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Extremal graphical models are sparse statistical models for multivariate extreme events. The underlying graph encodes conditional independencies and enables a visual interpretation of the complex extremal dependence structure. For the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-18 Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

Statistical models of evolution are algebraic varieties in the space of joint probability distributions on the leaf colorations of a phylogenetic tree. The phylogenetic invariants of a model are the polynomials which vanish on the variety.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Bernd Sturmfels , Seth Sullivant

Probabilistic independence can dramatically simplify the task of eliciting, representing, and computing with probabilities in large domains. A key technique in achieving these benefits is the idea of graphical modeling. We survey existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Fahiem Bacchus , Adam J. Grove

The varying-coefficient model is a strong tool for the modelling of interactions in generalized regression. It is easy to apply if both the variables that are modified as well as the effect modifiers are known. However, in general one has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-25 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz , Matthias Schmid

Using topological summaries of gene trees as a basis for species tree inference is a promising approach to obtain acceptable speed on genomic-scale datasets, and to avoid some undesirable modeling assumptions. Here we study the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-17 Elizabeth S. Allman , James H. Degnan , John A. Rhodes

We consider the creation conditions of diverse hierarchical trees both analytically and numerically. A connection between the probabilities to create hierarchical levels and the probability to associate these levels into a united structure…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-21 A. I. Olemskoi , S. S. Borysov , I. A. Shuda

We prove several results about the complexity of the role colouring problem. A role colouring of a graph $G$ is an assignment of colours to the vertices of $G$ such that two vertices of the same colour have identical sets of colours in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-08-26 Christopher Purcell , M. Puck Rombach

For a model of molecular evolution to be useful for phylogenetic inference, the topology of evolutionary trees must be identifiable. That is, from a joint distribution the model predicts, it must be possible to recover the tree parameter.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-09 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Chain Event Graphs (CEGs) are a recent family of probabilistic graphical models - a generalisation of Bayesian Networks - providing an explicit representation of structural zeros, structural missing values and context-specific conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-17 Aditi Shenvi , Jim Q. Smith

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

Binary trees are fundamental objects in models of evolutionary biology and population genetics. Here, we discuss some of their combinatorial and structural properties as they depend on the tree class considered. Furthermore, the process by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-30 Thomas Wiehe

The paper gives an overview of recent advances in structural equation modeling. A structural equation model is a multivariate statistical model that is determined by a mixed graph, also known as a path diagram. Our focus is on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Mathias Drton

Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

We obtain new results for the probabilistic model introduced in Menshikov et al (2007) and Volkov (2006) which involves a $d$-ary regular tree. All vertices are coloured in one of $d$ distinct colours so that $d$ children of each vertex all…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-18 Skevi Michael , Stanislav Volkov

The alpha model, a parametrized family of probabilities on cladograms (rooted binary leaf labeled trees), is introduced. This model is Markovian self-similar, deletion-stable (sampling consistent), and passes through the Yule, Uniform and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniel J. Ford

Separable Bayesian Networks, or the Influence Model, are dynamic Bayesian Networks in which the conditional probability distribution can be separated into a function of only the marginal distribution of a node's neighbors, instead of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Chalee Asavathiratham

Daily internet communication relies heavily on tree-structured graphs, embodied by popular data formats such as XML and JSON. However, many recent generative (probabilistic) models utilize neural networks to learn a probability distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Milan Papež , Martin Rektoris , Tomáš Pevný , Václav Šmídl

Coloring is a notoriously hard problem, and even more so in the online setting, where each arriving vertex has to be colored immediately and irrevocably. Already on trees, which are trivially two-colorable, it is impossible to achieve…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Fabian Frei , Matthias Gehnen , Dennis Komm , Rastislav Královič , Richard Královič , Peter Rossmanith , Moritz Stocker

Gaussian graphical models represent the backbone of the statistical toolbox for analyzing continuous multivariate systems. However, due to the intrinsic properties of the multivariate normal distribution, use of this model family may hide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

In this work we consider random two-colourings of random linear preferential attachment trees, which includes random recursive trees, random plane-oriented recursive trees, random binary search trees, and a class of random $d$-ary trees.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Colin Desmarais , Cecilia Holmgren , Stephan Wagner