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We consider a family of periodic SEIRS epidemic models with a fairly general incidence rate and it is shown the basic reproduction number determines the global dynamics of the models and it is a threshold parameter for persistence.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Eric Ávila-Vales , Erika Rivero-Esquivel , Gerardo García-Almeida

In this paper, we consider the infection-age-dependent Kermack--McKendrick model in which host individuals are distributed in a continuous state space. To provide a mathematical foundation for the heterogeneous model, we develop a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-21 Hisashi Inaba

Plant diseases often cause serious yield losses in agriculture. A pathogen's reproductive fitness can be quantified by the basic reproductive number, R0. Since pathogen transmission between host plants depends on the spatial separation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-03 Alexey Mikaberidze , Christopher C. Mundt , Sebastian Bonhoeffer

A system of partial differential equations is derived as a model for the dynamics of a honey bee colony with a continuous age distribution, and the system is then extended to include the effects of a simplified infectious disease. In the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-03 Matthew Betti , Lindi Wahl , Mair Zamir

To describe the propagation of West Nile virus and/or Zika virus, in this paper, we propose and study a time-periodic reaction-diffusion model with general boundary conditions in heterogeneous environments and with four unknowns:…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-10 Mingxin Wang , Lei Zhang

The basic reproduction number, $R_0$ is an important and widely used concept in the study of infectious diseases. We briefly review the recent trend of calculating the average of various $R_0$ estimates in systematic reviews aimed at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-13 Pratyush K. Kollepara , Joel C. Miller

This study investigates an SEIS PDE model with a free boundary, which captures the dynamics of epidemic transmission, including diseases like COVID-19. This parabolic PDE system is analyzed in a rotationally symmetric domain, and the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Aesol Jeon , Ki-Ahm Lee

Branching processes are widely used to model evolutionary and population dynamics as well as the spread of infectious diseases. To characterize the dynamics of their growth or spread, the basic reproduction number $R_0$ has received…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Johannes Pausch , Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Gunnar Pruessner

In this paper, we propose and analyze a reaction-diffusion susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic patch model. The individuals are assumed to reside in different patches, where they are able to move inside and among the patches.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-18 Shanshan Chen , Yixiang Wu

This paper deals with a simplified SIS model, which describes the transmission of the disease in time-periodic heterogeneous environment. To understand the impact of spatial heterogeneity of environment and small advection on the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Jing Ge , Chengxia Lei , Zhigui Lin

This paper deals with a new epidemiological model of SIRS with stochastic perturbations. The primary objective is to establish the existence of a unique non-negative nonlocal solution. Using the basic reproduction number $\mathscr{R}_0$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Matthias Ehrhardt

In this article, we consider an HIV/AIDS epidemic model with four classes of individuals. We have discussed about basic properties of the system and found the basic reproduction number $R_0$ of the system. The stability analysis of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Nouar Chorfi , Salem Abdelmalek , Samir Bendoukha

In this paper we put forward a viral propagation model with nonlinear infection rate and free boundaries and investigate the dynamical properties. This model is composed of two ordinary differential equations and one partial differential…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-27 Lei Li , Siyu Liu , Mingxin Wang

In epidemiological modelings, the spectral radius of the next generation matrix evaluated at the trivial equilibrium was considered as the basic reproduction number. Also, the global stability of the trivial equilibrium point was determined…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-15 Hyun Mo Yang

The time-dependent reproduction number Rt can be used to track pathogen transmission and to assess the efficacy of interventions. This quantity can be estimated by fitting renewal equation models to time series of infectious disease case…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-30 Ioana Bouros , Robin Thompson , David Gavaghan , Ben Lambert

In this article, we introduce an infinite-dimensional deterministic SIS model which takes into account the heterogeneity of the infections and the social network among a large population. We study the long-time behavior of the dynamic. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

A wide range of infectious diseases are both vertically and horizontally transmitted. Such diseases are spatially transmitted via multiple species in heterogeneous environments, typically described by complex meta-population models. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-05 Ling Xue , Caterina Scoglio

This paper proposes a structural econometric approach to estimating the basic reproduction number ($\mathcal{R}_{0}$) of Covid-19. This approach identifies $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ in a panel regression model by filtering out the effects of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-19 Ida Johnsson , M. Hashem Pesaran , Cynthia Fan Yang

Identifying the main environmental drivers of SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility in the population is crucial for understanding current and potential future outbursts of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases. To address this problem, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-01 Marko Djordjevic , Igor Salom , Sofija Markovic , Andjela Rodic , Ognjen Milicevic , Magdalena Djordjevic

In this paper, a reaction-diffusion system is proposed to model the spatial spreading of West Nile virus in vector mosquitoes and host birds in North America. Infection dynamics are based on a simplified model for cross infection between…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Zhigui Lin , Huaiping Zhu