of interaction and encompass many examples in stochastic…
We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…