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The probability of rare and extreme events is an important quantity for design purposes. However, computing the probability of rare events can be expensive because only a few events, if any, can be observed. To this end, it is necessary to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Malik Hassanaly , Venkat Raman

We propose a fast stochastic Hamilton Monte Carlo (HMC) method, for sampling from a smooth and strongly log-concave distribution. At the core of our proposed method is a variance reduction technique inspired by the recent advance in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Difan Zou , Pan Xu , Quanquan Gu

Linear kinetic Monte Carlo particle transport models are frequently employed in fusion plasma simulations to quantify atomic and surface effects on the main plasma flow dynamics. Separate codes are used for transport of neutral particles…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 J. Seebacher , A. Kendl

Closed-form stochastic filtering equations can be derived in a general setting where probability distributions are replaced by some specific outer measures. In this article, we study how the principles of the sequential Monte Carlo method…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Jeremie Houssineau , Branko Ristic

We developed a Monte Carlo simulation method to calculate incoherent Thomson scattering spectra in high temperature plasmas. The basic idea is to treat the entire scattering process as the superposition of individual photon-electron…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Kentaro Sakai , Kentaro Tomita , Takeo Hoshi , Ryo Yasuhara

Monte Carlo statistical ray-tracing methods are commonly employed to simulate carrier transport in nanostructured materials. In the case of a large degree of nanostructuring and under linear response (small driving fields), these…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2023-02-09 Pankaj Priyadarshi , Neophytos Neophytou

We discuss how the kernel convolution approach can be used to accurately approximate the spatial covariance model on a sphere using spherical distances between points. A detailed derivation of the required formulas is provided. The proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-13 Alexander Gribov , Konstantin Krivoruchko

Path integral Monte Carlo (PIMC) simulations are used to calculate the momentum distribution of the homogeneous electron gas at finite temperature. This is done by calculating the off-diagonal elements of the real-space density matrix,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 B. Militzer , E. L. Pollock , D. M. Ceperley

We develop a classical Monte Carlo algorithm based on a quasi-classical approximation for a pseudospin S=1 Hamiltonian in real space to construct a phase diagram of a model cuprate with a high Tc. A model description takes into account both…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2021-10-25 Yu. D. Panov , A. S. Moskvin , A. A. Chikov , V. A. Ulitko

Quantitative photoacoustic tomography aims at estimating optical parameters from photoacoustic images that are formed utilizing the photoacoustic effect caused by the absorption of an externally introduced light pulse. This optical…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-10-02 Aleksi Leino , Tuomas Lunttila , Meghdoot Mozumder , Aki Pulkkinen , Tanja Tarvainen

Inspired by the Boltzmann kinetics, we propose a collision-based dynamics with a Monte Carlo solution algorithm that approximates the solution of the multi-marginal optimal transport problem via randomized pairwise swapping of sample…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Mohsen Sadr , Hossein Gorji

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

Sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, or Particle Filters, are Bayesian filtering algorithms which propagate in time a discrete and random approximation of the a posteriori distribution of interest. Such algorithms are based on Importance…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-11 Roland Lamberti , Yohan Petetin , François Desbouvries , François Septier

This paper presents a new Monte Carlo (MC) algorithm for time-dependent particle transport problems with global variance reduction based on automatic weight windows (WWs). The centers of WWs at a time step are defined by the solution of an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Caleb A. Shaw , Dmitriy Y. Anistratov

In this paper we present a novel approach towards variance reduction for discretised diffusion processes. The proposed approach involves specially constructed control variates and allows for a significant reduction in the variance for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Denis Belomestny , Stefan Häfner , Mikhail Urusov

Most applications of Bayesian Inference for parameter estimation and model selection in astrophysics involve the use of Monte Carlo techniques such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling. However, these techniques are time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-26 Geetakrishnasai Gunapati , Anirudh Jain , P. K. Srijith , Shantanu Desai

We present a theory and accompanying importance sampling method for computing rate constants in spatially inhomogenious systems. Using the relationship between rate constants and path space partition functions, we illustrate that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-05 Addison J. Schile , David T. Limmer

We introduce and implement an importance-sampling Monte Carlo algorithm to study systems of globally-coupled oscillators. Our computational method efficiently obtains estimates of the tails of the distribution of various measures of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-07-12 Shamik Gupta , Jorge C. Leitao , Eduardo G. Altmann

We review the method of stochastic error correction which eliminates the truncation error associated with any subspace diagonalization. Monte Carlo sampling is used to compute the contribution of the remaining basis vectors not included in…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-31 Dean Lee

This paper describes a new Monte Carlo method based on a novel stochastic potential switching algorithm. This algorithm enables the equilibrium properties of a system with potential $V$ to be computed using a Monte Carlo simulation for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. H. Mak