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We present a model for variations in atmospheric temperature from time scales of one day to one million years based on a stochastic diffusion (random walk) model of the turbulent transport of heat energy vertically in a coupled…

ao-sci · Physics 2008-02-03 Jon D. Pelletier

Climate is known for being characterised by strong non-linearity and chaotic behaviour. Nevertheless, few studies in climate science adopt statistical methods specifically designed for non-stationary or non-linear systems. Here we show how…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Vincent Humphrey , Mikhail Kanevski

Theoretical descriptions of the stepping-stone model, a cornerstone of spatial population genetics, have long overlooked diffusive noise arising from migration dynamics. We derive an exact fluctuating hydrodynamic description of this model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-30 Rashmiranjan Bhutia , Stephy Jose , Prasad Perlekar , Kabir Ramola

We employ a typical genetic circuit model to explore how noise can influence the dynamic structure. With the increase of a key interactive parameter, the model will deterministically go through two bifurcations and three dynamic structure…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-03-25 Yuxuan Wu , Yuxing Jiao , Yanzhen Zhao , Haojun Jia , Liufang Xu

The climate record preserved in polar glaciers, mountain glaciers, and widespread cave deposits shows repeated occurrence of abrupt global transitions between cold/dry stadial and warm/wet interstadial states during glacial periods. These…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-07-03 Brian F. Farrell , Dorian S. Abbot

It is shown that, the wavelet regression detrended fluctuations of the monthly global temperature data (land and ocean combined) for the period 1880-2009yy, are completely dominated by one-third subharmonic resonance to annual forcing (both…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-02-16 A. Bershadskii

In the present paper we state a problem of the colored noise nonremovability on the climatic 30-year time scale, which essentially changes the angle of view on the known problem of global warming.

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-03 V. D. Rusov , V. P. Smolyar , M. V. Eingorn , T. N. Zelentsova , E. P. Linnik , M. E. Beglaryan , B. Vachev

How regional heterogeneity in social and cultural processes drive--and respond to--climate dynamics is little studied. Here we present a coupled social-climate model stratified across five world regions and parameterized with geophysical,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-16 Amrita Punnavajhala , Timothy M. Lenton , Chris T. Bauch , Madhur Anand

Reduced precision floating point arithmetic is now routinely deployed in numerical weather forecasting over short timescales. However the applicability of these reduced precision techniques to longer timescale climate simulations -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Tom Kimpson , E. Adam Paxton , Matthew Chantry , Tim Palmer

In this study we used HadCRUT4 temperature anomalies for 1950-2013 years in order to investigate properties of recent warming. Our aim was to separate changes produced by short-term ENSO variations and to look on temporal and spatial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-06-24 P. V Belolipetsky

In the paper by Franosch et al., Nature 478, 85 (2011), the positional fluctuations of Brownian microspheres in fluids were studied by confining the particles in an optical trap. Experimental access to short timescales has revealed a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-04-16 Jana Tothova , Lukas Glod , Vladimir Lisy

Turbulent and internal wave motions are important for the exchange of momentum, heat and suspended matter in the deep-sea which is generally stably stratified in density. Turbulence-generation models involve shear of vertical current…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-21 Hans van Haren

The margins within the geographic range of species are often specific in terms of ecological and evolutionary processes, and can strongly influence the species' reaction to climate change. One of the frequently observed features at range…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-28 R. Juhász , B. Oborny

There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether the present global warming is increasing local and global temperature variability. The central methodological issues of this debate relate to the proper treatment of normalised…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-24 Miklos Vincze , Ion Borcia , Uwe Harlander

System identification method (SIM) was used to evaluate the Earth equilibrium climate sensitivity. According to our simulations, the equilibrium climate sensitivity was found to be between 2 deg C and 7 deg C. Analysis of the changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-16 Alexei V Karnaukhov , Sergei F Lyuksyutov , Artem V Aliakin , Mikhail E Prokhorov , Sergei I Blinnikov

We propose a data-driven framework to simplify the description of spatiotemporal climate variability into few entities and their causal linkages. Given a high-dimensional climate field, the methodology first reduces its dimensionality into…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-08 Fabrizio Falasca , Pavel Perezhogin , Laure Zanna

Climate projection uncertainty can be partitioned into model uncertainty, scenario uncertainty and internal variability. Here, we investigate the different sources of uncertainty in the projected frequencies of daily maximum temperature and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-18 Mackenzie L. Blanusa , Carla J. López-Zurita , Stephan Rasp

We analyze the influence of long-range correlated (colored) external noise on extinction phase transitions in growth and spreading processes. Uncorrelated environmental noise (i.e., temporal disorder) was recently shown to give rise to an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-15 Alexander H. O. Wada , Matthew Small , Thomas Vojta

At high frequencies beyond the acoustic cut-off, a peak-like structure is visible in the solar power spectrum. Known as the pseudo-modes, their frequencies have been shown to vary in anti-phase with solar magnetic activity. In this work, we…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-06 Laura Jade Millson , Anne-Marie Broomhall , Tishtrya Mehta

We study the time evolution of thermodynamic observables that characterise the dissipative nature of thermal relaxation after an instantaneous temperature quench. Combining tools from stochastic thermodynamics and large-deviation theory, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-06 Jan Meibohm , Massimiliano Esposito
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