Related papers: Change point analysis in non-stationary processes …
Different disciplines pursue the aim to develop models which characterize certain phenomena as accurately as possible. Climatology is a prime example, where the temporal evolution of the climate is modeled. In order to compare and improve…
We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…
This paper is devoted to the study of the interaction between two distinct forms of non-stationary processes, which we will refer to as non-stationarity of first and second kind. The non-stationarity of first kind is caused by…
We develop a monitoring procedure to detect changes in a large approximate factor model. Letting $r$ be the number of common factors, we base our statistics on the fact that the $\left( r+1\right) $-th eigenvalue of the sample covariance…
This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…
Standard methods for detecting discontinuities in conditional means are not applicable to outcomes that are complex, non-Euclidean objects like distributions, networks, or covariance matrices. This article develops a nonparametric test for…
There exist several methods developed for the canonical change point problem of detecting multiple mean shifts, which search for changes over sections of the data at multiple scales. In such methods, estimation of the noise level is often…
This paper deals with the comparison of several stationary processes with unequal sample sizes. We provide a detailed theoretical framework on the testing problem for equality of spectral densities in the bivariate case, after which the…
The purpose of this study is to provide a new methodology of how one can consistently estimate a change-point in time series data. In contrast with previous studies, the suggested methodology employs only the empirical spectral density and…
In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…
Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots $ be independent random variables observed sequentially and such that $X_1,\ldots,X_{\theta-1}$ have a common probability density $p_0$, while $X_\theta,X_{\theta+1},\ldots $ are all distributed according to $p_1\neq…
We provide a statistical analysis of a tool in nonlinear-type time-frequency analysis, the synchrosqueezing transform (SST), for both the null and non-null cases. The intricate nonlinear interaction of different quantities in SST is…
In this paper, we consider isotropic and stationary max-stable, inverse max-stable and max-mixture processes $X=(X(s))\_{s\in\bR^2}$ and the damage function $\cD\_X^{\nu}= |X|^\nu$ with $0<\nu<1/2$. We study the quantitative behavior of a…
Given a stationary first-order autoregressive process X_t (with lag-one correlation rho satisfying |rho|<1), we examine the Central Limit Theorem for (1/n)*ln |X_1...X_n| and compute variances to high precision. Given a nonstationary…
Stochastic processes that are randomly reset to an initial condition serve as a showcase to investigate non-equilibrium steady states. However, all existing results have been restricted to the special case of memoryless resetting protocols.…
We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…
For earthquake-resistant design, engineering seismologists employ time-history analysis for nonlinear simulations. The nonstationary stochastic method previously developed by Pousse et al. (2006) has been updated. This method has the…
Two new test statistics are introduced to test the null hypotheses that the sampling distribution has an increasing hazard rate on a specified interval [0,a]. These statistics are empirical L_1-type distances between the isotonic estimates,…
We study the problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of an observation sequence, under the assumption that both the pre- and post-change distributions have bounded support. We first study the case where the pre-change…
We prove a central limit theorem for random sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^{N_n} X_i$, where $\{X_i\}_{i \geq 1}$ is a stationary $m-$dependent process and $N_n$ is a random index independent of $\{X_i\}_{i\geq 1}$. Our proof is a…