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Related papers: Probabilistic Recurrent State-Space Models

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Probabilistic (or Bayesian) modeling and learning offers interesting possibilities for systematic representation of uncertainty using probability theory. However, probabilistic learning often leads to computationally challenging problems.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

Predictive Maintenance (PdM) is pivotal in Industry 4.0 and 5.0, proactively enhancing efficiency through accurate equipment Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction, thus optimizing maintenance scheduling and reducing unexpected failures and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Davide Frizzo , Francesco Borsatti , Gian Antonio Susto

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

Matrix-product states (MPS) have proven to be a versatile ansatz for modeling quantum many-body physics. For many applications, and particularly in one-dimension, they capture relevant quantum correlations in many-body wavefunctions while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Joshua B. Moore , Hugo P. Stackhouse , Ben D. Fulcher , Sahand Mahmoodian

We investigate the expressive power of state space models (SSM), which have recently emerged as a potential alternative to transformer architectures in large language models. Building on recent work, we analyse SSM expressiveness through…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Eric Alsmann , Lowejatan Noori , Martin Lange

The drastic variation of motion in spatial and temporal dimensions makes the video prediction task extremely challenging. Existing RNN models obtain higher performance by deepening or widening the model. They obtain the multi-scale features…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Zhifeng Ma , Hao Zhang , Jie Liu

Stochastic processes wherein the size of the state space is changing as a function of time offer models for the emergence of scale-invariant features observed in complex systems. I consider such a sample-space reducing (SSR) stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Avinash Chand Yadav

Spatio-temporal data are ubiquitous in the agricultural, ecological, and environmental sciences, and their study is important for understanding and predicting a wide variety of processes. One of the difficulties with modeling spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-25 Christopher K. Wikle

In this study, we employ the recently developed recurrence microstate probabilities as features to improve accuracy of several well-established machine learning (ML) algorithms. These algorithms are applied to classify discrete and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-15 J. V. M. Silveira , H. C. Costa , G. S. Spezzatto , T. L. Prado , S. R. Lopes

Well-calibrated probabilistic regression models are a crucial learning component in robotics applications as datasets grow rapidly and tasks become more complex. Unfortunately, classical regression models are usually either probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

Modeling the distribution of natural images is challenging, partly because of strong statistical dependencies which can extend over hundreds of pixels. Recurrent neural networks have been successful in capturing long-range dependencies in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-21 Lucas Theis , Matthias Bethge

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have recently demonstrated strong performance and faster inference than Transformers at comparable parameter budgets. However, the recursive gradient computation with the backpropagation through time (or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Paul Caillon , Erwan Fagnou , Alexandre Allauzen

We propose a new approach to value function approximation which combines linear temporal difference reinforcement learning with subspace identification. In practical applications, reinforcement learning (RL) is complicated by the fact that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Byron Boots , Geoffrey J. Gordon

A central goal of sequence modeling is designing a single principled model that can address sequence data across a range of modalities and tasks, particularly on long-range dependencies. Although conventional models including RNNs, CNNs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Albert Gu , Karan Goel , Christopher Ré

In this paper, we explore the class of the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM), a flexible extension of the popular Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that allows the underlying stochastic process to be a semi-Markov chain. HSMMs are typically used less…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-26 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Inference time latency has remained an open challenge for real world applications of large language models (LLMs). State-of-the-art (SOTA) speculative sampling (SpS) methods for LLMs, like EAGLE-3, use tree-based drafting to explore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Chenan Wang , Daniel H. Shi , Haipeng Chen

Stochastic recurrent neural networks with latent random variables of complex dependency structures have shown to be more successful in modeling sequential data than deterministic deep models. However, the majority of existing methods have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Ehsan Hajiramezanali , Arman Hasanzadeh , Nick Duffield , Krishna Narayanan , Mingyuan Zhou , Xiaoning Qian

We present a direct parametrization for continuous-time stochastic state-space models that ensures external stability via the stochastic bounded-real lemma. Our formulation facilitates the construction of probabilistic priors that enforce…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Mohamad Al Ahdab , Zheng-Hua Tan , John Leth

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is critical in many real-world domains like financial planning and health monitoring. Recent studies have revealed that Large Language Models (LLMs), with their powerful in-contextual modeling capabilities,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Jialiang Tang , Shuo Chen , Chen Gong , Jing Zhang , Dacheng Tao

We consider the variable selection problem of generalized linear models (GLMs). Stability selection (SS) is a promising method proposed for solving this problem. Although SS provides practical variable selection criteria, it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-06 Takashi Takahashi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima
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