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We investigate the effects of risk perception in a simple model of epidemic spreading. We assume that the perception of the risk of being infected depends on the fraction of neighbors that are ill. The effect of this factor is to decrease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-06 Franco Bagnoli , Pietro Lio , Luca Sguanci

The unfolding of pandemic influenza A(H1N1) for Fall 2009 in the Northern Hemisphere is still uncertain. Plans for vaccination campaigns and vaccine trials are underway, with the first batches expected to be available early October. Several…

We propose a new method to immunize populations or computer networks against epidemics which is more efficient than any method considered before. The novelty of our method resides in the way of determining the immunization targets. First we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-03 Christian M. Schneider , Tamara Mihaljev , Hans J. Herrmann

As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 José L. Herrera , Lauren Ancel Meyers

The shape of an epidemic wave in simple epidemic models applies to a homogeneous distribution of infected people in the population. In large inhomogeneous systems, at country-scale for instance, the wave shape is similar except for the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-11-21 L. Vanel

The process of protein synthesis in biological systems resembles a one dimensional driven lattice gas in which the particles (ribosomes) have spatial extent, covering more than one lattice site. Realistic, nonuniform gene sequences lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Leah B. Shaw , James P. Sethna , Kelvin H. Lee

This work describes a simple agent model for the spread of an epidemic outburst, with special emphasis on mobility and geographical considerations, which we characterize via statistical mechanics and numerical simulations. As the mobility…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-30 Óscar Toledano , Begoña Mula , Silvia N. Santalla , Javier Rodríguez-Laguna , Óscar Gálvez

Developing accurate and reliable methods to estimate vaccine protection is a key goal in immunology and public health. While several statistical methods have been proposed, their potential inaccuracy in capturing fast intra-seasonal waning…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-26 Ariel Nikas , Hasan Ahmed , Veronika I. Zarnitsyna

In this paper, we investigate game-theoretic strategies for containing spreading processes on large-scale networks. Specifically, we consider the class of networked susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemics where a large population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-04 Abhisek Satapathi , Ashish R. Hota

After more than 6 million deaths worldwide, the ongoing vaccination to conquer the COVID-19 disease is now competing with the emergence of increasingly contagious mutations, repeatedly supplanting earlier strains. Following the near-absence…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-09 Fabian Jan Schwarzendahl , Jens Grauer , Benno Liebchen , Hartmut Löwen

Immune events such as infection, vaccination, and a combination of the two result in distinct time-dependent antibody responses in affected individuals. These responses and event prevalences combine non-trivially to govern antibody levels…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-16 Prajakta Bedekar , Rayanne A. Luke , Anthony J. Kearsley

Dengue is one of the most important infectious diseases in the world, in terms of death and economic cost. Hence, the modeling of dengue is of great importance to help us understand the dynamics disease, and interfering with its spreading…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-28 Sylvestre Aureliano Carvalho , Stella Olívia da Silva , Iraziet da Cunha Charret

This paper is a survey paper on stochastic epidemic models. A simple stochastic epidemic model is defined and exact and asymptotic model properties (relying on a large community) are presented. The purpose of modelling is illustrated by…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-05 Tom Britton

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

Physical contacts do not occur randomly, rather, individuals with similar socio-demographic and behavioural characteristics are more likely to interact among them, a phenomenon known as homophily. Concurrently, the same characteristics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-16 Giulio Burgio , Benjamin Steinegger , Alex Arenas

With COVID-19 having emerged as the most widespread human pandemic disease in a century, the need to control its spread to avoid massive loss of life became more than necessary, and extremely fast. Several vaccines were developed and the…

Information regarding vaccines from sources such as health services, media, and social networks can significantly shape vaccination decisions. In particular, the dissemination of negative information can contribute to vaccine hesitancy,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Sarah Alahmadi , Rebecca Hoyle , Michael Head , Markus Brede

The processes of interplant competition within a field are still poorly understood. However, they explain a large part of the heterogeneity in a field and may have longer-term consequences, especially in mixed stands. Modeling can help to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Antonin Della Noce , Amélie Mathieu , Paul-Henry Cournède

Epidemics occur in all shapes and forms: infections propagating in our sparse sexual networks, rumours and diseases spreading through our much denser social interactions, or viruses circulating on the Internet. With the advent of large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard , Jean-Gabriel Young , Louis J. Dubé

Understanding waning of vaccine-induced protection is important for both immunology and public health. Population heterogeneities in underlying (pre-vaccination) susceptibility and vaccine response can cause measured vaccine effectiveness…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-02 Ariel Nikas , Hasan Ahmed , Veronika I. Zarnitsyna