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We present the marginal unbiased score expansion (MUSE) method, an algorithm for generic high-dimensional hierarchical Bayesian inference. MUSE performs approximate marginalization over arbitrary non-Gaussian latent parameter spaces,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-01 Marius Millea , Uros Seljak

Estimating the maximum mean finds a variety of applications in practice. In this paper, we study estimation of the maximum mean using an upper confidence bound (UCB) approach where the sampling budget is adaptively allocated to one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Zhang Kun , Liu Guangwu , Shi Wen

In this paper, we derive a useful lower bound for the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KL-divergence) based on the Hammersley-Chapman-Robbins bound (HCRB). The HCRB states that the variance of an estimator is bounded from below by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Tomohiro Nishiyama

In fitting a mixture of linear regression models, normal assumption is traditionally used to model the error and then regression parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE). This procedure is not valid if the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-06 Yanyuan Ma , Shaoli Wang , Lin Xu , Weixin Yao

Estimating the prevalence of a category in a population using imperfect measurement devices (diagnostic tests, classifiers, or large language models) is fundamental to science, public health, and online trust and safety. Standard approaches…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Fridolin Linder , Thomas Leeper , Daniel Haimovich , Niek Tax , Lorenzo Perini , Milan Vojnovic

Existing error-bound-based analyses for stochastic algorithms that exhibit certain descent properties, such as randomized coordinate descent and randomized projection methods, are often limited in scope and typically lead to overly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Zhichun Yang , Li Jiang , Tianxiang Liu , Man-Chung Yue

Autonomous driving and advanced active safety features require accurate high-resolution sensing capabilities. Automotive radars are the key component of the vehicle sensing suit. However, when these radars operate in proximity to flat…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-15 Moshe Levy-Israel , Igal Bilik , Joseph Tabrikian

Many modern datasets, such as those in ecology and geology, are composed of samples with spatial structure and dependence. With such data violating the usual independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption in machine learning and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-18 Kevin Fry , Jonathan E. Taylor

We study risk-sensitive Reinforcement Learning (RL), where we aim to maximize the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) with a fixed risk tolerance $\tau$. Prior theoretical work studying risk-sensitive RL focuses on the tabular Markov Decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Yulai Zhao , Wenhao Zhan , Xiaoyan Hu , Ho-fung Leung , Farzan Farnia , Wen Sun , Jason D. Lee

We study in this paper lower bounds for the generalization error of models derived from multi-layer neural networks, in the regime where the size of the layers is commensurate with the number of samples in the training data. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-08 Inbar Seroussi , Ofer Zeitouni

Choosing decision variables deterministically (deterministic decision-making) can be regarded as a particular case of choosing decision variables probabilistically (probabilistic decision-making). It is necessary to investigate whether…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Xun Shen , Yuhu Wu , Satoshi Ito , Jun-ichi Imura

In a standard classification framework a set of trustworthy learning data are employed to build a decision rule, with the final aim of classifying unlabelled units belonging to the test set. Therefore, unreliable labelled observations,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-20 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Target parameter estimation performance is investigated for a radar employing a set of widely separated transmitting and receiving antenna arrays. Cases with multiple extended targets are considered under two signal model assumptions:…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Peter Khomchuk , Igal Bilik , Rick S. Blum

We proposed the expected energy-based restricted Boltzmann machine (EE-RBM) as a discriminative RBM method for classification. Two characteristics of the EE-RBM are that the output is unbounded and that the target value of correct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Stefan Elfwing , Eiji Uchibe , Kenji Doya

We establish non-asymptotic efficiency guarantees for tensor decomposition-based inference in count data models. Under a Poisson framework, we consider two related goals: (i) parametric inference, the estimation of the full distributional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Oscar López , Arvind Prasadan , Carlos Llosa-Vite , Richard B. Lehoucq , Daniel M. Dunlavy

We consider the estimation of a sparse parameter vector from measurements corrupted by white Gaussian noise. Our focus is on unbiased estimation as a setting under which the difficulty of the problem can be quantified analytically. We show…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-02-02 Alexander Jung , Zvika Ben-Haim , Franz Hlawatsch , Yonina C. Eldar

We consider the problem of carrier frequency offset (CFO) estimation for a two-way relaying system based on the amplify-and-forward (AF) protocol. Our contributions are in designing an optimal preamble, and the corresponding estimator, to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-17 Chin Keong Ho , Patrick Ho Wang Fung , Sumei Sun

This paper addresses the real-time state estimation problem for dynamic systems while protecting exogenous inputs against adversaries, who may be honest-but-curious third parties or external eavesdroppers. The Cram\'er-Rao lower bound…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-10 Liping Guo , Jimin Wang , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-Feng Zhang

We develop a unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning (autoDML) for inference on a broad class of statistical parameters. The framework applies to any smooth functional of a nonparametric M-estimand, defined as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Lars van der Laan , Aurelien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Alex Luedtke

We consider the problem of evaluating forecasts of binary events whose predictions are consumed by rational agents who take an action in response to a prediction, but whose utility is unknown to the forecaster. We show that optimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Robert Kleinberg , Renato Paes Leme , Jon Schneider , Yifeng Teng