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Various interpretations of the notion of a trend in the context of global warming are discussed, contrasting the difference between viewing a trend as the deterministic response to an external forcing and viewing it as a slow variation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-29 Lene Østvand , Kristoffer Rypdal , Martin Rypdal

In the marine environment, many fields have fluctuations over a large range of different spatial and temporal scales. These quantities can be nonlinear \red{and} non-stationary, and often interact with each other. A good method to study the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-01-20 Y. X. Huang , Francois G. Schmitt

The Late Pleistocene Antarctic temperature variation curve is decomposed into two components: cyclic and high frequency, stochastic. For each of these components, a mathematical model is developed which shows that the cyclic and stochastic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-07-15 Lev A. Maslov

Universal role of the nonlinear one-third subharmonic resonance mechanism in generation of the strong fluctuations in such complex natural dynamical systems as global climate and global solar activity is discussed using wavelet regression…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-11-28 A. Bershadskii

We consider the overdamped dynamics of a paradigmatic long-range system of particles residing on the sites of a one-dimensional lattice, in the presence of thermal noise. The internal degree of freedom of each particle is a periodic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-03 Shamik Gupta , Alessandro Campa , Stefano Ruffo

We present a study on the spatio-temporal pattern underlying the climate dynamics in various locations spread over India, including the Himalayan region, coastal region, central and northeastern parts of India. We try to capture the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-13 Joshin John Bejoy , G. Ambika

Global weather patterns and regimes are heavily influenced by the dominant modes of Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability, including the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability (TPDV), North…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-13 Kyle J. C. Hall , Maria J. Molina , Emily F. Wisinski , Gerald A. Meehl , Antonietta Capotondi

A method is developed to estimate the properties of a global hydrodynamic instability in turbulent flows from measurement data of the limit-cycle oscillations. For this purpose, the flow dynamics are separated in deterministic contributions…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-21 Moritz Sieber , C. Oliver Paschereit , Kilian Oberleithner

Global surface temperature records (e.g. HadCRUT4) since 1850 are characterized by climatic oscillations synchronous with specific solar, planetary and lunar harmonics superimposed on a background warming modulation. The latter is related…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-16 Nicola Scafetta

El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the Earth's strongest source of interannual climate variability. Although its center of action is in the tropical Pacific, it has significant influences on the climate at the planetary scale. ENSO is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-05 Gian Luca Eusebi Borzelli , Cosimo Enrico Carniel , Sandro Carniel , Mauro Sclavo

We analyze the numerical solutions of a stochastic Arctic sea ice model with constant additive noise over a wide range of external heat-fluxes, $\Delta F_0$, which correspond to greenhouse gas forcing. The variability that the stochasticity…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-05-05 Woosok Moon , John S. Wettlaufer

The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations. The model was fit to the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-06-27 Craig Loehle , Nicola Scafetta

We introduce a method for decomposition of trend, cycle and seasonal components in spatio-temporal models and apply it to investigate the existence of climate changes in temperature and rainfall series. The method incorporates critical…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Marcio Poletti Laurini

The glacial cycles are attributed to the climatic response of the orbital changes in the irradiance to the Earth. These changes in the forcing are to small to explain the observed climate variations as simple linear responses. Non-linear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-02-11 Peter D. Ditlevsen

The variability of Indo-Pacific SST on seasonal to multidecadal timescales is investigated using a recently introduced technique called nonlinear Laplacian spectral analysis (NLSA). Through this technique, drawbacks associated with ad hoc…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-08-02 Joanna Slawinska , Dimitrios Giannakis

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti

The Late Pleistocene Antarctic temperature variation curve is decomposed into two parts: cyclic and stochastic. These two parts represent different but tightly interconnected processes and also represent two different types of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-05-13 Lev A. Maslov

Thermoacoustic instability in turbulent combustion systems emerges from the complex interplay among the flame, flow, and acoustic subsystems. While the onset of thermoacoustic instability exhibits global order in system dynamics, the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-01 Samadhan A. Pawar , P. R. Midhun , K. V. Reeja , Abin Krishnan , Krishna Manoj , R. I. Sujith

We present a study on the spatio-temporal pattern underlying the climate dynamics in various locations spread over India, including the Himalayan region, coastal region, central and northeastern parts of India. We try to capture the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-24 Joshin John Bejoy , Jayesh Dave , G. Ambika

We use continuous wavelet tools to characterize the dynamics of climate change across time and frequencies. This approach allows us to capture the changing patterns in the relationship between global mean temperature anomalies and climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Luis Aguiar-Conraria , Vasco J. Gabriel , Luis F. Martins , Anthoulla Phella