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We search for digital biomarkers from Parkinson's Disease by observing approximate repetitive patterns matching hypothesized step and stride periodic cycles. These observations were modeled as a cycle of hidden states with randomness…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-15 Avinash Bukkittu , Baihan Lin , Trung Vu , Itsik Pe'er

Modeling continuous-time physiological processes that manifest a patient's evolving clinical states is a key step in approaching many problems in healthcare. In this paper, we develop the Hidden Absorbing Semi-Markov Model (HASMM): a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

The hidden Markov model (HMM) has been a workhorse of single molecule data analysis and is now commonly used as a standalone tool in time series analysis or in conjunction with other analyses methods such as tracking. Here we provide a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-28 Ioannis Sgouralis , Steve Presse

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) have been extensively used in the univariate and multivariate literature. However, there has been an increased interest in the analysis of matrix-variate data over the recent years. In this manuscript we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Salvatore D. Tomarchio , Antonio Punzo , Antonello Maruotti

Recent studies have proposed that one can summarize brain activity into dynamics among a relatively small number of hidden states and that such an approach is a promising tool for revealing brain function. Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Takahiro Ezaki , Yu Himeno , Takamitsu Watanabe , Naoki Masuda

Joint modeling of longitudinal and survival data has become increasingly important in medical research, particularly for understanding disease progression in chronic conditions where both repeated biomarker measurements and time-to-event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Nithisha Suryadevara , Vivek Reddy Srigiri

Joint models initially dedicated to a single longitudinal marker and a single time-to-event need to be extended to account for the rich longitudinal data of cohort studies. Multiple causes of clinical progression are indeed usually…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-26 Cécile Proust-Lima , Jean-François Dartigues , Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda

We define a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) in which each hidden state has time-dependent $\textit{activity levels}$ that drive transitions and emissions, and show how to estimate its parameters. Our construction is motivated by the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-28 David A. Meyer , Asif Shakeel

State-space models (SSMs) have garnered attention for effectively processing long data sequences, reducing the need to segment time series into shorter intervals for model training and inference. Traditionally, SSMs capture only the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Xuan-The Tran , Linh Le , Quoc Toan Nguyen , Thomas Do , Chin-Teng Lin

We jointly model longitudinal values of a psychometric test and diagnosis of dementia. The model is based on a continuous-time latent process representing cognitive ability. The link between the latent process and the observations is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Julien Ganiayre , Daniel Commenges , Luc Letenneur

This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

Our research focuses on analysing human activities according to a known behaviorist scenario, in case of noisy and high dimensional collected data. The data come from the monitoring of patients with dementia diseases by wearable cameras. We…

As a relatively new field, network neuroscience has tended to focus on aggregate behaviours of the brain averaged over many successive experiments or over long recordings in order to construct robust brain models. These models are limited…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-19 James Wilsenach , Katie Warnaby , Charlotte M. Deane , Gesine Reinert

Environmental time series data observed at high frequencies can be studied with approaches such as hidden Markov and semi-Markov models (HMM and HSMM). HSMMs extend the HMM by explicitly modeling the time spent in each state. In a…

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

Nature, as far as we know, evolves continuously through space and time. Yet the ubiquitous hidden Markov model (HMM)--originally developed for discrete time and space analysis in natural language processing--remains a central tool in…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-09 Max Schweiger , Ayush Saurabh , Steve Pressé

Improving health worldwide will require rigorous quantification of population-level trends in health status. However, global-level surveys are not available, forcing researchers to rely on fragmentary country-specific data of varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-20 Mariel M. Finucane , Christopher J. Paciorek , Goodarz Danaei , Majid Ezzati

We propose DenseHMM - a modification of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that allows to learn dense representations of both the hidden states and the observables. Compared to the standard HMM, transition probabilities are not atomic but composed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Joachim Sicking , Maximilian Pintz , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz

As deep neural networks continue to revolutionize various application domains, there is increasing interest in making these powerful models more understandable and interpretable, and narrowing down the causes of good and bad predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-21 Viktoriya Krakovna , Finale Doshi-Velez

Dementia is a complex syndrome impacting cognitive and emotional functions, with Alzheimer's disease being the most common form. This study focuses on enhancing dementia prediction using machine learning (ML) techniques on patient health…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Shafiul Ajam Opee , Nafiz Fahad , Anik Sen , Rasel Ahmed , Fariha Jahan , Md. Kishor Morol , Md Rashedul Islam