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The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-18 Dion Harmon , Blake Stacey , Yavni Bar-Yam , Yaneer Bar-Yam

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

It had been believed in the conventional practice that the risk of a bank going bankrupt is lessened in a straightforward manner by transferring the risk of loan defaults. But the failure of American International Group in 2008 posed a more…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

As global financial markets become increasingly interconnected, financial contagion has developed into a major influencer of asset price dynamics. Motivated by this context, our study explores financial contagion both within and between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-09 An Pham Ngoc Nguyen , Marija Bezbradica , Martin Crane

This study presents an ANWSER model (asset network systemic risk model) to quantify the risk of financial contagion which manifests itself in a financial crisis. The transmission of financial distress is governed by a heterogeneous bank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

We study the impact of contagion in a network of firms facing credit risk. We describe an intensity based model where the homogeneity assumption is broken by introducing a random environment that makes it possible to take into account the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Paolo Dai Pra , Marco Tolotti

In the aftermath of the financial crisis, the growing literature on financial networks has widely documented the predictive power of topological characteristics (e.g. degree centrality measures) to explain the systemic impact or systemic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-27 Yérali Gandica , Sophie Béreau , Jean-Yves Gnabo

In this paper, we introduce an impact centrality measure to evaluate shock propagation on financial networks capturing a notion of contagion and systemic risk contributions, permitting comparisons of these risks over time. In addition, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-06 Agathe Sadeghi , Zachary Feinstein

We analyse the importance of international relations between countries on the financial stability. The contagion effect in the network is tested by implementing an epidemiological model, comprising a number of European countries and using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-23 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

The risk of a credit portfolio depends crucially on correlations between the probability of default (PD) in different economic sectors. Often, PD correlations have to be estimated from relatively short time series of default rates, and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Bernd Rosenow , Rafael Weissbach , Frank Altrock

We investigate the portfolio selection problem against the systemic risk which is measured by CoVaR. We first demonstrate that the systemic risk of pure stock portfolios is essentially uncontrollable due to the contagion effect and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Xiaochuan Pang , Shushang Zhu , Xueting Cui , Jiali Ma

Research capacity is critical in understanding systemic risk and informing new regulation. Banking regulation has not kept pace with all the complexities of financial innovation. The academic literature on systemic risk is rapidly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-10-25 Antoaneta Sergueiva

We study the difference between the level of systemic risk that is empirically measured on an interbank network and the risk that can be deduced from the balance sheets composition of the participating banks. Using generalised DebtRank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-07 Alessandro Ferracci , Giulio Cimini

In this study, we propose a new multi-objective portfolio optimization with idiosyncratic and systemic risks for financial networks. The two risks are measured by the idiosyncratic variance and the network clustering coefficient derived…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-23 Yajie Yang , Longfeng Zhao , Lin Chen , Chao Wang , Jihui Han

Using particle system methodologies we study the propagation of financial distress in a network of firms facing credit risk. We investigate the phenomenon of a credit crisis and quantify the losses that a bank may suffer in a large credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-04 Paolo Dai Pra , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier , Elena Sartori , Marco Tolotti

The interbank market is considered one of the most important channels of contagion. Its network representation, where banks and claims/obligations are represented by nodes and links (respectively), has received a lot of attention in the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-26 Leonardo Bargigli , Giovanni di Iasio , Luigi Infante , Fabrizio Lillo , Federico Pierobon

How, and to what extent, does an interconnected financial system endogenously amplify external shocks? This paper attempts to reconcile some apparently different views emerged after the 2008 crisis regarding the nature and the relevance of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Gabriele Visentin , Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico

Systemic financial risk refers to the simultaneous failure or destabilization of multiple financial institutions, often triggered by contagion mechanisms or common exposures to shocks. In this paper, we present a dynamical model of bank…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Marco Ioffredi , Stefano Marmi , Matteo Tanzi

This paper characterises dynamic linkages arising from shocks with heterogeneous degrees of persistence. Using frequency domain techniques, we introduce measures that identify smoothly varying links of a transitory and persistent nature.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-21 Jozef Barunik , Michael Ellington

A financial system contains many elements networked by their relationships. Extensive works show that topological structure of the network stores rich information on evolutionary behaviors of the system such as early warning signals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-09 Li Zhou , Lu Qiu , Changgui Gu , Huijie Yang